| Topic List | Page List: 1 |
|---|---|
| Topic | Election 2020 Statistics and Discussion |
| LusterSoldier 10/26/20 10:24:45 PM #120: | Team Rocket Elite posted... Are mailed in ballots largely counted after the in-person ballots? I'm trying to get an idea of what the poll trends are going to look like. If in-person ballots tend to be counted first, Trump might have an L-Block style explosive early vote and then go into free fall hoping for the match to end early somehow. I plan on tracking poll updates for the election. I expect there will be a huge amount of random variation for individual updates, even more so than a typical election. It will depend a lot on the ratio of mail-in votes to in-person votes in each individual update, which is subject to extreme fluctuations. Each state also has its own rules for when their mail-in ballots can start being counted, but I likely expect Joe Biden to open up with a good lead, Trump making a comeback, and then maybe another surge from Biden from the states that start counting mail-in ballots on Election Day. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as azuarc, Guru Champ! ... Copied to Clipboard! |
| Topic List | Page List: 1 |