Lurker > charmander6000

I heard there's a special election in Pennsylvania tomorrow, a strong Republican district, but Democrats feel they have a chance.

Any thoughts?
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Yeah, series are for those playing the long game, waiting for huge fans of the game/channel to binge watch the entire series than to catch random viewers. No one wants to start watching at episode 17. This also makes the first few episodes all the more important to get people hooked on the series (sunk cost fallacy). Each game on Versus is more like a mini-series, but you should still see that effect.

The mini challenges help add an episodic aspect to the series, but it would also reduce some people's need to binge watch the entire series though given each game will likely never break 10 episodes (even more than 5 episodes would be rare) it might be worth it.
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Yeah, I was about to suggest having two episodes per week if these matches are long. Of course you are doing other stuff so that may not be an option (even ignoring the time it takes you to edit all this). Four weeks is a lot for people that aren't huge fans of a specific game (which is what your main audience will be once this takes off) even three weeks is pushing it.

This may not work for RCT2, but you could have mini challenges within an episode that also give points if you want to continue to make many episodes per game.
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That's usually the downside of these types of competitions, not every race will be close. In fact most will not be close if things aren't manufactured. Commentary will be key to keep things interesting and fun, especially if it takes several weeks to upload the entire match (how many parts will there be?)
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Will watch later...
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In honor of this video



Who would be the strongest Breath of the Wild character (ignoring Link/Zelda/Ganondorf)
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WazzupGenius00 posted...

EmoCombeeDancin posted...

oh yeah and pac-man>mrs. pac-man is another obvious one, but I'm imagining that there's a distinct legal reason that never happened in the first one.

Namco prefers to pretend Ms. Pac-Man (and all the other characters/games that Midway made under license but without permission from Namco) doesn't exist

That's why a lot of times in collections of Pac-Man games, Ms. Pac-Man is either not present or is DLC-only

While true, Ms. Pac-Man is often found in Namco Museum games.
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Anyway, here is a list of Nintendo characters which had costumes in SSB4

Ashley
Black Knight
Chrom
Dunban
Flying Man
Geno
Isabelle
K.K. Slider
King K. Rool
Takamaru
Toad
Viridi
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Lightning Strikes posted...

Shulk is super safe. Popular, franchise on the way up, and if Rex was in the game he would theoretically play very differently. He would probably be billed as Rex&Pyra for various reasons too.

Who are the big NEW Nintendo characters since 4 (and the DLC) came out? Inkling obviously, Rex/Pyra, and whoever the lead in the new FE is are the most likely candidates. Decidueye is one I've heard suggested that makes a lot of sense. 4 had a clear push to newer characters and it makes sense for this to follow suit.

An ARMS character and Captain Toad (though he did exist since Super Mario Galaxy, he got his own game)
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KamikazePotato posted...

The whole 'cut someone in the series to make room for a new one' effect is overstated. It happened twice in Brawl and it didn't happen at all in Smash 4.

From comments made by Sakurai, the main reason that Mewtwo and Roy weren't in Smash 4 is because Smash 4 used data from Brawl to make development easier. Mewtwo and Roy's Melee data was so outdated that none of it could be used, meaning they would have to have been rebuilt from scratch. Which they were, when DLC came out.

I guess it depends if you believe if there will be a limit to how many characters will be in the game.

King of Fighters 2002: Unlimited Match had 66, Mortal Kombat: Armageddon had 63 and Tekken Tag Tournament 2 had 59. So we're already up there at 58.

Of course Dragon Ball Z Budokai Tenkaichi 3 has 161 characters and Tobal 2 has 200 characters so maybe not...
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Yeah, Ike and Marth are the safest Fire Emblem characters. The others could be on the chopping block for the next Fire Emblem character (probably Roy).
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HashtagSEP posted...

I'm actually going to predict that not many characters at all are going to be cut this iteration, since they're still pushing amiibo.

Yeah, outside of replacements and Nintendo not securing 3rd party characters it's hard to see anyone missing out.

Smash 4 is only missing eight characters from previous games. Four were Pokemon (replaceable and 3DS couldn't handle Pokemon Trainer), Young Link was replaced by Toon Link, an agreement for Solid Snake wasn't reached and the 3DS couldn't handle the Ice Climbers. Wolf was the only character missing without a good excuse.

Fire Emblem, Pokemon and Shulk are the most likely to have replacements.
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Whiskey_Nick posted...

Give me Captain Toad, give me a Captain Toad Amiibo.

I want him to not be able to jump
I want him to not be able to run
I wanna see how they balance the lack of those two skills
Also his final smash with the pick axe.

GIVE IT TO ME NOW!

They'd have to give him a balloon or helicopter blade in his backpack.
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Super Smash Bros. Nintendo vs. the World

50 Nintendo Characters vs. 50 Video Game Characters
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KamikazePotato posted...

There's little reason to add Smash characters that aren't

1. Popular new recent characters
2. Advertising

They aren't going to go mining for characters like King K. Rool when there's like...no reason to. The concept of 'representation' isn't something that really exists anymore now that they've gotten in all the core characters. Aside from Inklings, there will probably be a new FE dude and...not sure who else. ARMs?

Rex(+Pyra) and Captain Toad, after that there isn't much outside of going back in time.
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Underleveled posted...

Golden Sun character for the love of God

I think that series is dead now :(
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Snake is unlikely.

Ice Climbers and Wolf may have a chance. The various Pokemon snubs and Young Link probably won't return. Maybe Pokemon Trainer, but with three different Pokemon (Bulbasaur, Charmeleon, Blastoise?)
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I must have been behind then.
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Rex would be the most likely addition (or maybe a Rex+Pyra combo)
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Heroic Bigpun posted...

Other than Dark Souls were there any other amiibos announced? I was actually just thinking the other day how amiibos just dropped dead

Super large Detective Pikachu
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Smash 4 with all DLC, a handful of new characters and stages and a single players mode would probably be enough to satisfy most fans.
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So besides Inklings what other characters could be added?

Ice Climbers, Wolf, Rex (Xenoblade 2), an ARMS character?

3rd party: Bomberman, Crash, Solid Snake?
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I think that tweet was upset because 2 out of the top 5 exporters are exempt.

Canada and Mexico will be excluded from the tariffs for now. Trump is trying to use it as a bargaining chip for NAFTA. I don't see that tactic working.
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CPTPP (new TPP) is being signed today. Canada is now moving towards negotiations with the rest of South America (the Mercosur bloc); Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/cptpp-mercosur-champagne-1.4567284
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The sushi market is so saturated here that anything over $50 is a scam. Anything below $20 excluding drinks is very easy to achieve.
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Canada has just as many

http://cointypes.info/canada/can25c.htm
http://cointypes.info/canada/can25ca.htm

http://cointypes.info/usa/usa25c.htm

Those only go up to 2013, apparently.
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I'll watch this later...

I'm not sure how far you are into planning future episodes, but you should do a bingo challenge. Basically have a bingo card with missions/objectives (maybe with input from subscribers) and try to fill a row/column/diagonal (you could even make it two lines if they are too short). Also don't reveal the bingo card to the players until it is time to play for more randomness.

Here are a couple of examples where beating the game is and isn't also the objective

http://www.speedrunslive.com/tools/sm64-bingo/?seed=74159

http://ehgames.com/gta/bingo/sa-v2/43043817
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It depends what you consider a villain. Mewtwo has been a boss character in side games like Pokemon Stadium.
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Just because it's rig in your favour doesn't mean you're oblivious to it. If anything it makes you more noble.

>_>
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Would Sephiroth win a second villains contest (assuming no rallying)? He didn't look so great in the last contest.
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Congrats
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A ground war against North Korea won't go well. They have been tunneling mountains for decades now and will essentially turtle for years.

And that's if we can get China to stay out it.
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Eventually the term will lose all meaning and we'll just refer to them as people.
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Suprak the Stud posted...

Jakyl25 posted...

https://twitter.com/ryanstruyk/status/968949929656946689

Trump says "I'm not even worried about 60 votes" on gun legislation because "it should be so easy."

Where have I heard this before...

I'm not even sure he has all the Democrat votes on gun legislation, honestly.

How strong is the NRA in terms of lobbying? Is a 20/40 Republican/Democrat split that unlikely?
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Especially for only $500, that less than $4 an hour.
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So comparing the totals predicted by GraceNote we can see which nations over or underperformed.

http://sportsdemo1.gracenote.com/documentation/vmt/

Overperformed (by more than two medals)
OA Russia (+9)
South Korea (+8)
Italy (+4)
Czech Republic (+3)
Great Britain (+3)

Since GraceNote used results from world cups/championships it isn't too hard to see why Russia and South Korea are the top two. Many of Russia's top athletes were left off the team due to doping allegations forcing the nation to send inexperience, but still good athletes to the game. Because they lack international experience the algorithm was unable to predict medals for them. Host nations also receive a boost which the algorithm does not take into account. What's interesting about South Korea's performance was none of them were won by judged events, all of them were won by whoever crossed the line first (though there is a big judging component in short track)

Underperformed (by more than two medals)
Germany (-8)
France (-6)
United States (-6)

While all three nations performed well they were also expected to finish a tier above where they were. While France could blame its poor performance in biathlon or the United States could blame their poor performance in speed skating in general none of the other sports really picked up the slack. The nations won very few surprising medals.
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Top 10 Medal Table (After Day 16)

By Gold
Team - G - S - B - Total
1. Norway - 14 - 14 - 11 - 39
2. Germany - 14 - 10 - 7 - 31
3. Canada - 11 - 8 - 10 - 29
4. United States - 9 - 8 - 6 - 23
5. Netherlands - 8 - 6 - 6 - 20
6. Sweden - 7 - 6 - 1 - 14
7. South Korea - 5 - 8 - 4 - 17
8. Switzerland - 5 - 6 - 4 - 15
9. France - 5 - 4 - 6 - 15
10. Austria - 5 - 3 - 6 - 14

By Total
Team - G - S - B - Total
1. Norway - 14 - 14 - 11 - 39
2. Germany - 14 - 10 - 7 - 31
3. Canada - 11 - 8 - 10 - 29
4. United States - 9 - 8 - 6 - 23
5. Netherlands - 8 - 6 - 6 - 20
6. South Korea - 5 - 8 - 4 - 17
7. OA Russia - 2 - 6 - 9 - 17
8. Switzerland - 5 - 6 - 4 - 15
9. France - 5 - 4 - 6 - 15
10. Sweden - 7 - 6 - 1 - 14

Germany pulls in three medals on the final day and gave Russia all it can handle in ice hockey. Norway won women's cross-country to secure top spot on both charts. Overall Norway set a new record of most medals won at the Olympics while both Norway and Germany tied the record of most gold medals.
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Top 10 Medal Table (After Day 15)

By Gold
Team - G - S - B - Total
1. Norway - 13 - 14 - 11 - 38
2. Germany - 13 - 8 - 7 - 28
3. Canada - 11 - 8 - 10 - 29
4. United States - 9 - 8 - 6 - 23
5. Netherlands - 8 - 6 - 6 - 20
6. Sweden - 6 - 6 - 0 - 12
7. South Korea - 5 - 6 - 4 - 15
8. Switzerland - 5 - 6 - 4 - 15
9. France - 5 - 4 - 6 - 15
10. Austria - 5 - 3 - 6 - 14

By Total
Team - G - S - B - Total
1. Norway - 13 - 14 - 11 - 38
2. Canada - 11 - 8 - 10 - 29
3. Germany - 13 - 8 - 7 - 28
4. United States - 9 - 8 - 6 - 23
5. Netherlands - 8 - 6 - 6 - 20
6. OA Russia - 1 - 6 - 9 - 16
7. South Korea - 5 - 6 - 4 - 15
8. Switzerland - 5 - 6 - 4 - 15
9. France - 5 - 4 - 6 - 15
10. Austria - 5 - 3 - 6 - 14

South Korea picks up three medals while Switzerland win two golds. Based on the remaining events Norway pretty much needs to win gold in women's cross-country skiing or hope for Germany to choke in bobsleigh. Germany will finish second in total medals, their medal in ice hockey will push them over Canada meaning Canada would have to medal in bobsleigh and then hope none of the Germans win a medal which is very, very unlikely.
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Ice Hockey - Mens team
Germany is guaranteed at least silver after their upset against Canada. The pressure will be on Canada to nullify that medal. It could prove decisive if Canada has a bad last two days. Gold, while unlikely would be a huge boost for Germany and would probably force Norway to win both cross-country events

Snowboarding - Mens Big Air, Mens Parallel Giant Slalom, Womens Parallel Giant Slalom
Three events still remain. Mens Big Air would be the event for Canada to put up big numbers as they could try to push for two medals. Norway also has someone in the final and could surprise.

Mens Parallel Giant Slalom is unlikely to award any medals to the three nations, Canada would technically be the favourite though Germany could sneak in as well.

Germany will be looking to counter Canadas result in Big Air with Womens Parallel Giant Slalom. Two medals arent entirely out of the question. A good result for Germany would be to have the same amount of medals in snowboarding as Canada by the end of the three events.

Speed Skating - Mens Mass Start and Womens Mass Start
No one should win the Mens Mass Start. At least Canada and Norway will have a skater in the race.

Both Canada and Germany have a chance in the Womens Mass Start. However, Canadas Blondin and Germanys Pechstein havent met expectations at this Olympics. Blondin has defeated Pechstein in the 3000m and 5000m already, can she make it three in a row?

Overall
I feel it would be quite the choke for Germany to fail to win gold in bobsleigh so that puts the onus on Norway to win one of the cross-country events. After that it will be hard for Germany to win a second gold medal though they will have chances and could very well surprise in something. Outside of cross-country Norway doesnt have too many options for gold medals outside of maybe alpine skiing.

The total medals fight between Canada and Germany will be interesting. On paper Germany has safer medals so they will have the advantage. Snowboarding tonight might decide it as could the bronze medal ice hockey match.
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Previews for the final 12 events and how it effects Norway/Germany gold and Canada/Germany total medals.

Alpine Skiing - Mixed Team Event
This is a new event at the Olympics, each nation uses two men and two women in each match against another nation in a parallel slalom race to the end. Each victory gives the nation a point, ties are broken by the fastest times of the fastest man and woman.

Based on the results of the individual event at these Olympics Austria, France, Sweden and Switzerland are the favourites to medal. However, Ive read that some of the top skiers werent really focussing on the team event so we could see some random results if some nations have to use their B team. With that said Norway has the best chance for a gold medal (they have a decent chance for any medal based on the bracket) while Germany would be favoured over Canada to win any medal. These are all unlikely, but a pick up here would be huge for any team.

Bobsleigh - 4-man bobsleigh
This will be a big event for Germany and Canada and could decide who has the most medals between the two nations on the final day. Germany owns three out of the top four places on the world rankings while Canada is ranked third and has a second sled ranked sixth.

The training sessions appears to favour Germany to win at least one medal and maybe even two. Canada has done well too. The pressure will be on for Canada to medal here or at the very least hope two other countries (Austria, Latvia, Russia, United States) beat out the German sleds to prevent Germany from gaining two or even three medals on Canada. It wouldnt be over for Canada, but they would have to convert most of their other chances.

For the battle of most golds Germany has to win this event. This is easily their best chance at winning gold among the remaining events and there is no way they are going to beat out Norway for most silvers. Norway doesnt have a sled, but they can hope someone can stop the Germans.

Cross-country skiing - Mens 50km and Womens 30km
The marathon of the Olympics. This sport will give Norway the best opportunity to win the most gold medals. Norway has a very good chance at winning both events and should they succeed it would be very hard for Germany to find three events to win gold in. As with the marathon nothing is certain in this kind of race.

Canadas Alex Harvey is the current world champion in the mens 50km and while he hasnt performed as well in his other events he could sneak a medal for Canada which will be helpful as Germany has no expectations for a medal here.

Curling - Mens team and Womens team
No teams remain for any of the three nations.
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Top 10 Medal Table (After Day 13)

By Gold
Team - G - S - B - Total
1. Norway - 13 - 14 - 10 - 37
2. Germany - 13 - 7 - 6 - 26
3. Canada - 10 - 8 - 9 - 27
4. United States - 8 - 7 - 6 - 21
5. Netherlands - 8 - 6 - 4 - 18
6. Sweden - 6 - 5 - 0 - 11
7. France - 5 - 4 - 6 - 15
8. Austria - 5 - 2 - 6 - 13
9. South Korea - 4 - 4 - 4 - 12
10. Switzerland - 3 - 6 - 4 - 13

By Total
Team - G - S - B - Total
1. Norway - 13 - 14 - 10 - 37
2. Canada - 10 - 8 - 9 - 27
3. Germany - 13 - 7 - 6 - 26
4. United States - 8 - 7 - 6 - 21
5. Netherlands - 8 - 6 - 4 - 18
6. France - 5 - 4 - 6 - 15
7. OA Russia - 1 - 5 - 8 - 14
8. Austria - 5 - 2 - 6 - 13
9. Switzerland - 3 - 6 - 4 - 13
10. South Korea - 4 - 4 - 4 - 12

Canada picks up another three medals while Russia wins its first gold medal. The race for most gold medals and second for total medals is on. I'll look a bit more in-depth later on the chances for the top three nations in the final 12 events.
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What's more impressive was 12 in 14 years.

I enjoyed watching a new one every Christmas while I was growing up. Even if the movies weren't great.
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Yeah, I rolled my eyes when I saw that Norway got another medal

Meldonium is such a ridiculous drug to use in curling. I'm not even sure it would help the athlete that much (it'd help his sweeping I guess). It's also dumb to take given the high profile cases involving the drug, it's obvious that WADA knows how to detect the drug.
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Top 10 Medal Table (After Day 13)

By Gold
Team - G - S - B - Total
1. Norway - 13 - 12 - 10 - 35
2. Germany - 13 - 7 - 5 - 25
3. Canada - 9 - 7 - 8 - 24
4. United States - 8 - 7 - 6 - 21
5. Netherlands - 7 - 6 - 4 - 17
6. Sweden - 5 - 5 - 0 - 10
7. France - 5 - 4 - 6 - 15
8. Austria - 5 - 2 - 6 - 13
9. South Korea - 4 - 4 - 3 - 11
10. Switzerland - 3 - 6 - 2 - 11

By Total
Team - G - S - B - Total
1. Norway - 13 - 12 - 10 - 35
2. Germany - 13 - 7 - 5 - 25
3. Canada - 9 - 7 - 8 - 24
4. United States - 8 - 7 - 6 - 21
5. Netherlands - 7 - 6 - 4 - 17
6. France - 5 - 4 - 6 - 15
7. Austria - 5 - 2 - 6 - 13
8. OA Russia - 0 - 4 - 8 - 12
9. South Korea - 4 - 4 - 3 - 11
10. Switzerland - 3 - 6 - 2 - 11

Huge day for the United States as they win 5 medals including two gold. The late push may make things interesting though with 16 events remaining every medal chance will matter.

Russia also lost their bronze medal in mixed curling due to doping violation. The medal has been transferred to Norway.
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The better team won, congrats.
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Top 10 Medal Table (After Day 12)

By Gold
Team - G - S - B - Total
1. Norway - 13 - 11 - 9 - 33
2. Germany - 12 - 7 - 5 - 24
3. Canada - 9 - 5 - 7 - 21
4. Netherlands - 6 - 6 - 4 - 16
5. United States - 6 - 4 - 6 - 16
6. France - 5 - 4 - 5 - 14
7. Sweden - 4 - 4 - 0 - 8
8. South Korea - 4 - 3 - 2 - 9
9. Austria - 4 - 2 - 4 - 10
10. Japan - 3 - 5 - 3 - 11

By Total
Team - G - S - B - Total
1. Norway - 13 - 11 - 9 - 33
2. Germany - 12 - 7 - 5 - 24
3. Canada - 9 - 5 - 7 - 21
4. Netherlands - 6 - 6 - 4 - 16
5. United States - 6 - 4 - 6 - 16
6. France - 5 - 4 - 5 - 14
7. OA Russia - 0 - 4 - 9 - 13
8. Japan - 3 - 5 - 3 - 11
9. Austria - 4 - 2 - 4 - 10
10. South Korea - 4 - 3 - 2 - 9

Big day for Norway and the United States, winning four medals each. Norway also bagged two golds. Russia continues its impressive streak of 13 medals and no golds, though that should end after women's figure skating.
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Technically the United States would have qualified athletes in ski cross, but there is a rule in freestyle skiing that a nation can only have 30 athletes across all events meaning both Canada and the United States have to reject some athletes.

Snowboarding has a similar rule (26 athletes across all events), but this time no one had more than the maximum.
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