LogFAQs > #935948878

Wanglicious posted...

you're right. though for what it's worth, i wasn't basing the 20-44 age group being the 2nd worst for hospitalizations based on the chart, it was from this bit:

Among 508 (12%) patients known to have been hospitalized, 9% were aged 85 years, 36% were aged 6584 years, 17% were aged 5564 years, 18% were 4554 years, and 20% were aged 2044 years. Less than 1% of hospitalizations were among persons aged 19 years (Figure 2). The percentage of persons hospitalized increased with age, from 2%3% among persons aged 19 years, to 31% among adults aged 85 years. (Table).

20-44 is still the 2nd highest group of hospitalizations at 20%. meaning 1 in every 5 adult aged 20-44 will need hospitalization.
combined with 45-54, it goes up to 38%.

That's not what that means, Wang.

They are using a sample size.

For example, let me explain this in this way.

The brackets are

1-19
20-44
45-54
55-64
65-84
85+

Let's take million cases

1-19 1000 cases
20-44 625,000 cases
45-54 199,000 cases
55-64 100,000 cases
65-84 50,000 cases
85+ 25,000 cases

If the hospitalization is

1-19 3%
20-44 6%
45-54 10%
54-64 15%
65-84 25%
85% 50%

This gives you raw hospitalizations of

1-19 30 cases
20-44 37,500 cases
45-54 19,900 cases
55-64 15,000
65-84 12,500
85+ 12,500

Now you breakdown the % of age groups hospitalized of total

Total hospitalizations

97,430 hospitalizations

1-19 3/total = negligible
20-44 37500/total = 38.85%
45-54 19,900/total = 20.42%
55-64 15,000/total = 15.4%
65-84 12500/total = 12.83%
85+ 12500/total = 12.83%

You have to take the population of the age brackets into account.

Saying nearly 40% of hospitalizations are 20-44 is clickbait titles. Sure. It can be true. But, it isn't explaining why that is and is preying on fear to get that click.

40% of hospitalizations are 20-44 but only 6% of them get hospitalized. They just have more numbers to draw from.


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