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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 201: A Caravan Down By the River
xp1337
10/23/18 10:59:29 AM
#185:


counterpoint: it's almost worth polling VA-10 for comic relief given the amount of money the Republicans continue to dump on that race

I mean, yeah, obviously more polling would be ideal but =/

Also, the article does ignore some issues there like how hard a place is to poll. That's true for North Dakota - which is somewhere the article implores people to poll. (Though it's also true IIRC with Nevada which has less of a problem given that table)

If your point is that 538's model shouldn't be taken as a hard fact - well, sure. But it's not meant to, it's probability. If your point is that we should doubt it... I'm not sure I'm willing to follow you there, at least not much past the inherent uncertainty reflected by the fact that it is, again, probability.
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