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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/20/21 2:08:14 PM
#255
BBIG up $0.40 after hours.

PR on Lomo India launch AH
Confirmed ER on Monday
Confirmed post ER discussion call on Tuesday

Hopefully we get some running here. Got a modest stack of $4.50 calls expiring this coming week.

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TopicDo you like this character? Day 1349: Ginny Weasley (Harry Potter)
Lopen
11/19/21 11:28:46 AM
#47
No. Boring in the movies and the books I've read.

I haven't read every book but I read most of the last few and I feel like people saying "she's better in the books" are exaggerating a bit.

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/19/21 10:27:04 AM
#253
I had sold my Zm puts at about +70% (thank goodness) because there was a lot of time left and it had dipped a lot

Now I'm back in. Single 235p for $310 for next week. Bought it with pretty much the profits of the last play on Zm so not a huge risk but I feel like Zm to $200 range is plausible. Well see

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TopicFinal Fantasy Music Contest (FFMC) Day 12: Featuring Eyes on Me v The Valkyrie
Lopen
11/18/21 10:26:14 PM
#25
The Archylte Steppe
From the Heavens
Antipyretic
The Valkyrie

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TopicSave My Smash Ultimate Character: Day 44! [SMSUC]
Lopen
11/18/21 1:15:56 PM
#63
Ryu

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TopicWall Street Journal dropping the bombs on Bobby Kotick
Lopen
11/18/21 1:03:13 PM
#34
*Thumbs up*

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TopicWall Street Journal dropping the bombs on Bobby Kotick
Lopen
11/18/21 1:00:37 PM
#32
I'm not being a dick. I'm not playing with kid gloves, but I'm not trying to be a dick.

You're posting stuff that is pretty patently wrong, and I'm calling it dumb. Pretty simple!

If you want a good example of pretentious

UshiromiyaEva posted...
Do I even want to know what type of takes I'm not seeing here?

Believe it or not, no one cares what you're not seeing. There is no reason to post that than other than to try and exhibit some sort of unmerited superiority over whoever's posts you aren't seeing-- and you make empty posts like that all the time. Posts like that are literally just a waste of time to read. Literally no one cares but you, but you go ahead and say you're not pretentious while posting an endless spew of empty opinion posts and observations that no one else is interested in because you can't be bothered to elaborate on anything or do anything beyond make the statement, because we should all care what your opinion or observation is even though it adds nothing to our lives.

Reading your posts is like if we had youtube comments that everyone skips attached to our topics, minus the "thumbs up if you agree" at the end

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TopicWall Street Journal dropping the bombs on Bobby Kotick
Lopen
11/18/21 12:47:28 PM
#27
UltimaterializerX posted...
And the only user here better than me at Hearthstone is @VeryInsane . That isnt an opinion, either. Its a factual data-driven claim. Ive hit legend every month (except one) for more than 2 years. Thats something that only the top 0.1% of players can claim. The percentage might even be much less than that, but Ill just go with Vicious Syndicates data and call it a day.

I think a lot of people on b8 are better than you at the game. They just don't want to play enough to hit legend that much.

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TopicWall Street Journal dropping the bombs on Bobby Kotick
Lopen
11/18/21 12:46:03 PM
#26
I wouldn't be offended. I don't really talk to you much because I think most of your posts are pretentious, tripe, or both. This is no intent to offend either (though no intent to NOT offend)

However I'm pretty sure calling them out on that has had you block me before. You having me blocked at one point and then later unblocking me because you couldn't remember blocking me could explain why you don't remember anything I've posted before too.

But maybe it was some other weeaboo sounding alt of someone else who gloats a lot about blocking people, or one of your alts or something. Can't honestly be sure!

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TopicFinal Fantasy Music Contest (FFMC) Day 11 ft Fisherman's Horizon v Tidus's Theme
Lopen
11/18/21 12:27:10 PM
#32
Ink Long Dry
Tidus's Theme
The Feywood
Zero

I probably like match 3 more than all the other songs combined lol

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TopicSave My Smash Ultimate Character: Day 44! [SMSUC]
Lopen
11/18/21 12:09:03 PM
#27
Oh.

Sephiroth

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TopicSave My Smash Ultimate Character: Day 44! [SMSUC]
Lopen
11/18/21 12:07:19 PM
#21
Richter

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TopicWall Street Journal dropping the bombs on Bobby Kotick
Lopen
11/18/21 12:06:18 PM
#23
redrocket posted...
because he doesnt like any of their games from WC III on.

I would point out that's largely because they've let bad business practices leak into the games for most releases since then.

They're not exactly independent. Most stuff he really harps on about their games being bad is directly caused by poor business practices. Diablo 3's auction house, server problems, botched remakes, milking games with expansions/dlc when they should have had them to begin with. These are not "the game was poorly designed" these are "the game was rushed or intentionally designed in a way to maximize profits"

(the rest is him being bad at Hearthstone) (though a lot of the poor design decisions in Hearthstone possibly trace back to money too since the game wants you to buy boosters)

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TopicWall Street Journal dropping the bombs on Bobby Kotick
Lopen
11/18/21 12:00:04 PM
#20
Well personally I appreciate him not blocking me. As insipid as his posts tend to be on the whole I'd rather see them so I can follow the flow of conversation. I'd ignore a bit more often but I find empty spaces more annoying than actually reading the bad posts so I try to reserve it for people who aren't ever going to contribute to a conversation in a way that anyone will respond to.

But yeah saying Ulti hasn't been super against Blizzard at pretty much every front possible is just too dumb to not respond to. You wanna argue right stance wrong reasons and put it on Hearthstone, well, that's just like, your opinion, man, but I think that's kinda got it backwards-- Blizzard's shady business practices fed Ulti's hate of the games moreso than the other way around.

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TopicWall Street Journal dropping the bombs on Bobby Kotick
Lopen
11/18/21 11:44:24 AM
#18
He's been pretty vocal about Blizzard across the board though.

Not that you're going to see this as I'm pretty sure you have me ignored too lmao. Easy to not think anyone who disagrees with you said anything of merit when you ignore everyone who does.

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TopicSooo is anyone playing Diablo 2: Resurrected?
Lopen
11/18/21 12:56:31 AM
#175
Basically to me there are two "goals" in Diablo 2

1. Beat Uber Tristram with a character
2. Get a character to level 99 in hardcore (no real reason to do it in classic but there's something satisfying about doing it in hc)

So if the idea of hardcore is scary to you, if you beat Uber Tristram with a character imo the only reason to keep playing that character is to find loot for other characters. That's not necessarily a bad thing. It just means you can't really endlessly play the same character, which is fine! Trying new builds is cool.

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/17/21 1:57:00 PM
#245
So what could tank the stock.

Valuation fails to complete
Tyde dividend canceled

That's basically it. If we get valuation it will be higher than market cap (the joke is their market cap is close to CASH ON HAND at this point) which will send it up. Tyde dividend cancelation seems exceedingly unlikely due to SEC forms filed and press releases

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/17/21 1:52:30 PM
#243
I'm not gambling. Just because the price doesn't show yet the evidence is there that the proper steps are being taken for the stock to have a beast of a run.

I'm sorry my risk profile is too high for you and you know if I make like 300k I'm gonna be too happy with my money to rub your face in it but please stop calling me a pumper. I only want him in because the downside seems super low right now.

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/17/21 1:44:28 PM
#242
I know what I have. Price is irrelevant. If I bought a car I knew was worth 50k for 10k and a few weeks later some dude offered me 7k I wouldn't sell it either. Same thing here. If I don't make 500%+ return here, no regrets, but the price going down is meaningless. Only news matters

As for moonroof I helped make him like 100k by pushing him to go for Trumpbucks so I wouldn't feel guilty at all. If he invested a small sum he wouldn't be at risk of losing that much either

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/17/21 1:34:59 PM
#240
For no reason! Buy the fearrrr

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/17/21 1:30:52 PM
#238
I have a $15000 cash inflow coming in soon from sales and service contracts

I'd use it all on BBIG shares at these prices.

Alas I won't have it till early Dec

Moonroof JOIN ME AND WE WILL DOMINATE THE EARTH on Monday

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/17/21 1:26:35 PM
#237
I am showing -10k unrealized gains right now

I keep buying

It's glorious

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/17/21 11:38:21 AM
#230
9 more BBIG $4.5c Nov 26.

Earnings set in stone for the 22nd (or earlier) so it's do or die real soon.

(I'm an idiot who likes to burn money)

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TopicFinal Fantasy Music Contest (FFMC) Predictions, Results & Discussion Topic
Lopen
11/16/21 3:57:23 PM
#116
Really glad Besaid went 0 for 2

Do not understand the love for that track

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TopicRate the VG Story Day 156: Final Fantasy II
Lopen
11/15/21 8:05:40 PM
#4
2/10

I kinda like this game but the plot is a good example of not trying being better than trying sometimes.

Final Fantasy 1 with its plot you can summarize in a few sentences I would call a better plot.

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/15/21 5:46:50 PM
#227
I think I"m just going to ride these last warrants till the end. (Or 10x I suppose)

Reflex add seems to be a big deal and in 2022 should nearly double their revenue.

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TopicFinal Fantasy Music Contest (FFMC) Day 9: Feat. Besaid (X) v Decisive Battle (V)
Lopen
11/15/21 2:29:07 PM
#5
Decisive Battle V
Woe that is Madness
Battle 2 MQ
A Long Fall

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/15/21 1:33:54 PM
#223
Regretting selling those warrants. Lot of tree shaking going on right now. I'm super bullish about this ER the more I think about it. The guidance should be slamming with this expansion.

Warrants are still good buys and potentially 10-20 baggers though. Stock maybe a 3-6 bagger. Could see $10-$20 range easy with positive EPS and good guidance-- similar to how BGFV ran to $40 from sub $1 CREX has a similar profile in terms of market cap, volume, and increasing EPS. Ain't buying em back though. I'll just deal with making less if it runs don't wanna chase

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/15/21 12:45:30 PM
#222
Yeah. The SEC filing tells you the date and the price. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1356093/000121390018016337/f8k111418ex99-1_creative.htm

Good for 5 years after the filing (so 11-23 as said) and at $4.35 each

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/15/21 12:42:01 PM
#220
I don't know how exercising warrants works exactly. I have about 33% of my initial investment (4500 warrants) still in (sold before the second spike oops) so I should still make good gains if it really does fly

I know the stock needs to hold above $4.35 for 10 consecutive trading days for it to be exercisable ($4.35 is the exercise price)

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TopicSave My Smash Ultimate Character: Day 41! [SMSUC]
Lopen
11/15/21 12:31:19 PM
#30
Richter

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/15/21 11:43:45 AM
#217
However I will say if the company has a bullish ER it could definitely fly now. It's possible the owners are smart and are trying to one-two (ER is today) the stock price into the stratosphere

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/15/21 11:36:36 AM
#216
CREX announced a merger with another company late Friday

I sold off most though. Will get in later if the price stays down but I don't trust this company to hold gains yet and I like other stocks more now

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TopicAny games you associate with each holiday?
Lopen
11/14/21 5:09:35 PM
#20
Christmas I kinda think of Final Fantasy VI and Super Metroid. In terms of gifts that was by far the best Christmas I ever had, the year I got those two.

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TopicAre you still wearing CLOTHES and SHOES that are 3+ YEARS AGO????
Lopen
11/13/21 11:33:04 PM
#5
Most of my wardrobe is < 3 years old. But it's really not a conscious choice or that I'm rotating quite that regularly I just got a lot of new clothes the past few years. My usual lifespan is probably between 5-7 years

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Topicboard 8 sociopaths
Lopen
11/13/21 11:29:11 PM
#4
I identify as a psychopathic if anything but definitely not a sociopath

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TopicAEW PPV Predictions Game - Full Gear 2021 [wrestling]
Lopen
11/13/21 11:29:53 AM
#26
Change to Inner Circle

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TopicAEW PPV Predictions Game - Full Gear 2021 [wrestling]
Lopen
11/13/21 11:23:33 AM
#25
Thunder Rosa & Hikaru Shida
Andrade El Idolo & Malakai Black
Adam Cole & The Young Bucks
CM Punk
Darby Allin
The Lucha Brothers (c)
Men of the Year & American Top Team
Bryan Danielson
Dr. Britt Baker, D.M.D. (c)
Kenny Omega (c)

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/11/21 12:59:24 PM
#207
Right. However keep in mind Hudson only around 20 million warrants and current borrowed shares is around 37 million-- also them shorting literally every warrant seems unlikely and they have exercise price of $9 (so they wouldn't be exercised until we reach $9+ which is 100% gain from here)

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/11/21 12:38:05 PM
#205
Moonroof posted...
I have all my money tied in GS puts expiring tomorrow. Is BBIG really worth another shot?

Put your 50k you made from Trump in imo. That brings risk down long enough that you should be able to hold through games (I really think $4.30 is the floor though-- that has been tested again and again these past couple of weeks and it's held)

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/11/21 12:37:39 PM
#204
Now if you want my holdings I can tell you how I expect the timeline to go

1812 Shares (this is my hedge if none of the calls print and my fuel for covered calls if they begin to)
6 4.5c Nov 12
9 5.50c Nov 12 (I honestly think this can pop any day now and these were super cheap bought when it was at like $4.37 yesterday)
35 5c Dec 3
15 8c Dec 10 (By the end of the month we should have had earnings and the form will have been released-- retrace to minimal $9 by this point seems very likely. I spread between the two days as I don't want to bet it all on one timing)
20 7.50c Jan 2022
18 20c Jan 2022 (Tyde dividend/spinoff will be in circulation for 3 weeks at this point if it isn't delayed, so price should have begun to surge here)
61 10c Apr 2022
47 13c Apr 2022
20 20c Apr 2022 (If it really surges my plan is to just sell the 13cs outright to bank a ton of money, use the others as covered call collateral/convert to shares depending on how well it goes)
5 5c Jan 2023 (these 5cs are basically more proxy shares, definitely expect to exercise these in the end)

So I dunno my price target is like $10 by December $40-$120 ($275 is the war cry) by January-April

If the spinoff doesn't happen it's more like $7 by December, $15-$40 by January-April. This is all based on market cap math and historical price action of Overstock.

Downside is if earnings are crap, valuation is crap, spinoff doesn't happen, and Zash rebrand doesn't happen yeah we could see $2 again. I choose to believe this won't happen because the new CEO looks competent though.

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/11/21 12:21:21 PM
#202
So there isn't much bear thesis at these levels honestly (short sellers can be stubborn/conceited as we've seen in the past), but here are some possibilities for it to implode and why I think we haven't seen much covering just yet (aside from pride).

  1. Earnings could come up really terrible in terms of EPS and projected revenue gain from Lomo/Adrizer/Tyde (still technically linked with BBIG until spinoff) is looking not encouraging (keep in mind EPS was at -0.08 in recent quarters where it wasn't acquiring things, so it would be unlikely for it to show another huge negative number without something nice to show for it) so the cash burn could be estimated to be very high
  2. The Tyde spinoff is called off or delayed for some reason and retail panic sells. I personally do not think it's necessary to have the spinoff to make a lot of money here. I also do not believe that the spinoff won't happen or be delayed as Tyde has an SEC filing that says it will be traded by the end of the year. But the fear is admittedly somewhat justified as they've had many delays thus far.
  3. The valuation of BBIG in their form 10 comes up as well below the 5b estimate. (seems unlikely-- people could be facing jail time and honestly based on valuation of other social media platforms of similar or lower size 5b seems conservative)
  4. Call options have been super stacked to the bull side for a while, so market makers are working with the short sellers at the moment, which can make the game of chicken seem more winnable.
I guarantee you this would not still be being shorted if Farnsworth stink was not on it, but eventually strength of the product will come through you have to imagine. Keep in mind that one of the main short sellers is likely Hudson who bought a lot of warrants as that's a common strategy for companies in possession of a lot of warrants (they can exercise the warrants to cover)-- they have no reason to want it to fail long term though.

But if you want my guess I think right now I think shorts are trying to stall until earnings as that's an implosion catalyst and will begin to cover then or just before then (unless form 10 shows up on the SEC feed before then). I also suspect that some shorts are shorting based on a computer algorithm that they are not monitoring and a low cap that reports -1.8 and -5.13 EPS in the last two quarters looks very juicy for bankruptcy risk if you don't dig in (since short endgame is bankruptcy), especially since some of the press releases/news have claimed senior staff members have been "resigning" which is another bankruptcy flag if things are automated (they didn't resign they got moved to Tyde which is going to be a spinoff company as said).

Oh side note even if the spinoff doesn't happen Vinco Ventures is likely changing their ticker name (leaving symbol as BBIG) to Zash Media which as I understand it at the very least causes naked shorts to need to cover.

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/11/21 11:23:07 AM
#200
red sox 777 posted...
Yeah I'm still not seeing a reason to be excited about BBIG, but good luck to you.

I'll shill it one last time for you and the rest of this topic.

  1. Current market cap is literally below cash on hand BBIG should have no need to dilute in the future (and has said it won't need to)
  2. Independent valuation of Lomotif (A Tiktoklike Social Media thingwhich BBIG owns 80% of) in a separate SEC filing had it at 5b Market Cap. At 80% it'd be 4b, which is 10x BBIG's current market cap. BBIG also owns Adrizer which is an advertising platform-- good synergy with a social media platform.
  3. The PR giving some details on the Tyde spinoff said it will be 10:1 ratio. Nasdaq listing requirements for Tyde means the company has to have minimal 80m assets-- given the style of the BBIG's spinoff that means BBIG's valuation would need to be minimal of 800m (2x BBIG's current market cap). We also have evidence that Tyde is a legitimate bitcoin mining op from the filings/announcements so I suspect the valuation isn't the bare minimum.
  4. Short interest is hovering around 38% and has been rapidly increasing in the past month, as well as Cost to Borrow increasing from 20% to 100%. Tyde spinoff (slated to be before the end of the year) will force shorts to cover-- we've had this happen with Overstock in 2020 as they need to deliver spinoff shares to close out short positions.
This is just the company. Now if you look at the price/volume action of sudden plunges in the stock price for no reason, news not moving it up, institutional investors getting in as per filings, all the intangibles with bears spreading fake information when it's about to run, buzz on reddit/stocktwits/twitter. To me there's a ton of upside here. ESPECIALLY if it cracks $10 (so it crosses the market cap to be on WSB).

You don't need to make money with me. I'm just saying this isn't Smile Direct Club or Wish or any number of other "SQUEEZE LOL SQUEEZE" stocks. There's a lot to be excited about here. I'm not throwing 60% of my portfolio into it based on nothing but hype and hope.

The only reason it hasn't moved is because we are still waiting for the official Form 10 valuation of BBIG and the earnings call not showing the company hemorrhaging money will be nice. Greedy when others are fearful etc etc. Breadcrumbs are there between 8Ks and PRs.

The upside is a lot higher and more likely than the downside at these levels. The only reason people aren't in it is because moviepass guy is involved (and he's not even involved in BBIG directly anymore) and because there's a lot of fake information out there and the price action is kinda scary. But I think the FLOOR for price when the spinoff occurs is at least the 52 week high of $12.50. Realistically it can go much much higher. Overstock went from $3 to like $120. In some ways there is actually more upside here than with Overstock, too between Lomo, Adrizer, and Tyde.

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/11/21 9:44:07 AM
#195
BBIG volume super low today. If I recall correctly the days of Gamestop squeezes the volume fell to crap.

I'm so excited. I can feel it in my bones. Something's a brewin.

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/10/21 6:54:14 PM
#192
Nanis23 posted...
Yay Disney shit on earnings
It's like the only company I am holding with a decent sum (4x as other stocks)

Why am I such a shitty gambler

Just keep holding unless you need the money now. Disney is rock solid for growth in the next few years as COVID dies out

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TopicSave My Smash Ultimate Character: Day 36! [SMSUC]
Lopen
11/10/21 4:46:43 PM
#116
Ryu


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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/10/21 2:49:20 PM
#184
Man that's more than I've ever had I'm impressed!

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/10/21 2:42:21 PM
#182
Meanwhile I'm hardly noticing because my puts on Zoom are going up to offset my other stuff a bit and my BBIG is hardly moving

"Meme" stocks are surprisingly resilient during market dumps

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TopicStock Topic 34
Lopen
11/10/21 2:38:59 PM
#181
Evergrande also defaulted on a payment and is going Bankrupt is what I've heard

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TopicSave My Smash Ultimate Character: Day 36! [SMSUC]
Lopen
11/10/21 1:58:38 PM
#37
Sephiroth

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