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| Topic | Another elections forecaster casts doubt on the potential of a blue wave in Nov. |
| Balrog0 06/22/18 2:37:54 PM #4: | Antifar posted... 1) isn't public opinion of the GOP much lower than that of Trump (though Democrats might be worse off, IIRC) perhaps, but According to Pew data, in June 2006, about one-third of Republicans (33 percent) said their vote in the upcoming midterm was a vote FOR the president. This year, a little over half (52 percent) of Republicans said the same. Meanwhile, about as many Democrats said their vote in June of 2006 was a vote against Bush (65 percent) as it is against Trump (61 percent) now. Given what you've said regarding the relative popularity of the president vs the party, these numbers might not be as damning for Democrats as they seem (e.g., if they are voting for some reason other than Trump) but either way you slice it that looks good for the GOP relative to 2006 Antifar posted... 2) aren't Trumps numbers comparable to Obama at this point of his first term? Which precipitated the tea party wave of 2010 Good point, I'm actually not sure what Obama's numbers were like. Might be that they're doing 2006 since midterm voting differs by party affiliation? Still something to consider --- It's one more thing we do to the poor, the deprived: cut out their tongues . . . allow them a language as lousy as their lives ... Copied to Clipboard! |
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