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TopicCoronavirus Topic 5: rNaught Your GrandDaddy's Virus
Corrik7
03/27/20 4:24:10 AM
#302:


https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/17/world/europe/coronavirus-imperial-college-johnson.html

From the guy who worked on the Imperial College Report who many based their strategy on.

https://www.newscientist.com/article/2238578-uk-has-enough-intensive-care-units-for-coronavirus-expert-predicts/

He now says both that the U.K. should have enough ICU beds and that the coronavirus will probably kill under 20,000 people in the U.K. - more than 1/2 of whom would have died by the end of the year in any case bc they were so old and sick.

Essentially, what has happened is that estimates of the viruses transmissibility have increased - which implies that many more people have already gotten it than we realize - which in turn implies it is less dangerous.

Ferguson now predicts that the epidemic in the U.K. will peak and subside within two to three weeks - last weeks paper said 18+ months of quarantine would be necessary.

Some maybe good news.


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