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| Topic | thanks, white Alabama |
| Balrog0 12/18/17 11:14:45 AM #1: | http://mattbruenig.com/2017/12/15/what-actually-happened-in-alabama/ According to CNN exit polling, 30 percent of the electorate was African-American, with 96 percent of them voting for Mr. Jones. (Mr. Joness backers had felt he needed to get north of 25 percent to have a shot to win.) A remarkable 98 percent of black women voters supported Mr. Jones. The share of black voters on Tuesday was higher than the share in 2008 and 2012, when Barack Obama was on the ballot. But if you actually look at the exit polling, it is pretty clear that the real story of Joness victory was not inordinate black turnout but rather inordinate white support for the Democratic candidate. The black share of the electorate and black support for Democrats are virtually unchanged across the three elections, but the outcome in the last election is wildly different. The white share of the electorate is virtually unchanged, but white support for the Democrat changes dramatically, rising all the way to 30 percent in the Jones-Moore election. This white swing towards the Democratic candidate is basically solely responsible for the fact that Jones won rather than losing by over 20 points, which is the typical outcome of a statewide Alabama election that features this level of black turnout. any thoughts on this? --- He would make his mark, if not on this tree, then on that wall; if not with teeth and claws, then with penknife and razor. ... Copied to Clipboard! |
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