Lurker > Ulti_PCA

Dark Link really is the answer.
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It's right here.

https://board8.wikia.com/wiki/(5)Metal_Sonic_vs_(12)The_Boss_2018
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Tastes can change as one gets older. I used to hate Aeris because the jp was literally obsessed with her and the scene is completely overrated (watch it again and look at the white materia physics, you cannot unsee it). As in he was completely unhealthy and lost jobs because he stayed up all night to get her saved in board contests and such.

Then I played Crisis Core and got older. You appreciate characters differently over time. Like I used to hate Kyle's family in South Park, now I love them and think they're hilariously underrated.
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ShatteredElysium posted...

What happened to the topic that had the top of the contest rankings and whether people were prize or fun entries? Like I thought it had a post in this morning/yesterday so no way should it have been purged but not sure why it would have been deleted

By making that topic the guy was admitting he was impersonating people with read-only alts, which is the only way to actually ban a read-only account for imping because GameFAQs is really fucking dumb. You wonder why we can't get 30k votes for a contest match anymore? This site has been run terribly for well over a decade and people eventually just left.

That plus harassing people nonstop finally got him banned.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com./user.php?db=.4.user=dva69
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ColZach posted...

Ulti_PCA posted...

https://www.vg247.com/2018/12/13/artifact-valve-decline-player-base-steam/

Good. Richard Garfield is trash.

Dont make me block your contest analysis account too buddy.

What happened to you toting that Artifact was going to destroy HS, and you couldnt wait, and blah blah blah?

I legit didn't know Richard Garfield was involved.

If you think I hate Blizzard you should have hung out with me irl when I played Magic. Holy fuck is that game awful.
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Sure I won't turn down free shit. psn_ultimaterializer
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She beats all of them except Kirby and MMX. Not the point. 1/2 seeds have a standard.
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Alright I'm taking a break. I did a ton of writing tonight and need to sleep sometimes!
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Division 5 Round 1: (2)Waluigi vs (15)Aeris Gainsborough

(2)Waluigi - 12271 [42.57%]
(15)Aeris - 16553 [57.43%]
Total Votes - 28824
Prediction Percentage - 45.01%

I will never, ever, ever call her "Aerith". I in no way care why I'm supposed to and never will. Stop asking. I will continue naming pages on the wiki "Aeris" until the day these contests die, and if they continue after my death I might even put it into my will that whoever I pass this on to should keep that tradition going. I am only partially kidding on that last point. "Aerith" can go off and die for all I care. Aeris is ok though. Always love using her in the game.

As far as Waluigi is concerned, I was promised a meme run in 2011. He and Luigi were SFFd by the Trainers. I was promised a meme run in 2013. In round one, Waluigi drew Raiden and Alan Wake. Who? Exactly. Raiden won that match.

This year, Waluigi was snubbed from Smash Bros Ultimate and it gave us this poll (this poll is HILARIOUS, by the way): https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7115-if-you-could-convince-nintendo-to-just-put-one-more

Based on all that, I was promised another meme run and Waluigi rode his Smash Bros snub all the way up to being a 2 seed. Well hey now, before this contest only one 2 seed had ever lost to a 15, Square has looked terrible, Nintendo is boss, and Waluigi was supposed to have all the momentum in the world to go on a deep joke run. Aeris was a very winnable match to start with, right?



This match was close for about 5 minutes thanks to bracket votes and Board 8 meme anti-voters. Then the second update kicked in and Aeris just rolled this match. Nothing against the early voters and their funny contest trends, truly, I find those early numbers hilarious, but I think we've proven that those early votes largely don't matter. But that's a different conversation for a different match.

This can very easily be summed up as Waluigi being one of the most overrated, overhyped characters in gaming history. Not only in contests. In all of gaming. Who gives a rip if he's Character #97 in Smash Bros or not? I wouldn't complain if he got in, but I'm not literally crying he's out like some people. If I didn't already know people were serious about liking the dude, I would assume this was some TWEWY-level mass practical joke. Waluigi crapped the bed in a winnable match in a Nintendo dominant environment. I've seen all I need to see. The dude sucks.

I know I'm being hard on the dude, but the entire list of characters that have lost as 2 seeds to 15s is Nathan Drake, Kazuma Kiryu, Waluigi, and Ren Amamiya. When you're a 1 or 2 seed, there is a different standard. Waluigi does not live up to it. Period.
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Logience posted...

Who is Nick?

Anyways, Shovel Knight is basically what Mega Man would play like if he had a pogo stick instead of a Buster Shot.

...Oh wait.

hahahaha WHAT?

So it's Duck Tales? SOLD.
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WarThaNemesis2 posted...

If you love 2D platformers, there's a good chance Shovel Knight will scratch that itch.

Sold.
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Ooooooh, right. No I didn't forget bro! ONE GOOD BOY BEAT A WHOLE STATE!! I've been saving that reference.

Division 5 Round 1: (7)Shovel Knight vs (10)Captain Toad

(7)Shovel Knight - 13672 [47.43%]
(10)Captain Toad - 15154 [52.57%]
Total Votes - 28826
Prediction Percentage - 30.55%

Okay what in the world happened with Shovel Knight between 2015 and now to where the character is getting a 7 seed and is on the ass end of the lowest prediction percentage in round one?





Huh?

...HUH?

I thought for sure it would be Tails. Is Shovel Knight really that good?

Anyway, to the point. This was a reasonably debated match, with 35% of gurus picking Shovel Knight to win. The logic for Toa-- errrrr, Captain Toad supporters was easy. "When in doubt, pick Nintendo."

But most people reading this know that already. What most people don't know is Nick can steal the whole f'n show Rob Van Dam style whenever he wants. Captain Toad wasn't only going to win this match, oh no. Link vs Cloud? Captain Toad. Picsmith controversy? Captain Toad. 2018 midterms? Captain Toad. A fix for climate change? Captain Toad. An answer to how the police treat black men or how we can get California to stop lightning on fire every autumn? Yep, Captain Toad. Stormy Daniels telling us what Donald Trump looks like naked? Captain Toad rSFF, baby. By the time Nick was done hyping up the Cap, I was afraid to put mushrooms on my chicken because I felt like the cure for cancer was in there and I should be donating all my food to the local kitchen for the homeless or something.

Nick was right, too, and it always feels good to say that because I love the guy. Shovel Knight clearly got bracket votes early even in the face of the pro-Toad board votes, and this match was in doubt for about an hour. But once that hour was up, Toad took off and easily put things away.

I legitimately want to know this: what is Shovel Knight and is it any good? All this public backing has me intrigued. I ignore most indie type games, but this one seems to having staying power for whatever reason.
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garetha200 posted...

Over half of the guru called D.va's path perfectly, out in round 2. You did not.

You have definitely had your ahead of the curve moments, but I feel like this wasn't one of them.

It was a fanboy pick. Horizon is a damn good game and it sucks it was lost in the shuffle.

The big rant is coming in round 2. I promise. Just wait.

ColZach posted...

Even in the height of DDLC monika wouldnt have won

That was funny to read though

Hey man, people laughing is always awesome. I don't care if it's people laughing at me, because 'smile' is the best 5 letter word in all of language <3

People said the same exact thing about Undertale before it went off, by the way. Monika had the same exact things in her favor, and if that game was 2 months old instead of a year plus and we ran this in 2017, I have no doubts. Look at the view counts on DDLC youtube videos. That game was no joke last year.
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Division 5 Round 1: (6)Jill Valentine vs (11)Fox McCloud

(6)Jill Valentine - 13232 [45.9%]
(11)Fox McCloud - 15594 [54.1%]
Total Votes - 28826
Prediction Percentage - 55.78%

Don't worry yoblazer, Jill would have beaten the hell out of D.Va too even had Jill won this match. I can get why yo picked Jill to win. Every now and again you just have to make a fanboy pick and hope, you know? Plus I totally get why Jill has her fans.

Unfortunately, she's in the Resident Evil series. For the wiki readers, I'll just copy-paste the same rant from Chris Redfield's match. It all applies. And yeah I'm going fifth level narcissist and quoting myself off of something I wrote like an hour ago. What of it? My PCA, my rules.

There might not be a better example of intentional self sabotage than what Capcom has done with multiple series of theirs. For obvious reasons, I'll just look at Resident Evil for now. Sorry, FFD.

Since Resident Evil 4 came out, these games have been nothing but trash. Resident Evil 5 was a forced co-op mess where the worst people in our culture, the SJW idiots who currently think Baby It's Cold Outside should be banned, the immaculate conception was rape, and candy canes being shaped as a J for Jesus are a problem, were bitching about the game before it even came out. Of course Capcom caved, and made a bad game even worse before it even happened. The second you start caving to cultural marxists (which has no roots whatsoever in Nazi ideology, it's a communist belief from Russia, christ almighty you people are ignorant and need to read a book once in awhile), you're done as a franchise. For the unaware, RE5 takes place in Africa and SJWs were very happy to virtue signal about how killing black people zombies is racist, even though the series has had people of every race as zombies forever. Is there a bigger portent of doom for anything than caving to SJW rejects who would have no effect on you to begin with if you just ignored them?

Then came 6, which somehow managed to be even worse than 5. I almost couldn't do words for how bad that game is, but I tried: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/ps3/605603-resident-evil-6/reviews/163728

Chris Redfield was in both of those games, just FYI. If you want to know why he ate his first ever round 1 loss, those are good reasons why. Marvel vs Capcom 3 is another.

Then came 7, which was a good game that no one cared about because people are done with this series. I haven't even gotten into the spinoff nonsense, the remake cash grabs, the ridiculous DLC practices Capcom is involved in, or the other franchises Capcom has ruined. This match was justice. Go away, Capcom.

Addendum: What I forgot to mention the first time is the same people who virtue signal about black people all day are the same ones who call 911 on 9 year old black kids or guys simply trying to go home to their own apartment. And we're supposed to let these people decide policy. Fuck outta here.

Yeah I made an addendum on a self quote on something I wrote an hour ago. Ego level 17, son. Always be the best. Always be #1. Can you came the 4th person to walk on the moon without googling it? Me either, because no one after Neil Armstrong matters. Shout out to Wendy's twitter feed.

All of it applies to Jill, outside of RE5. She wasn't in that game, which is probably a huge reason she's stronger than Cuh-riiiiiiis Redfield in contests.

Jill has Resident Evil 2 remake hype. Fox has Smash Bros Ultimate hype. You tell me which character had a better shot of winning this match? Fox slammed the door shut on this mildly debated match immediately, but it would not be his big moment in this contest. That was coming next round, and thank god for it. Props to you, my man.
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A term being co-opted by idiots doesn't mean the original definition is wrong. You beat bad ideas and double standards with better ideas, not by capitulating to idiocy. You're nuts if you think I like those alt right idiots.

I enjoy regular everyday people. It's that simple. We get the occasional hardcore idiot come in at work, but because of in person social cues they know to shut the fuck up. Most people only care about paying the bills and enjoying their time between work shifts like anyone else. The people who think nativity scenes should be burned all get made fun of, even in a deep blue area like Princeton where I live. They are universally rejected.

I could very easily make the case social media is the worst invention in the history of our planet. Give a moron anonymity and it's bad news. Dumb people used to actually have consequences for actions.
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Division 5 Round 1: (3)Aloy vs (14)D.Va

(3)Aloy - 12563 [47.06%]
(14)D.Va - 15256 [52.94%]
Total Votes - 28819
Prediction Percentage - 62.98%

Hey so remember when people were being ridiculous pre-contest and kept acting like D.Va was going to catch a bunch of rally strength and win the entire contest? It's time to puff my chest out and rip this shmedium tee clear off, because the damn thing doesn't fit.

Called it. Told you so. Vindicated. Yet another thing I was ahead of the curve on. As usual, Ulti Was Right. How does one man continue to fly all these Ws?

When in doubt, just blame Russia! Copy and paste to trigger a liberal today!

At least picking Monika to win the contest made logical sense, and if this contest happened in 2017 she probably would have won. That fanbase was prepping a rally before the contest even started. But D.Va? Come on, people. You're better than this.

I will now sit here and wait for someone, anyone, to give me a list of every FPS character with GameFAQs contest strength. Seriously. I'll wait.



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Still with me?

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Okay we're done.

Unless you want to count Samus because your first Metroid game was Prime, the only FPS characters with any strength are Master Chief and Gordon Freeman. I might give you GLaDOS. That's about it.

And I'm supposed to believe a bad character, from a trash tier video game, made by arguably the worst company in gaming, paired with one of the worst fanbases in gaming, is going to care enough about our dead web site to vote in a poll based on reddit traffic and pornography? Are you people insane? I hope this contest has taught you all a very valuable lesson: Reddit traffic does not matter to the extent you all seem to think it does. League of Legends was clearly a flash in the pan and only worked because back in 2013 GameFAQs was still relevant enough to catch rallies. Now? This site is dead and reddit doesn't care. I hope people have learned that, especially the former. GameFAQs, the site we used to all like, is done. I don't care what BS Allen and CBS feed you people; I'm a big contributor and I see the page hits on my stuff. Don't fall for it.

I actually picked Aloy to win this match because I just knew D.Va would be garbage. Turns out only having 19 people play your game doesn't win you polls. But even then, as a heavy favorite D.Va went out there and just crapped the bed. She was over 60% early, looked good for about 15 minutes, and then puked everywhere. Losing 7% when you start at 60% is not easy to do -- it's much harder than, say, starting at 85% and dropping to 78 -- and it got so bad for D.Va that she badly lost the morning vote. We had very few trends this contest, but D.Va had a 1750 vote overnight lead get chopped down to 1400 at one point. She would recover the votes as the day went on, but the damage to her candidacy was over. This was a bad match for her, and it showed that outside of Blizzard fans actually caring about something without having to be bribed to care (shout out to neonreaper for calling this one out, too), D.Va was done.

Which was fantastic. Blizzard is complete and total garbage, and has been since the second Activision took them ov-- errrrr, merged with them.
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I googled "cultural marxism in Russia" and that was near the top, since this garbage started with the communists in that country as a means of social control. I could give you thousands of articles and hundreds of history books about why communism is bad socially as well as economically if you really want, but I was lazy and picked the top option because I have better things to do than care about the opinion of an SJW liberal. I have nothing whatsoever aginst Jewish people and legit don't understand why anyone does, for the record. Jews are awesome.

When I use cultural marxist social control as a term, I refer to the SJW PC garbage and nothing else. Literally no human being who buys into that garbage is worth my time, and I am far from alone in that belief. Step into the real world and those people are universally made fun of. If you actually think candy canes and Christmas songs should be banned, or you're dumb enough to think all sex is rape, get out of my life forever.

For the record, those freaks have been around for ages and only succeed in civilizations that adopt communist/socialist standards.
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Logience posted...

Ulti_PCA posted...

Social marxist cultural engineers want normal male activity gone, because men are the ones known for organizing and standing up to corrupt trash in culture throughout history.

Uhhhhhhhhhhhhh...

http://barelyablog.com/russia-has-abandoned-cultural-marxism-america-is-embracing-it/

Averia posted...

I love how almost every game company did something bad : Capcom, EA, Blizzard, Valve, Konami, etc

I don't think I've ever dumped on Namco, Atlus, or From Software, and Nintendo has won me back.
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Division 5 Round 1: (4)Zelda vs (13)Ezio Auditore da Firenze

(4)Zelda - 21623 [75.33%]
(13)Ezio - 7081 [24.67%]
Total Votes - 28704
Prediction Percentage - 84.57%

Oh sweet, a match where I can somewhat take a mental break. You need that now and again when doing 150 writeups. After all, we've seen this match already and there isn't much to comment on for the rerun: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3813-varia-division-round-2-zelda-vs-ezio

Zelda got 62% on Ezio eight years ago, and Ezio had zero reason to change in strength since then. Zelda going out and just murdering the poor guy with 13 extra percents was quite a sight to see, and it ended all debate about this division outside of rally shenanigans from D.Va or Waluigi -- and that question was answered very quickly when their round 1 matches came up.

This was done, and it was positively adorable watching Leon4 pretend Squall wasn't destined to get raw dogged by a cactus in two rounds. I know LOL x stats and all, but Hat Kid and Ezio got almost the same exact score. Come on bro. I picked Squall like a doofus too, but at least I can laugh about it. Pretending Hat Kid and Ezio are equal strength is just silly.

Zelda was pretty clearly meant to steamroll this contest right from the jump, and if it wasn't for Nintendo fatigue by the end she would have made the final. That's how insane this was. More on that later.
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Division 5 Round 1: (5)Metal Sonic vs (12)The Boss

(5)Metal Sonic - 12480 [43.48%]
(12)The Boss - 16221 [56.52%]
Total Votes - 28701
Prediction Percentage - 55.2%

Giving my loudest possible shout out to the one, the only, THE MAN, @ZenOfThunder for pulling this one off.

https://imgur.com/CFu8ouq

Zen got me into picsmithing, has been a friend of mine for ages, and never one time has he had a cross or negative thing to ever say about me. Ever. The guy is an angel on a board increasingly filled with a bunch of aging, jaded assholes. He never gets negative, ever, and always finds a way to make everyone laugh during contest season. I'm not alone in feeling this way, either. We all love Zen. He wasn't just the MVP of this match, but the MVP of this entire contest. You the fuckin MAN, bro, and it needs to be immortalized in a PCA at some point. Here you go.

So of course when he asks us to nominate someone we all chip in for Metal Sonic, AND THE GUY GOES OUT AND GETS A 5 SEED, WHAT IN THE WORLD. Even better is the guy didn't do badly at all! He was in this match for real for 10 minutes before The Boss showed him the advanced techniques of CQC. Balance the knife, quick strike, and retract. Balance the knife, quick strike, and retr--!!



....

Nope. Not a Giant Enemy Crab, just a hedgehog. Metal Sonic can't rip tanks apart. The Boss's knife was ok, just took 10 minutes for her to get warned up and call in the MIGs to blow up the place.

In all seriousness, The Boss only getting 56% in the match and only having 55.2% prediction is an embarrassment. People are not happy with Konami and it shows. This also shows that it's past time we get Dark Link into a character battle. If Metal Sonic and Mega Man X are allowed in, why can't we finally see what Dark Link can do? It's long overdue.
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Speaking of sad, you guys might think I'm bummed out Ramza lost. I was a little, but there are much cooler characters in Final Fantasy Tactics. Ramza stops being interesting some time in chapter 3 when he stops being a naive kid. He pulls a Freya from FF9 and just starts kind of being there. If this match involved Delita, Orlandu, Wiegraf, Agrias, Rafalak, or even Zalbag, Mustadio, Reis, or Elmdor, I would have been sad. Ramza? Boring.

Lastly, I cannot cover this match without commenting on the obvious. This was as Pyrrhic a victory as it gets, and Mass Effect is done on our web site. I'll get into this more when I cover Shepard later, but good hell. This match never should have been close, and it wouldn't have been if Electronic Arts wasn't among the absolute worst companies in the history of this planet. I could make a very real argument that EA is more morally corrupt than Monsanto or Apple, and those companies kill people to stay ahead of the game. Look up Monsanto suing independent farmers or Apple's suicide nets in China some time. EA is on that level, and if you only stick to video games instead of geopolitics at large they are easily the worst company to ever happen in gaming. Only Blizzard is comparable.
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Division 5 Round 1: (8)Garrus Vakarian vs (9)Ramza Beoulve

(8)Garrus - 14527 [50.63%]
(9)Ramza - 14168 [49.37%]
Total Votes - 28695
Prediction Percentage - 58.58%

"I want Final Fantasy characters to be my pallbearers so they can let me down one last time."

On the bright side, heeeeeey, our first contest match that was an actual match! Some of the best matches you'll ever see are when a match with zero debate is unexpectedly close, and most of us just picked Garrus without thinking. After all, Square has looked like a Victorian slum for years and Garrus is someone we all love no matter what Mass Effect looks like. There's also the fact Ramza has never won anything and is from a game that hasn't been relevant in 20 years.

Don't even try telling me that garbage PSP port matters, either. The bonus content was cool. Bastardizing the script and that unreal animation lag made the game damn near unplayable without an outside patch, and outside patches do not affect a game's score for me. It's why Warcraft 3 will forever be 0/10 bile regardless of how much I love Dota.

When this match started and they were even, we were shocked. Then Ramza was up 28 at the freeze and it was a lot of "uh oh". Then Garrus evened things up and we all figured there was a weird early bracket vote or something.

Nope. Ramza spent the next few hours slightly ahead and trying to shake Garrus off like a bad case of fleas. Garrus held his own here, but when things settled down and we entered the dead zone of the night vote, He hit 200 at midnight and it looked like he was going to pull away for the win. After all, Square's night vote is still one trend that holds true with our new start time. As luck would have it, Ramza was only able to quickly get his lead up to 256 overnight, and it was Garrus, not Ramza, that won the night vote. Garrus kept chipping away at the ol' vote lead brick, and after a tie in the morning, the brick broke and favored Garrus pretty easily.

Garrus won the morning vote rather convincingly and ended this match, but with the match over there was still one thing left to root for in this one. You all know what it is, because the stats topic goes insane about it any time there's a close match: http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=1730&num=2

Could Ramza keep Garrus under a 460 vote lead? That was all anyone cared about. And as luck would have it...



A record that stood for 14 years was broken in this contest. The new one was 419 votes, at least for character battles. DKC2 vs Xenoblade is the true record at 290. 12 hour polls do not count and don't try telling me they do. Either way, whether you consider 419 or 290 the true record, both would get broken multiple times this contest thanks to our fossilized vote totals. I want to be proud of close matches, but when polls used to all get 100k+ votes and now we struggle to even hit 30k, it's sad to watch.
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Something interesting came up in the PCA that I'd like to put here in the stats topic. It's about 16 seeds.

Some 16 seeds don't deserve to only be 16 seeds. Some do. For the hell of it I went and looked this up. Here is the list of every 16 seed we've ever had in a contest.

Servbot, Chop Chop Master Onion, Goemon, Pitfall Harry, AiAi, CATS, Captain Olimar, Raiden, Metal Gear, Secret of Mana, Suikoden 2, Starcraft, CATS, Earthworm Jim, Duke Nukem, Terry Bogard, Thrall, Lightning, Falco, Midna, Prince of Persia, Ridley, Proto Man, Marth, inFamous, Star Ocean 3, Guitar Hero 2, Beyond Good and Evil, Viewtiful Joe, Jet Grind Radio, Timesplitters 2, Wii Sports, Ratchet and Clank 3, Assassin's Creed 2, Age of Empires 2, Phoenix Wright, Hearthstone, Cave Story, Shenmue, Splatoon, Cuphead, Primrose, Ryo Hazuki, Cayde-6, Hat Kid, Rosalina, Miles Edgeworth, and Wesker.

If you want to count the 27 seeds (ugh) in that 3way contest, you get Tingle, Dan, Little Mac, Commander Keen, Prinny, Missile, Sandbag, Magikarp, and Fawful.

Of that list, here is my opinion on who is actual 16 seed material, and by this I mean comparable to the NCAAs where they have the 16 for a reason and would have no prayer of ever winning a match regardless of opponent. I know with LOL x stats and such we can give almost anyone a win on a technicality, but bear with me here.

My list of true 16 seeds: Servbot, Chop Chop Master Onion, Goemon, Pitfall Harry, AiAi, inFamous, Star Ocean 3, Guitar Hero 2, Beyond Good and Evil, Jet Grind Radio, Timesplitters 2, Wii Sports, Age of Empires 2, Hearthstone, Cave Story, Cuphead, Primrose, Cayde-6, Hat Kid, Commander Keen, Prinny, and Missile. A case could be made no one else on that entire list is immune from winning. We saw CATS beat Nathan Drake once. Terry Bogard would probably beat most other characters on this list. Phoenix Wright is a 3 seed every contest and his game just got forgotten about once. I could go on, but you get the point.

Who do you guys think are true 16 seeds and who do you think just doesn't get nominated hard enough? Starcraft is the obvious screwup, but I feel like there are others.
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Use the classic editor if that happens. I don't know how to switch to it, but I hear it works!
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Division 5 Round 1: (1)Squall Leonhart vs (16)Hat Kid

(1)Squall - 21773 [75.88%]
(16)Hat Kid - 6920 [24.12%]
Total Votes - 28693
Prediction Percentage - 87.98%

Some 16 seeds don't deserve to only be 16 seeds. Some do. For the hell of it I went and looked this up. Here is the list of every 16 seed we've ever had in a contest.

Servbot, Chop Chop Master Onion, Goemon, Pitfall Harry, AiAi, CATS, Captain Olimar, Raiden, Metal Gear, Secret of Mana, Suikoden 2, Starcraft, CATS, Earthworm Jim, Duke Nukem, Terry Bogard, Thrall, Lightning, Falco, Midna, Prince of Persia, Ridley, Proto Man, Marth, inFamous, Star Ocean 3, Guitar Hero 2, Beyond Good and Evil, Viewtiful Joe, Jet Grind Radio, Timesplitters 2, Wii Sports, Ratchet and Clank 3, Assassin's Creed 2, Age of Empires 2, Phoenix Wright, Hearthstone, Cave Story, Shenmue, Splatoon, Cuphead, Primrose, Ryo Hazuki, Cayde-6, Hat Kid, Rosalina, Miles Edgeworth, and Wesker.

If you want to count the 27 seeds (ugh) in that 3way contest, you get Tingle, Dan, Little Mac, Commander Keen, Prinny, Missile, Sandbag, and Fawful.

Of that list, here is my opinion on who is actual 16 seed material, and by this I mean comparable to the NCAAs where they have the 16 for a reason and would have no prayer of ever winning a match regardless of opponent. I know with LOL x stats and such we can give almost anyone a win on a technicality, but bear with me here.

My list of true 16 seeds: Servbot, Chop Chop Master Onion, Goemon, Pitfall Harry, AiAi, inFamous, Star Ocean 3, Guitar Hero 2, Beyond Good and Evil, Jet Grind Radio, Timesplitters 2, Wii Sports, Age of Empires 2, Hearthstone, Cave Story, Cuphead, Primrose, Cayde-6, Hat Kid, Commander Keen, Prinny, and Missile. A case could be made no one else on that entire list is immune from winning. We saw CATS beat Nathan Drake once. Terry Bogard would probably beat most other characters on this list. Phoenix Wright is a 3 seed every contest and his game just got forgotten about once. I could go on, but you get the point.

Here's my point. Hat Kid is on the 'true 16' list and it took Squall almost an hour to get over 70% on him. I don't know who or what a Hat Kid even is and I frankly don't care. There were a lot of smart people who took Zelda to win this division, and I wasn't one of them, and that debate ended right off the bat. Struggling to blow out Hat Kid? Come on bro.
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Logience posted...

Ulti_PCA posted...

the SJW idiots who currently think Baby It's Cold Outside should be banned

I know you want it

Which is how girls want guys to flirt with them. Any guy who isn't a total scumbag idiot already knows what consent is and whether or not he has it. We don't need to ban a Christmas song to prove it. The whole point is girls have to act like cats or wolf spiders because they need to attract the best possible genetics and need to weed out the rho male incels. Mating is a competition to find the best possible person you can. No one fucks down. They fuck up as much as possible or they fuck across. Never down.

That is not an insult or slight to women, either. It's good that they do it, because if I'm with a girl I want to know I was picked for a reason. That's exactly how courting is supposed to work and guys who get rejected a lot are meant to better themselves because of it. Social marxist cultural engineers want normal male activity gone, because men are the ones known for organizing and standing up to corrupt trash in culture throughout history.

True fact: I used to be a typical prototype beta male who put girls on pedestals and such, and thought being super nice was the way to go. Figured out real quick that it was a terrible idea. Every guy goes through their own moment like the ending of The Last American Virgin. When that happens, and it will, your options are looking in a mirror and manning up or blaming others. I chose the former and never looked back, and so should every other guy. Don't capitulate to PC garbage and think it will help you. Thinking for yourself and being a grown-ass man makes you much more desirable.
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Division 4 Round 1: (2)Kirby vs (15)Guile

(2)Kirby - 21439 [74.54%]
(15)Guile - 7321 [25.46%]
Total Votes - 28760
Prediction Percentage - 87.15%

Guile's theme goes with everything.



I mean EVERYTHING.



Did I mention everything?



Yep. Everything.



Everything?



Everything.



Ev-e-ry-thang?



Ev-e-ry-thang.



Ev-e-ry-thang?



Ev-e-ry-thang.



....EVERYthing?



Yep. Everything.











You get the idea. Also, apparently there was a match today that Kirby won? Something along those lines?

Don't know, don't care. Guile finally made a contest!

Oh and for the mod that inevitably sees this, that was a real KFC commercial. Truly. That actually did happen and the guy in the commercial was 100% cool with it.
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Division 4 Round 1: (7)Estelle Bright vs (10)Isaac

(7)Estelle Bright - 10170 [35.37%]
(10)Isaac - 18586 [64.63%]
Total Votes - 28756
Prediction Percentage - 72.12%

Board 8 has a new huckleberry, and its name is Trails in the Sky. You guys were also well aware Estelle was a 'happy to be here' round 1 exit type of character, but getting her a 7 seed when I'd bet 99% of her nominations came from Board 8 is quite the accomplishment. No one made any delusions about Estelle having a prayer of winning this match, which is fine. Isaac is one of our most consistent characters in contest history, which is why the stats topic thinks "Isaac Fodder Line" is a fair thing to move forward with. If you can beat Isaac, you're not fodder. Simple as that.

Characters Isaac has lost to: Samus, Tidus, Pikachu, Altair, Lucario, L-Block, Solid Snake, and Kirby

Characters Isaac has finished ahead of: Serge, Guybrush Threepwood, Professor Layton, Commander Keen, and Estelle Bright.

Yeah I support the Isaac Fodder Line. He can pretty much only beat trash and loses to non-trash.

Here's my question. Is Trails actually good or is Board 8 overhyping another bad or mediocre game? Every now and again you guys hype something good, but you have a long track record of overhyping average and/or garbage. For every Symphony of the Night or Chrono Trigger you guys overhype -- and let's be honest, I don't need Board 8 to know those games are good -- there's a SLEW of nonsense. Katamri Damacy, most Phoenix Wright games, and Umineko are average. Brawl, Marvel vs Capcom 3, Shadow of the Colossus, The World Ends With You, any Mario Kart, Phantom Hourglass, any Blizzard game, Dissidia, and Valkyrie Profile are all piles of shit. Some of you have even tried telling me DmC: DMC Devil May Cry dee em shee dmc is good.

So where does Trails in the Sky fall in on your list of overhyped hivemind games, Board 8? Be honest. You've overhyped some mega trash? Is Trails mega trash, average, or is it actually good?
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Underleveled posted...

mnkboy907 posted...

Did you update to 1.2? It's supposed to make the challengers easier.

I guess not. Thanks.

I still feel like I'm a lot worse at this one than ever before though.

The computer is insanely overtuned in this game. It's not you.
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Hbthebattle posted...

Wouldnt Infinite be a far more likely cause for Capcom characters getting hit than 3

They all suck.
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MetalmindStats posted...

Ulti_PCA posted...

If you want to know why he ate his first ever round 1 loss, those are good reasons why.

Minor correction here, Chris lost in Round 1 in both 2007 and 2008.

LOL 4ways, but yeah I'll fix.
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Division 4 Round 1: (6)Ike vs (11)Joel

(6)Ike - 17918 [62.31%]
(11)Joel - 10840 [37.69%]
Total Votes - 28758
Prediction Percentage - 64.95%

Not gonna lie, I had to hop on the ol' googler machine to see who Joel even was. I haven't played The Last of Us yet, though I hear nothing but good things about it. Apparently I'm not the only one on that boat, because Joel never came close to winning this match. Ike is at least a character people have heard of thanks to Fire Emblem and Smash, so this match was essentially someone people heard of vs someone people haven't. What kind of game even is The Last of Us, anyway? I have the PS3 version sitting right next to me.

Also, I picked Ike to beat Phoenix Wright without even thinking out of pure fanboyism and felt pretty good after this match. A better score and a better prediction percentage as a lower seed usually means good things. "Whoops."

I will have you all know I love the dude because of Path of Radiance more than Smash Bros. I love him in Smash against AI, don't get me wrong, but his path (ha) in Path of Radiance is fantastic storytelling. He was good in Radiant Dawn too, but that game does the style where we follow 48 different viewpoints. Path is better. Do not @ me.
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Division 4 Round 1: (3)Phoenix Wright vs (14)Chris Redfield

(3)Phoenix Wright - 16375 [56.93%]
(14)Chris Redfield - 12387 [43.07%]
Total Votes - 28762
Prediction Percentage - 63.52%

Every year Phoenix Wright gets hilariously overseeded by Board 8, and every year his pattern is the same. I have nothing against the dude, it's just hilarious to see the seeds he gets every year. The pattern is usually the same, too. He either wins his first match close, loses his first match close, or gets completely blown out -- usually the latter is reserved for his games, but he's eaten a blowout or two as well in his day.

Thankfully for Phoenix, Chris Redfield is no Jecht and while this match would be "close" in percentage, Phoenix still thoroughly demolished Redfield. Which is good, because there might not be a better example of intentional self sabotage than what Capcom has done with multiple series of theirs. For obvious reasons, I'll just look at Resident Evil for now. Sorry, FFD.

Since Resident Evil 4 came out, these games have been nothing but trash. Resident Evil 5 was a forced co-op mess where the worst people in our culture, the SJW idiots who currently think Baby It's Cold Outside should be banned, the immaculate conception was rape, and candy canes being shaped as a J for Jesus are a problem, were bitching about the game before it even came out. Of course Capcom caved, and made a bad game even worse before it even happened. The second you start caving to cultural marxists, you're done as a franchise. For the unaware, RE5 takes place in Africa and SJWs were very happy to virtue signal about how killing black people zombies is racist, even though the series has had people of every race as zombies forever. Is there a bigger portent of doom for anything than caving to SJW rejects who would have no effect on you to begin with if you just ignored them?

Then came 6, which somehow managed to be even worse than 5. I almost couldn't do words for how bad that game is, but I tried: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/ps3/605603-resident-evil-6/reviews/163728

Chris Redfield was in both of those games, just FYI. If you want to know why he ate his first ever round 1 loss, those are good reasons why. Marvel vs Capcom 3 is another.

Then came 7, which was a good game that no one cared about because people are done with this series. I haven't even gotten into the spinoff nonsense, the remake cash grabs, the ridiculous DLC practices Capcom is involved in, or the other franchises Capcom has ruined. This match was justice. Go away, Capcom.
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NFUN posted...

Anagram posted...

I assume he just dislikes MvC 3 and thinks anyone associated with it is bad.

rip ammy

I legitimately think less of ANYONE to appear in those filth video games.
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Division 4 Round 1: (4)Bowser vs (13)Gordon Freeman

(4)Bowser - 22856 [77.39%]
(13)Gordon Freeman - 6676 [22.61%]
Total Votes - 29532
Prediction Percentage - 79.02%

If we didn't already know Charizard was boned, this hammered it home like a frozen banana in Oymyakon. Look it up.

Just for fun, I looked at some LOL x stats. In 2013, Bowser is projected to get 61.14% on Gordon. In 2010, 59.85%. To blow past all that and get 77.39% is absolutely insane, and it opened up the floodgates with people losing their shit over Bowsette and how this contest was already over.

For the unaware, there's a Super Crown item in NSMBU Deluxe that allows Toadette to turn into Peachette. Someone made a comic based on the crown where Peach rejects both Mario and Bowser, so Bowser puts the crown on and becomes Bowsette. Mario and Bowser start dating. The internet, doing what the internet always does, took this and ran with it. Unlike most memes, this one stuck: https://i.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/newsfeed/001/412/109/0d1.jpg_large

Needless to say when Bowser sat here and just demolished Gordon Freeman like this, Bowsette was given all the credit. That has something to do with what happened, but I think there's a more valid explanation here and we saw it a few times this contest. Gordon Freeman is paying for Valve's sins. Remember when Valve actually made video games instead of trying to nickel and dime gamers for every penny possible? Yeah me either. Valve has become as trash as Capcom or Konami anymore, and it's sad to watch. They were legitimately the best company out there. Now they're just trash, and Gordon has to pay for it.

Duke Nukem Forever spent 15 years in development and is the butt of every joke there is about games taking too long to come out. Half-Life 2 came out 14 years ago. If you want to know why Gordon is back his early contest days of being total garbage, that's a good place to start. Half-Life 3 might never happen, because Valve doesn't care anymore.
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https://www.vg247.com/2018/12/13/artifact-valve-decline-player-base-steam/

Good. Richard Garfield is trash.
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Division 4 Round 1: (5)Terra Branford vs (12)Charizard

(5)Terra Branford - 13935 [47.2%]
(12)Charizard - 15591 [52.8%]
Total Votes - 29526
Prediction Percentage - 63.65%

People are going to look at Pikachu's run and think Pokemon had a good contest, but in reality outside of Pikachu Pokemon had a terrible contest. Remember when the bracket came out and people thought Charizard or Mewtwo or Pokemon Trainer Red would go on these insane runs? That was put to bed pretty early this contest, and this match was one example why. I'll delve into all the FRAUDULENCE later when we get into how Mewtwo did, but for Charizard this was one of the worst wins for a hyped character I've ever seen. He struggled early, and though the match would never end up being in any real danger for him, Terra was able to make a lot of major cuts all throughout the match.

I don't know what happened to Charizard, but this is clearly not the same version that won four matches in 2010 or the dude that would have gone on a good run in 2013 had Mega Man not been rallied. I know there was a close Zelda match in there, but Zelda is pretty legit these days.

As for Terra, she's one of those characters that doesn't win much but always finds a way to make hyped characters look awful. Outside of one blowout loss to Dante in 2005, she always manages to look good. Kerrigan was hyped once upon a time. Terra embarrassed her. Darth Revan was hyped. Terra embarrassed him too. She even held her own against Kirby and Samus once. But this is probably the best Terra has ever looked. In an era when Square routinely looks like hot garbage and Nintendo dominates this site, we got this result. It's going to be forgotten in the ether, but this really shouldn't be some randomly forgotten contest match. 47% on Charizard given all the outside factors is no joke given all the hype he had.

To put this a different way, the Oracle people routinely guess the final percents within razor thin margins. The consensus for this match was Charizard getting 62.52%. The lowest pick was Charizard with 56%. This was a bad match for the dude and all but cemented he had no chance against Bowser next round.
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Whoever is adding percentages and such, it's not needed. We'll eventually have images for all that.

Oh it's Safer. Not needed bro. =p
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Hbthebattle posted...

Ulti I've been adding Lightning's analysis in advance, and I'm a little ahead of you rn
...This is why we now have two Shadow vs. Ness pages.

Don't add pages for me. It's how I keep myself organized.
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Division 4 Round 1: (8)Shadow the Hedgehog vs (9)Ness

(8)Shadow the Hedgehog - 13801 [46.74%]
(9)Ness - 15726 [53.26%]
Total Votes - 29527
Prediction Percentage - 52.5%

I have to confess something. I legitimately love the Sonic clan and they're a bunch of really cool characters. Yeah yeah, not a great thing to admit. Don't care. The games aren't great sometimes, but the characters are all really cool. Any time Sonic or Shadow or Tails or Knuckles is in a contest match, it takes me back my my Sega Genesis Sonic 2 days as a kid. If you want a great reason for me to loathe furries and despise that fan base, there you go. They ruined something that was once amazing.

I also tend to overrate them, especially Shadow, when making picks. I picked the dude to win two matches this year. I picked him to beat Zidane in 2008. I really wanted to pick him over Tidus in 2004. I love the dude. He looks like Sonic, but he's all dark and cool and such. What's not to like?

Turns out most voters don't see it that way, and this match stayed remarkably stable for the entire 24 hours. The percentages basically never moved, which kinda sucked. I like Ness, don't get me wrong. You all know my love of EarthBound by now. But Shadow is my dude. At least this was a respectable loss with an obvious reason attached. Ness is no longer the character we thought could lose to Jak, the character who was the odd one out during the closest finish ever, the character that lost to Pac-Man (ugh), the character that got 40% on GlaDOS, the character we all thought could lose to Locke, and most importantly, the character that got rolled by Big Daddy. This Ness has been in Smash Bros for almost 20 years, he's had EarthBound rereleased a few times, and the Angry Video Game Nerd finally did a review of his game.

He isn't big time now, but he's certainly big enough to beat Shadow the Hedgehog. Maaaaaybe Shadow could have won this if he were an echo fighter in Ultimate, but it was not meant to be. The real shame is most of us thought the winner of this could beat 2B, too, and I would have loved to see Shadow make it into round 3. Turns out 2B ain't no slouch.
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Logience posted...

Just for clarity: The freeze denotes the results of the matchs first five minutes, right?

Yessir. We have live updates until 5 minutes in. Polls used to be like that for 100% of the match but the site kept crashing during the big stuff like CT/LTTP in 2004. That plus it encouraged direct cheating, so Ceej got rid of it.
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Division 4 Round 1: (1)2B vs (16)Cayde-6

(1)2B - 22970 [77.8%]
(16)Cayde-6 - 6555 [22.2%]
Total Votes - 29525
Prediction Percentage - 81.32%

When the bracket first came out, people looked at 2B as a totally bizarre 1 seed and had zero faith in her whatsoever. I had some faith in her, just not as a 1 seed. I did not think she would be legit at all, and stupid me picked Shadow the Hedgehog to win two matches. Pair that with this division having Charizard, Bowser, and Kirby in it, and the girl had no prayer of actually validating her seeding. Even now, people are still arguing over whether or not she was legit in this contest.

Spoiler. She was. I don't care who you are or what you're up against. If you start a poll at 90%, spend a good chunk of it over 80, and finish at 78%, you have legit strength. It might not be 1 seed strength, but it's strength nonetheless. Nier Automata is the truth. Granted 2B clearly has the assets to be a popular character among gamer nerds on this site, but hey.

Also I didn't know this, but I got it confirmed with the 4 Destiny players on Board 8. Apparently the reason Cayde-6 was so weak is because you can play through all of both games and never actually know or care who that character is. You know you suck when even your own fans don't know who you are, which leads one to wonder how he made the field in the first place. Cayde-6 was destined for only one thing in this contest, and that was being at or near the very bottom of the LOL x stats. I'm sure a joke could be made here about Abbreviated number SFF, but it's so lame that not even my lame PCA should include it :)
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Division 3 Round 1: (2)Kazuma Kiryu vs (15)Bomberman

(2)Kazuma - 11459 [39.13%]
(15)Bomberman - 17829 [60.87%]
Total Votes - 29288
Prediction Percentage - 54.18%

It's very rare when you can look at a 2/15 match and immediately pick the 15 seed without thinking, yet here we were. This is because before this match, the only 15 seed to ever beat a 2 was The Boss beating Nathan Drake back in 2010. That was a 12 hour match that went 52-48, too, so I imagine some people put an asterisk on that one. I know we had some 4ways and 3ways and some contests with dumb 1-8 division seeding instead of 1-16, but I can only work with what I got.

The point here is these Yazuka characters that got into the field this contest are simultaneously the most unknown, overrated, and overseeded characters we've ever had. The best job a 15 seed had ever done until this was a 52-48 match. All the others easily lost. Yet Bomberman, a fodder character whose only contest win ever came against a TV set (this seriously actually happened, I kid you not: http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/albums/sc2k2/sum02b21.jpg) went out there and damn near got 61% against a 2 seed.

It wasn't because Bomberman is strong, either. It's because Yazuka is gutter trash. Every contest we get some recent casualbait characters to serve as the opening round punching bags. Sometimes those characters are from Grand Theft Auto. Sometimes they're from Call of Duty and you get a match picture with a swamp thing in it. Sometimes they're from Uncharted or a random games contest has a sports title in it. Well in this contest, where we saw nothing from Grand Theft Auto make the biggest field we've ever had, that was Yazuka. Good lord. Who nominated these people to such high seeds? That's why the Kefka/L-Block match was so huge, Neither of these dudes had a chance of beating either one of them, and then who knows.

Shout out to Bomberman and the 2002 contest, by the way. Nice seeing those old characters get some shine.
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Division 3 Round 1: (7)Kefka vs (10)L-Block

(7)Kefka - 17628 [60.19%]
(10)L-Block - 11661 [39.81%]
Total Votes - 29289
Prediction Percentage - 60.5%

This was one of the most hotly debated matches in round one, because it was widely believed the winner would be able to go on a deep contest run. Division 3 was perceived as being very weak, and it was well within the realm of possibility that the winner here would be able to win the entire division. The winner of this was almost guaranteed to make it to round 3. If that winner was L-Block, it was not impossible for a bandwagon effect to show up and hand the guy the entire contest.

Anyone who claims they had a good beat on this either way was pretty much lying, because neither of these characters is predictable in the slightest. Kefka's contest history is well known for the guy never doing what he's supposed to do. The dude was supposed to easily beat Pac-Man but went 50-50 with him. He was supposed to easily lose to Knuckles but got super close until the morning vote. He was supposed to win a division but lost to Diablo. The 4ways are just a cluster of 'what'. He was supposed to lose to Arthas and beat Arthas's ass. He was supposed to lose to Zack, then won two 3way polls because of course he did. The only contest he's ever made sense in was the Rivalry Rumble, which says a lot.

L-Block's runs don't make sense, either. Everyone knows about 2007, but he was making a run in 2008 too before Pikachu beat him. Then the guy gets to Charizard and can't break 40% on the guy, before beating Auron. I doubt most people would call Kefka stronger than Auron, yet here we are. This is a great example of why stats mean positively dick in these contests, especially when we haven't had a proper character battle in over a decade. I ended up picking L-Block, because whenever Kefka is the board favorite the dude falls flat on his face. That's the one predictable thing about this guy.

Turns out we couldn't even rely on that much. In what was quickly becoming a pattern in this contest, this was never even a match. It's why so many of my writeups thusfar have been about esoteric feelings instead of match trends and cold facts. "Character A won the board vote and went from X% at the freeze to Y% by the end" 100 times just isn't interesting. That said it actually was interesting here, because debated matches turning into hilarious blowouts are always entertaining. L-Block was a threat to win this match and go on a deep contest run. Instead he lost in round one and made Kefka look as strong as Charizard. That's one hell of a feat, and it was another data point in a very real trend this contest -- people are beyond fed up with rallybait joke characters. Every single one of them got demolished this year, and L-Block was no exception.
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Anagram posted...

Why did Peach not gain any of the ridiculous strength Zelda did?

Was Peach in botw?
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_Dog_ posted...

Pardon for asking this Ulti, but what made you support Monika? In the light of your judgements against Shantae and Neptunia, it surprises me how much you were behind what was essentially a 4chan creation.

She was the most likely rallybait character that could conceivably win this contest, and I enjoy games that break the 4th wall so hard that there is no respect for the 4th wall even existing.
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Division 3 Round 1: (6)Yuna vs (11)Godot

(6)Yuna - 21248 [72.56%]
(11)Godot - 8036 [27.44%]
Total Votes - 29284
Prediction Percentage - 84.46%

Godot finally gets into a character battle and we all have to watch him get fed to Yuna in round one? Really? We couldn't have had him get put up against Shantae, one of the Yazuka losers, Neptune, or Draven? Come on Allen, how you gonna do us dirty like that? =p

The thought of Godot breaking like 85% on Draven is hilarious to me, but I digress. If Manfred von Karma didn't exist, Godot would be my favorite character in the entire Phoenix Wright series. Even if you're not a fan of visual novels or adventure type games, I highly recommend Trials and Tribulations. It's the one game in that series that really stands out, even more than the original, and Godot is the biggest reason for it. Third game, fifth case. I don't need to say much else. There aren't many examples of better storytelling in video games than this dude.

Unfortunately, it feels like Board 8 is the only place on the entire internet that's actually gone through these Phoenix Wright games. Then Phoenix appeared in Marvel vs Crapcom: DLC Edition and his legacy was ruined for good. There is just no coming back from something that stupid, even if it did help boost Phoenix's strength a little in contests. Anyway, we got Godot the lead for a few seconds, and then Yuna just smashed him en route to breaking 70%. I don't get sad over blowouts often in my jaded old age, but this one gutted me.

I like Yuna. I really do. Her character in FFX was amazing, even if her voice actress was a steaming pile of hemorrhoid cesspool. Outside of a comedy guy acting like an N7 marine commander in Mass Effect, I don't think it can get much worse than whatever the hell Yuna's voice actress was trying to do. But the character is good, hence why Yuna has retained some strength even in the face of bad voice acting, Square being in the toilet, and Final Fantasy X-2. Just sucks her moment this year had to come at Godot's expense.
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Division 3 Round 1: (3)Alucard vs (14)Princess Peach

(3)Alucard - 16635 [56.81%]
(14)Princess Peach - 12649 [43.19%]
Total Votes - 29284
Prediction Percentage - 62.94%

This match was virtually identical to Big Boss v Ridley, right down to the votes, the percentages, the prediction percentages, and the fear going in that Nintendo/Smash was going to roll over everything. Granted Alucard is in Smash as an assist trophy, but he's also dealing with a character more popular than Ridley. Basically after round 1 of divisions 1 and 2, people who aren't fans of Smash and Nintendo had resigned themselves to what was coming. The irony is Smash itself had a mole working from within, but we'll get to Cloud's amazing run later. Let's stick to the early stuff for now.

Looking back on people being afraid of Alucard losing this match, doesn't it all seem ridiculous now? This is a dude that would end up dispatching Peach in seconds before moving on to do some pretty amazing things. Alucard is always good for a good contest run, and this is the best one he would end up having by a mile. But if you look at 57% on Peach in a vacuum it's a bunch of whatever.

I love Peach, everyone knows this, but let's actually look at her history here. Her one shining moment came in that terrible male/female 2006 bracket, where she SFFd Daisy and beat Jill Valentine by 27 votes. She has won nothing since. She even has a Gordon Freeman loss in there, which would have been a hilarious first victory for the GFNW legend. 57% on someone like that means nothing, but given Alucard's contest this year, I'm counting everything he does as impressive because it helps Peach save face <3
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paulg235 posted...

Ulti_PCA posted...

We all like Crash, but in his extensive contest history, he had two wins before this match. 2002 against Ulala (who?) and 2013 in a 3way against Wheatley and Elizabeth

Crash (barely) lost to Elizabeth in the second round. The other character in his 1st round win was Tommy Vercetti.

My readers do the actual heavy lifting in these things :D
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Division 3 Round 1: (4)Big Boss vs (13)Ridley

(4)Big Boss - 16855 [56.66%]
(13)Ridley - 12890 [43.34%]
Total Votes - 29745
Prediction Percentage - 61.28%

Because of how Smash hype was clearly affecting this contest, paired with how Konami basically murdered Metal Gear Solid, there was a ton of fear that Ridley would be able to pull the upset. Turns out Ridley wasn't too big for Smash after all!



HE KILLED SAMUS! OH MY GOD HE KILLED SAMUS!!

But he couldn't kill Big Boss, or even get the board vote against him. This one was never close, though Ridley was clearly a step above from where he used to be, and Big Boss was clearly a step down. The effects of Smash and MGS's fates are pretty obvious, but they weren't going to close such a wide gap. For Big Boss, this match was a small measure of revenge for what happened in the Rivalry Rumble: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/4561-southeast-division-final-samus-vs-ridley-big-boss-vs-the

Then again, does anyone care enough about the Rivalry Rumble to try getting revenge for it? Without looking it up, all I remember about that contest was Link winning, the Pokemon Trainers beating FF7 in a fake match, and Adolf Hitler making it into a GameFAQs contest match.

There weren't many bright spots for non-Smash characters versus Smash characters in this contest, and even some of the wins in that position were rough. But this was one of the few bright spots. We are in a time line where Ridley winning this wouldn't have surprised people, but Big Boss shot that one down immediately. Turns out the old dog can still hunt!
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