azuarc posted...
I did mine today -- winner's bracket only, mind you. Took a little while, but it wasn't really hard. Except when there was a tough match, because there were severe ramifications for each choice you made.
Like, let's say you're picking in an 8 vs 9 match in round 1. You could go either way. You pick the 8 seed. However, in round 2, the 8 seed has a terrible song and the 9 seed would have had a really good song. The winner there faces the 1 seed, who is trying to save their better material for later, so their round 2 song is not at strong as it will be later. Thus, if the 9 seed would have won, it might have taken out that 1 seed. The 8 seed would fall flat. And that 1 seed would have gone on to crush the 4 seed in round 3, except if the 9 seed breaks through and ousts it, the 4 seed will in turn crush it.
So yeah, one small change early on can have a pretty dramatic Butterfly Effect. It's rather entertaining looking at the predictions made so far because absolutely none of them are similar. (Except that you can tell very clearly who's a Touhou fanboy.)
This is what I anxiously expect to see in this particular contest. As I previously said, it involved a lot of strategy to have the songs on the songlists ordered accordingly. I think it will indeed come down to an endurance contest for some games.
And I picked CoD over DKC2 (and another three rounds thereafter,) although I seem to be alone in that regard. Everyone else seems to like Forest Interlude.
...Which I think is a very bad thing. From the little I've heard from the DKC2 soundtrack, none of it sounds particularly strong or engaging. It also comes down to 2 things:
1._Is Mortvia Aqueduct more liked than Mortvia Fountain?
2._Is Forest Interlude supposed to be a low-midcarder, or something more powerful than just that?
It seems like seeding is indeed a relevant factor (contrary to what I expected from a VGM contest), but in the wrong way...
In the wrong way? You mean you think the 16 seeds are favored over the 1 seeds? I would generally disagree with that statement, however there could be some truth to it -- the top seeds are back-loading their songlist, hoping to be well stocked for the long haul. Mostly everyone else is hanging on as long as they can, so their lists are (or should be) frontloaded. It's possible we might see some really strong songs go out early, not because they have high seeds, but because they have high aspirations.
Yeah, that's what I meant, but I was also referring to Secret of Mana, when people said that it was going to bomb in this contest despite its high seeding. There's definitely going to be some unexpected matches in there, though.
This was a very elaborate way of saying bump.
lol
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