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TopicDo you think COVID-19 will make a comeback?
adjl
07/23/21 4:53:03 PM
#55:


adjl posted...
Yesterday (July 21, 2021), it was 41,310, and given that there were 60,000 new cases yesterday, you can expect that today's 7-day average will be even higher once that data has been collected.

To follow up, yesterday's 7-day average was 45,351, and there were 63,877 new cases. As predicted, it continues to climb. Big surprise there.

Looking at the last 7 days (specifically at the difference between the daily count and the 7-day average), I'm not able to pick out a consistent trend that would allow me to predict that this surge is slowing down, so I can pretty confidently say that it isn't. I was hoping the difference would fit a trendline with an apparent x-intercept (when the 7-day average is roughly equal to the daily case counts, the wave has plateaued), but it doesn't.

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