LogFAQs > #946412398

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Topic	Biden \| 40,962,735 \| 57.64% \| Trump \| 27,258,817 \| 38.36% [Ng Election Tracker!]
SeabassDebeste 10/28/20 1:40:30 PM #11:	Reg posted... I love people spewing this idiotic take because they understand neither polling nor probability. At this point in 2016, FiveThirtyEight had Clinton with about an 82% chance to win. You ever roll a six-sided die and have it come up a 1? That's slightly worse odds than what Trump was getting. 538 has approximately those odds right now for biden too, though --- yet all azuarc of all sorts are more or less capricious and unreliable - they live in the varying outer weather, and they inhale its fickleness <cite>SeabassDebeste posted [p:946412398] in Biden \| 40... [t:79068586]...</cite> <quote>Reg posted...</cite> <quote> I love people spewing this idiotic take because they understand neither polling nor probability. At this point in 2016, FiveThirtyEight had Clinton with about an 82% chance to win. You ever roll a six-sided die and have it come up a 1? That's slightly worse odds than what Trump was getting. </quote> 538 has approximately those odds right now for biden too, though --- yet all azuarc of all sorts are more or less capricious and unreliable - they live in the varying outer weather, and they inhale its fickleness</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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