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TopicMarvel Snap Topic 14: Spidey's Kong Quest
Lopen
06/22/23 5:26:49 PM
#222
Like you just Quinjet and you can drop a 6 on turn 5 and 6

I used Fury without the buff and thought he was somewhat decent so yeah it's exciting imo.

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TopicMarvel Snap Topic 14: Spidey's Kong Quest
Lopen
06/22/23 5:20:48 PM
#219
swordz9 posted...
I personally basically never saw Fury played and did Red Skull need to basically go back to pre-Shuri nerf stuff?

Fury is a pretty significant buff imo. Can actually use 2 of his recruits without too much work now.

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TopicMarvel Snap Topic 14: Spidey's Kong Quest
Lopen
06/22/23 5:05:32 PM
#211
Fury and Nimrod buffs are exciting at least.

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TopicMarvel Snap Topic 14: Spidey's Kong Quest
Lopen
06/22/23 2:09:42 PM
#207
Got another Infinity Ticket from the first free gold ticket pretty cool

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia Topic 2 Kirby or Death?
Lopen
06/22/23 10:31:21 AM
#69
ViolentAbacus posted...

Lopen, I was going to ask what made you change and think Sbell was town after? And why do you think Peaf is scum? Do you still believe that? (Was going to ask this before I saw the Direct, now I guess it doesn't really matter until tomorrow).

Peaf and Isquen were focusing on how scummy I was and completely ignoring sbell

My thought was sbell was going to flip town and they were setting up a 1-2

And yes I still think peaf is scum. He seems like he's playing a character with his bravado about me being scum and not trying to solve anything

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TopicFavorite Ace Attorney Character: Day 6
Lopen
06/22/23 2:08:52 AM
#14
Haste_2 posted...
Gumshoe, but some of my favorite quotes are connected to Vasquez.

Vasquez: "I don't remember."
Phoenix: "..."
Vasquez: "..."
Phoenix: "...Maybe you could try remembering?"
Vasquez: "No."

(something like that)

Vasquez voter here

She's great. Love 1-3.

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TopicMarvel Snap Topic 14: Spidey's Kong Quest
Lopen
06/21/23 7:13:45 PM
#198
Wasp and Hulk buff are a big part of the problem though

Wasp in particular cycling out with Lockjaw and her on reveal is super obnoxious

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia Topic 2 Kirby or Death?
Lopen
06/21/23 6:25:44 PM
#4
I'm ready to go to the next day. Ping me if you all have any other questions of me otherwise I'll let you all talk without me eating bandwidth.

Feel pretty safe in Kirby being scum at the moment. Think Death is too but Kirby is absolutely the lynch for me.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 6:17:32 PM
#420
I'm not even saying you have to be scum by doing that.

People misplay whatever.

I'm just saying if I was Kirby there is already data to suggest you're scum just by the fact that he knows you're doctor already. That should immediately ping him and make him consider "is no lynch best or should I get scum here"

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 6:10:08 PM
#417
Like if Death claims doctor under pressure, yes, let it be, live to fight again.

If Death claims doctor immediately to start a gladiator match-- does a real doctor do this or does he try to keep his role secret as long as he can and win through conventional terms first? Kirby had some murmurings about him being scum-- it seems absurd that a town doctor would immediately want to claim rather than just trying to determine and convince people his opponent his scum first.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 6:07:24 PM
#414
Kirby321 posted...
Call me crazy, but I really don't think I'm wrong here for not immediately thinking Death is scum.

I'm not saying you should immediately think Death is scum

I'm saying you should actually investigate him instead of shrugging and saying "well I haven't got a scum read on him guys!!" when you're gladiating with him.

You know you're town. You know scum would have no qualms fakeclaiming doctor here to ensure your doom. You still give this claim all the credibility of an doctor claim under different circumstances in spite of that despite it being more likely he's lying scum.

It's either the mindset of scum vs scum or scum who knows too much and knows he's telling the truth.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 6:03:40 PM
#411
To set the record straight I am actually saying he's more likely to be scum fakeclaiming doctor than doctor BUT it is more condemning of Kirby than Death yes.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 6:01:16 PM
#408
Why Death is scum
Doctor claim literally immediately feels more like something scum drawing doctor counterclaim would do
Lightly attacked sbell from the shadows like an imp as he received pressure
Acting like I'm being dumb/crazy when I'm not actually being dumb/crazy

Why Kirby is scum
Completely spineless play for a cop-- should be trying to build a case on Death or at least looking into why Death might be scum rather than just saying "nothing in particular feels scummy" and just wringing your wrists "oh well guys"
Doesn't understand basic probability math and instead goes with trying to say odds of town vs odds of scum
Claims he was joke voting Sbell (who was at 3 votes at the time-- that is not kosher joke voting procedure with 7 to lynch. ha ha great joke dude he's gonna get lynched) while he previously raised some suspicion of sbell along the way

I can POSSIBLY humor Death is town to the point where I wouldn't immediately lynch him if he survived the night. I honestly can't humor Kirby is at this point and would want to lynch him tomorrow if he was alive under any circumstance.

Therefore we should lynch Kirby.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 5:49:55 PM
#399
htaeD posted...
Also the longer Lopen is continuing his literally useless percentage theories.
The more I am inclined to believe he is scum trying to masquerade as being 'bad town who does not want to learn from his mistakes'

What is literally useless about percentages

Scum fakeclaiming doctor is way more likely than doctor. That's not useless that's just facts.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 5:49:01 PM
#398
PeaceFrog posted...
Sounds like you're setting up reason to push the lynch tomorrow of whichever one doesn't go today, so that you can fire off into the realm of the unclaimed tonight.

No I want to lynch you or Isquen tomorrow.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 5:24:04 PM
#383
We should definitely hammer well before 48 for game morale but if people have stuff to talk about get it out of your system

If only one is scum it's definitely Kirby based on play but I do think Ulti went 2 for 2.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 5:04:11 PM
#376
They are both scum flushing power Ulti. You did good.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 4:51:28 PM
#372
It's not a fallacy because you can't use the odds of town vs odds of scum

It is literally odds of doctor vs odds of scum

Ulti has 7 or 8/11 of hitting town
That town has a small chance of being the doctor.
You have to multiply the probabilities with town. Scum just lies so if scum aligned you don't reduce the chances.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 4:41:53 PM
#364
PeaceFrog posted...
It's just lopen talking for his scum mate.

Why am I the only one who clearly sees this continued level of conviction about my alignment as fake

This is not omgus this is "you can't be that sure I'm scum OR town based on what I've done this game"

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 4:35:23 PM
#361
Kirby321 posted...
Walk me through that statistic because that makes literally no sense unless you've already assumed Ulti is scum, which is like... do you really not see the issue with that conclusion

4 scum in the game
1 doc

Random guy Ulti suspects is picked for gladiate there is a much higher chance it is scum fakeclaiming than the actual doctor. At least 4x as likely by the numbers.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 4:28:24 PM
#358
Kirby321 posted...
Everyone else I don't have much of a read on, least of all Death

Maybe you should try to get a read on Death rather than assuming a doctor claim just randomly got picked when scum is 4x as likely

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 4:26:37 PM
#355
I saw the timing but to claim you did a pure joke vote to put a guy at 4/7 when you were already looking his way with previous posts

I don't buy that

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 4:18:19 PM
#352
Kirby321 posted...
Also, SBell, I feel like normally you would've joined in on the fun this early on in the game. I could be mistaken... but why so serious?

Homie doesn't "joke vote" sbell with pressure if he posted this earlier.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 4:17:47 PM
#350
Kirby321 posted...
I voted SBell as a joke and fully intended to unvote him as soon as he got close to being hammered

Joke vote? At that stage in the game? After you were slowly building shade?

Doubt.

Very safe feeling they're both scum now.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 3:47:08 PM
#340
Yeah definitely scum scum fishing for power

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 3:44:31 PM
#337
UltimaterializerX posted...
I do not expect Kirby to flip town. I expect him to claim doctor.

So you think Death is doc?

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 3:35:24 PM
#332
UltimaterializerX posted...
Is this gonna be one of those games where Im confirmed town+ and still get lynched anyway? If so then lol

I won't lynch you

I do think it's two scum but I think you just made the right read.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 3:21:56 PM
#328
IfGodCouldDie posted...
So this right here is a huge red flag for me.

Would explain why Death was so trigger happy with Doc claim if both scum too.

Real doc if it exists shouldn't counter unless super sure Kirby is town.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 3:04:45 PM
#321
PeaceFrog posted...
Go back and check my scum logs from last game. You'll see that i said we don't have to worry about lopen until later in the game, and that there was absolutely no reason to kill you n1.
Checkmate.

Doesn't mean you think I'm bad at day 1s. Means you think I'm bad at day 2s, 3s. I know you know better considering I've driven probably 2/3 of our last day 1 scum lynches

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 2:58:05 PM
#314
PeaceFrog posted...
You really are this bad at day 1s, huh

Peaf doesn't actually think I'm this bad at day 1s

Keeps burying himself

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 2:54:01 PM
#307
After I lynch

Death
Kirby
Peaf
Isquen

5 scum game? I'm coming for you.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 2:51:35 PM
#302
Obellisk posted...
scum Lea sounds upset that her happy sbell mislynch is now on her two scummates

Strong agree.

OFF the lean town list with you Lea! Off I say!

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 2:44:24 PM
#291
I was leaning Kirby before the claim which is hard to believe.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 2:34:37 PM
#285
##Vote: Death


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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 2:24:29 PM
#270
Not because isquen and peaf aren't scum but because this will give better data

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 2:24:00 PM
#268
If this is a weird gladiate thing very well done. I think those are the targets I'd pick too.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 2:23:01 PM
#267
Yesss

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 2:22:42 PM
#266
If you were to use some sorta dayvig on either of them I wouldn't be too mad

But Isquen/Peaf are better targets

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 2:22:01 PM
#264
Kirby321 posted...
Nah, Ben and I joined the same static since we were both getting tired of Party Finder being dunces lol
I think once upon a time Ben was in a static back in Shadowbringers. But he's been progging the Endwalker raids in PF since then. We both cleared P9S through PF but have yet to get our reclear because lol PF. And as fortune would have it, a new person to our FC

It's funny because our raid time starts at 8 PM EST, so 7 PM would've worked out very nicely. Not that I'm complaining; the late deadline time really only affects Death to a degree. I'd much rather have people active and available at the end of the day than otherwise. And on most days, 10 PM will work out nicely for me anyway.

... So regarding mafia, guess I'll be the first to ask: IGCD, you're kickass for starting the day with a vote, but any particular reason you started with a vote on Lea without explanation?

I started the "train" on Red because I was trying to make a pun.
Isquen voted Lopen as a "return to form" (whatever that means).
You voted SBell for being completely serious during this inevitable joke phase of the game.

I don't think any of our votes are serious at this stage, but just to generate discussion, I think your initial vote on Lea makes the least sense out of all the feckless votes tossed out thus far. What was your thought process there?

Also, SBell, I feel like normally you would've joined in on the fun this early on in the game. I could be mistaken... but why so serious?

This post in particular sticks out a bit to me. The end, notably. Kirby soft commits to a line on sbell but doesn't commit until later.

Death was doing the same minus ever committing to a vote

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 2:19:33 PM
#262
UltimaterializerX posted...
Lopen, what say you on those two players? Am I on the right track you think?

Very possible. Kirby vote came at a key time to press the offensive on sbell as well.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 2:14:17 PM
#256
Sbell is town remix

Town
3. Lopen
5.sbell
6.red.
9. IGCD

Leaning Town
1. Lea
8. Ulti

Insufficient Data
10. abacus
13. Corrik

Leaning Scum
2. Wallz
4. Death
12. Kirby

Scum
7. isquen
11.Peaf

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TopicSave My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XXV: Day 17 [smfffc]
Lopen
06/21/23 2:03:52 PM
#62
Vanille

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 2:02:11 PM
#246
There is 0 chance both Peaf and Isquen are town if Sbell is town. 0 chance.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 1:59:18 PM
#245
UltimaterializerX posted...
Waiting on host confirmation to see if Im allowed to target no lynch.

The only player getting killed today is someone with my personal blessing to get whacked.

Use it on me to validate my reads then because if you think peaf and isquen and sbell are all town you need help solving

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 1:56:38 PM
#242
PeaceFrog posted...
11 hours in and we caught multiple scum. Gj folks. Let's start with this one.

##Vote: Lopen

Top tier joke from Wallz, it took me a second but it has fundamentally changed how i look at May birthdays. Well done.

This is your initial post. Admittedly you actually didn't give reasoning I gave you too much credit and assigned you wallz's reasoning.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 1:52:30 PM
#236
Ulti are you claiming dayvig or not

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 1:51:11 PM
#235
UltimaterializerX posted...
Lopen just claim so we can kill someone else.

UltimaterializerX posted...
https://youtu.be/DwXKzyvTZAc


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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 1:50:45 PM
#234
PeaceFrog posted...
Tell me the last time you were right about what someone would or wouldn't do as the alignment you thought they were on day 1.

Last game. Caught multiple scum on Kirby/Dumey.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 1:49:36 PM
#232
UltimaterializerX posted...
I will have a fun game :)

I actually have no idea what you redacted so Im just curious.

Scum

And I'm vowing not to go there this game. Someone else can make that case if it comes to that.

But since I'm treating you as town you have to work with me. Why are people so sure on me being scum without knowing sbell will flip town? You convince me their arguments are good, particularly in light of them making NO ATTEMPTS to defend sbell, and I will try to understand why they can't be scum.

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TopicGamefaq Mafia Mafia topic 1. Welcome to Sultan's Fun House
Lopen
06/21/23 1:46:26 PM
#229
Your case is literally

- someone who was voting early had to be scum
- pushing the sbell lynch

We've got a ton of the game saying sbell looks scum and no one is calling me out on trying to lynch sbell except you and isquen

And for not much beyond that really

To me that feels like you two know his flip and are pathing a second mislynch.

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