Lurker > Xuxon

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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XIX: Day 31 [smfffc]
Xuxon
09/15/17 7:42:49 PM
#219
Setzer
---
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XIX: Day 31 [smfffc]
Xuxon
09/15/17 5:53:19 PM
#58
Tifa
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/15/17 3:59:26 AM
#364
welp no 5* and 4% pity rate. but i got my first Marth, and he has optimal IVs +spd -res so that's cool. 2 Hinatas, Lon'qu, Caeda for fodder.
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/15/17 12:38:04 AM
#347
i think it's also good with close counter on spring Camilla. she has good def and the highest potential for one-shotting stuff. i've been thinking about sacrificing Takumi to her for the longest time but never went through with it. maybe now that i have Lyn and Innes i could.
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/15/17 12:12:19 AM
#345
wind boost + vantage would probably be the closest thing to Hector. though that would still only double 35 spd or less.
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/14/17 11:55:44 PM
#338
eh, BK is like a +spd Ike with a couple more def but 1 less mov. eclipse is going to be no better than ignis - same charge and the foe would have to have to have even more def than him to do anymore damage.
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/14/17 11:29:14 PM
#334
oh shit and Robert Clotworthy voicing BK. he's gonna sound great.
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/14/17 11:04:01 PM
#329
i could have seen it being up to 32. 34 is nuts.
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/14/17 10:57:03 PM
#327
Elincia has 34 atk and 36 spd holy fuck

with an atk boon, that's like having a 40 atk 39 spd non-prf-brave user. ONE less atk than atk boon Cherche, but quads everything.
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/14/17 10:21:12 PM
#320
i'm not a big fan of Athena's, but i agree that it's not as bad as Eliwood or Elincia.
---
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TopicBoard 8 NFL Pick'Em League - Week 2
Xuxon
09/14/17 7:19:55 PM
#58
Cincinnati Bengals
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/14/17 7:18:16 PM
#314
i like Ursula's art too, but yeah, it's not super accurate. i even like Rebecca's, which seems to be an extremely unpopular opinion.

just gotta hope for good L'Arachel art at this point. she has a chance at least. i've already pretty much given up on Lute not turning into a moeblob.
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/14/17 4:33:40 PM
#283
Lopen posted...
My concern is less the pity pull counter which is pretty minor and more what extra orb expenditure the ' wasted ' pulls inflict on you, which I do think can be calculated if you bother-- but is also something I'd say the 10% you spitballed may be accurate for.

no, that part is definitely only going to be about a 4% difference (or about 3% for reds, or 5% for greens). that i am 100% sure about. the 10% estimate i made was combined with the pity rate difference.
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/14/17 4:30:55 PM
#282
StealThisSheen posted...
Right, but how does that make it a 4% instead of 3%? Why is it being added on top of the starting 3%?

i'm just saying, because the character is 33.3~% more likely to show up, it's as though you have a pity rate up to 4% on a 4 character banner. that 4/3 ratio. except with an actual 4% pity rate, your off-banner chance would go up to 4% as well, and that isn't the case here.
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/14/17 4:15:18 PM
#279
there is a 3% base focus chance, divided equally between all characters. that means each summon has a .75% chance to be a particular focus character when there's 4 characters, but 1% when there are only 3. that's 33.3~% higher.
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/14/17 4:01:28 PM
#277
read what's in the parentheses
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/14/17 3:51:33 PM
#275
taking pity rate into account, there's no direct computation you can make to compare them; best you can do is a monte carlo simulation. i don't know about reddit, but people have done that on the gamefaqs FEH board.

maybe this explanation will help make it clear the 3 character banner is better, even if not the degree. having a 3 character banner with all different colors is equal to STARTING with a 4% pity rate on a 4 character banner (and somewhere between 3.75 and 4% when you add in the second character of the same color). the average pity rate before pulling a 5* is just above 3.5% if you're not sniping at all, and less when sniping for anything but a single red focus.
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/14/17 3:25:36 PM
#266
Lopen posted...
Then again, maybe 10% is accurate there to which I'll say 10% orbs is a big deal if you're throwing out like 200 orbs and we're not necessarily disagreeing.

but it's a lot less than the 33% difference between 3 or 4 total characters on the banner. and almost no one decides "oh look this character i want, but they're in a 4 character banner, that sucks. i'll wait until they're in a 3 character banner to try to get them." people either don't understand how it works or are playing a psychological trick on themselves.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/14/17 2:54:40 PM
#260
it's essentially like, you would have a 1/25 chance to pull her from a blue if Oscar were another color and a 24/25 chance of pulling any other blue, but due to his presence, it's a 1/26 chance for each and a 24/26 chance of pulling anything else (with no pity rate). and then, your pity rate won't climb as much on average due to pulling those extra Oscars. those are the only two factors negatively affecting Nephenee's pull rate, and it certainly doesn't outweigh the 1% vs 0.75% base chance from 3 vs 4 characters total on the banner. if we continue with the 1/25 example, which is close but not exact, it'd make her a 1/33.3~ on a hypothetical 4 character banner with her as the only blue.
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/14/17 2:43:55 PM
#257
no, even if you are only drawing blues.
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/14/17 2:29:39 PM
#255
Lopen posted...
Just realized Oscar is there to be a jackass and siphon Nephenee drops.

the game has been out 7 and a half months and people still don't understand this? Oscar's presence there doesn't affect the chances of getting Nephenee much. like, if you wanted to make a +10 Nephenee, it might take 10% more orbs there than if he was another color, and as a bonus, you'd also get a +10 Oscar. a 4 character banner with Nephenee as the only blue would take significantly more orbs to get her on average.
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/14/17 5:32:59 AM
#246
they were not. brave Lyn on the last map can be pretty annoying.
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/14/17 3:10:23 AM
#241
Linde's artist for Elincia
Linde's voice actor for Nephenee

that's unfortunate
---
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Topic~^~^~Pokemon Gauntlet - DAY ONE HUNDRED TWENTY SEVEN~^~^~
Xuxon
09/13/17 6:23:41 PM
#14
thanks carracosta, stole the man's spot only to wimper out with 2 votes the next round
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TopicSave My Disney Character IX - Post Contest Discussion
Xuxon
09/13/17 6:02:22 PM
#34
guffguy89 posted...
It seemed like a Punz win was inevitable down the stretch of this contest, and sure enough that held true. Though it ended up being closer than I imagined.

it was obviously going to be close. you don't lose to Darkwing Duck and then blow out Aladdin a few years later.

she should have lost honestly. FFD's random vote and both charon/genny missing are not things you would normally expect.
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/13/17 3:54:33 PM
#223
i killed the top axe dude with Nino, and then she killed the other mages in enemy phase. then Tharja cleaned up the two remaining greens and Nino killed the lance. Ninian and Eirika basically did nothing but buff. i only had to dance on the first turn to get Nino into range while receiving multiple buffs, because Eirika's alone weren't quite enough to kill the axe dude.
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TopicWhat's the AGE DIFFERENCE between You and your MOM????
Xuxon
09/13/17 4:24:00 AM
#9
LeonhartFour posted...
Huh, has the average really gone up that much in the last 10 years or so?

it's gone up about 3 years since 30 years ago, when we were actually born

pretty sure FT has mis-stated the statistics - that it was supposed to be that a woman's average age for having a child now is 31-33. there's no way, that when you include everyone alive now, that the average age of their mother at their birth was that old.
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TopicWhat's the AGE DIFFERENCE between You and your MOM????
Xuxon
09/13/17 2:39:23 AM
#5
LeonhartFour posted...
She's 26 years older than me, and I always felt like that was on the older side compared to most of my friends in school. Didn't realize the average was like 5 years higher.

i don't think it was that high back then
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/13/17 12:02:48 AM
#218
oh yeah, Serra, the forgotten middle child between Cath and L'Arachel. she's alright. i 4*'d the one i pulled at least. good partner for Celica in AA; doesn't really need 5*.

i do also like Setsuna and Cherche personality-wise more than a lot of the other Fateswakening characters so far. those are characters to potentially 5* or 4*+10 someday, though with only 2 copies of Cherche and 0 of Setsuna, the 4+10 is probably not happening anytime soon. Cherche would probably be fine as a 5* but Setsuna really needs more than unmerged 5* stats.
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/12/17 10:56:56 PM
#216
Lopen posted...
How do you guys keep that many feathers jeez. All your favorites must be 5* base or somethin.

more like, not in the game, because i haven't played the 3DS games. my votes in CYL were for:
Marth
Sigurd
Lute
L'Arachel
Elincia

and i've never pulled Marth. though even if i had, we've gotten like 300k feathers now, so 20k to promote him wouldn't change much. i've been thinking about merging characters like Catria and Nino now, who i like but are kind of pushing the definition of "favorite" because i'm unlikely to be able to merge my real favorites.
---
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Topic^King of the Mountain^ - Save My Doctor - Day 41
Xuxon
09/12/17 10:32:14 PM
#53
Juliet
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Topic^King of the Mountain^ - Save My Doctor - Day 41
Xuxon
09/12/17 9:21:02 PM
#33
Gregory House
Tobias Funke
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Topic^King of the Mountain^ - Save My Doctor - Day 41
Xuxon
09/12/17 7:48:48 PM
#4
Tenma
Chris Turk
---
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TopicSave My Disney Character IX - ALADDIN vs RAPUNZEL [smdc]
Xuxon
09/12/17 5:53:52 PM
#20
Rapunzel
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/12/17 5:46:07 PM
#208
lately i keep pulling a bonus unit just after their season ends. Sonya, Summer Corrin, Innes. this time i promoted Anna to 5* to make sure. seemed like the perfect time, with double SP/EXP in TT and having such a huge amount of feathers. i still have 155k left.
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/12/17 5:22:02 PM
#205
you don't need armors to reach tier 20. i got there with like, 6 points per match to spare last season with Hector as my only armor. even the gap between the highest and lowest point 5*, Hector to Cecilia, is only about 4 points per match (assuming Hector keeps distant counter and Cecilia doesn't have close counter).

i did have 2 aethers, no horses and only 1 ranged on my team, though. aether and galeforce are worth a TON of points.
---
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TopicSave My Disney Character IX - Top 3! [smdc] [rule change]
Xuxon
09/12/17 4:20:10 PM
#130
Janus5k posted...
Wouldn't even be the first time my main has lost twice in the finals tbh

the trick is to get a real jobber in the third time

who was it Kuja finally beat? Terra?
---
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TopicSave My Disney Character IX - Top 3! [smdc] [rule change]
Xuxon
09/12/17 3:38:41 PM
#51
Rapunzel
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TopicNFL Ladder Contest - Week 1
Xuxon
09/12/17 1:18:33 AM
#89
oh wow, i was about to post rip my bonus point and turn off the game like a half hour ago when the Chargers missed that 4th and 1. still didn't get it, but it came about as close as it can get.
---
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TopicNFL hype topic
Xuxon
09/11/17 10:53:25 PM
#275
i just turned the game on, that woman sounds awful. and Rex Ryan is even worse, trying to talk at the same time as her and mumbling.
---
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XIX: Day 27 [smfffc]
Xuxon
09/11/17 7:07:56 PM
#290
LeonhartFour posted...
so that's two rounds in a row for a game to lose its first character after not losing anyone in boots

and it was almost 3, if only there was 1 less boot
---
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XIX: Day 27 [smfffc]
Xuxon
09/11/17 7:03:46 PM
#281
i can't believe so many people actually thought they were going to get in a save there
---
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XIX: Day 27 [smfffc]
Xuxon
09/11/17 7:01:58 PM
#263
Ultros
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XIX: Day 27 [smfffc]
Xuxon
09/11/17 6:59:26 PM
#250
Ultros was after Seifer
---
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TopicFire Emblem Heroes Discussion Topic Part 9: Choose Your Legends
Xuxon
09/11/17 6:24:12 PM
#201
dammit, i spent like 70 orbs going for Lucina/steady breath fodder even though i said i was done with CYL. why did i do that. down to 33. at least we're getting a bunch more today/tomorrow between arena and minigame rewards. between that, TT, and the daily maps i can still get to around 70 when PoR banner drops but 140 sure would have been a lot better.
---
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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XIX: Day 27 [smfffc]
Xuxon
09/11/17 5:06:42 PM
#62
Tifa
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Grats to BKSheikah, a guru ahead of his time.
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Topic^King of the Mountain^ - Save My Doctor - Day 40
Xuxon
09/10/17 10:59:47 PM
#48
Gregory House
Tobias Funke
---
Grats to BKSheikah, a guru ahead of his time.
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Topic^King of the Mountain^ - Save My Doctor - Day 40
Xuxon
09/10/17 8:58:00 PM
#20
Tenma
Chris Turk
---
Grats to BKSheikah, a guru ahead of his time.
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TopicSave My Disney Character IX - Top 5 [smdc] [rule change]
Xuxon
09/10/17 7:14:04 PM
#205
if Mabel qualified for stats last year it's definitely her. did poorly all 3 contests before, and this contest would weight higher due to fewer appearances.
---
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TopicPokemon Gauntlet Tiebreaker: Dewott vs. Darmanitan
Xuxon
09/10/17 6:39:24 PM
#6
Darmanitan
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