Lurker > Lopen

I mean she was the best Harvest Moon girl but being realistic here

No. None of them really get past ambivalence for me. Rune Factory NPCs are soooo much better.

You remind me of my father

I HATED MY FATHER

The cabal is so subtle and underground I don't actually know who they are

They're everywhere

Like if the final 3 was

Hela
Spider-Man
Anyone but Loki

I wouldn't trade for the third slot. And that's my option. It's nothing personal I just like Hela and Spider-Man most of the remaining characters and don't vastly prioritize one or the other and would rather hope for the other character to be eliminated instead.

TotallyNotMI posted...

Mnk declined a trade that would have saved Makkari and Yelena and took the chance instead because he didn't want to help Makkari! That's pretty active imo

He literally had saves on the other two. It's not active hate as much as bad luck.

Anyway if you want to cancel the agreement Hombad it's completely understandable as I'm sure I made you squirm there but I'm willing to keep going as long as you are.

I would feel worse for ken if he didn't fire off the first NR.

Live by the NR die by the NR

For some reason I thought the round was going to idle for 30m and I was going to get a save

Not sure why I thought that. The one I wanted to live most out of the last 5 did though so that's good

Incredible

Man actually this topic was up a lot longer than I thought how did I miss it. Like work only is to blame for an hour 20 minutes of my delay. Was actually up 40 minutes and I just didn't see it.

Well whatever. If he dies he dies as they say

Oh hey I got in just before the H3 rush

MIGHT get a second save in, maybe.

Sorry had some work related stuff and missed the first two hours

Godspeed Loki

Also Garfield is the best Spider-Man but him winning a "best MCU character" contest is kinda silly I think is the point.

Spider-Man

Sultan's quite good as long as he doesn't have to think around power roles. Like if mafia was all vanilla town and scum I bet he'd win more than most people on b8.

kevwaffles posted...

Also real big Trump energy when your defense is "plenty of ___ are saying it" without a damn thing to back that up.

It's funny that I was getting this vibe too before you posted that.

It's like "what if Trump was a radical off leftist rather than a radical off rightist"

Like what's MAGA for people on the left.

ChaosTonyV4 posted...

a woman says I am a victim of domestic violence, and people respond negatively towards her ex enough to cause any verifiable damages, he can sue her.

I don't see the problem with that if he didn't abuse her though?

Like, coming forward about abuse and it being a lie as it was in the case of Heard is damaging to someone's reputation even if it is ultimately proven to be a lie. And people who use it as a way to try and exert power over another (Heard basically says that no one will believe Johnny in an abuse case in a recording, so that's exactly what she's doing) SHOULD be held accountable.

Like your concern here seems to be that of a slippery slope-- because this crazy situation emerged where a woman was clearly lying and was targeting a person who could very credibly claim damages, all women should become afraid of this becoming the case for a legitimate abuse case? I don't think that is what will happen. You've got a lot more incidents where speaking up works-- having one counter example (caused by the allegations of abuse being clearly fabricated or at the best case grossly exaggerated) is not going to ruin everything.

charmander6000 posted...

Going from needing a tie breaker against Castlevania to almost beating SMB was impressive.

Castlevania is a better game than SMB1 too tbh.

Zelda

The why the market is crashing is important because it dictates what your timing should be for it to leave the crash and how hard it should bounce.

In the case of pure manipulation the market bounces violently and within a few months independent of news pretty much. There will be a news story that drives it's a figurehead story.
In the case of inflation, you should be trying to figure how quickly the rate hikes course correct
In the case of supply chain you should be following the war and our relations with Russia/China and perhaps how quickly we can get other sources of oil.

They're all related but they're different timings and speed of spikes, and how long the spike lasts. Like I think in the case of inflation being the main culprit your best bet is going to be to wait until 2025 LEAPS and go hard on them when they come.

In the case of market manipulation you should just try and pin down a time where manipulators over-extended (I would call this past week that time but we'll see if the market keeps going down-- I think we're going to barcode around where we are for a while) and buy calls about 3 months out.

In the case of the war/oil I don't really know what the play is. Just keep a lot in cash, follow OPEC meetings, and go super hard on investing when oil barons think they have enough money or Putin shows signs of giving up. You'll miss the exact bottom but buying close to the bottom is better than trying to time it.

Second amendment to CryptTyde s1.

Usually if there's a second amendment approval is quick. I'm thinking tomorrow or Monday. Either case run up tomorrow looking possible.

Willing to keep agreement going if you are Hombad

I love you Thor but helping Loki snipe you out is a good feeling for being fitting

Loki

Also I think the bottom is about in. Random thing I expect may be the catalyst is the OPEC meeting around September/October. Next one is June 30 which might be interesting.

But those are the things I would expect to move the market. They're just under the radar enough that retail isn't really talking enough about them but mainstream enough that fake market movement can be attributed to them.

Puts on Oil probably also good with that in mind if you want to be negative. I think market recover pairs with a rotation out of oil.

Forward prediction is the market is going to moon on a random day based on a mostly irrelevant catalyst. I don't expect it to happen on a bullish fed meeting, but a bit before or after one so the news can pretend that was the reason for the move. Too many people are gambling on fed meetings right now so it won't actually happen for one of those. They want to pump when people aren't gambling with options.

T+35 delivery date on FTDs is the key I think, barring a way to flush out naked shorting on the spot (which is why Im on BBIG). So basically market makers can obscure price movement by failing to deliver, but after 35 days they need to either deliver or naked short it to kick the can down the road. It ends up being roughly 3 months to shake out the tricks (two T+35 cycles). June 2020 is a good example, 3 months after the covid dump a bunch of stuff ran for no reason. If you look at GME's run it started getting out of hand about 3 months after a dump from $15 to $10.

So personally I would aim for September-October calls, slightly out of the money, on whatever your favorite beaten down stock is, on the first somewhat stable day we have. (Or SPY/QQQ/VTI/whatever) I will definitely be doing some if BBIG plays out by then. I like BRK.B and BBBY personally as targets as they both have dumped hard and have share buyback programs in place to help fuel (and BBBY has a lot of short interest). IWM is also tempting because it is absurdly shorted for an index.

Rocket

Leafeon13N posted...

Trading h3 for Rocket auto

Will do this for Loki in a few

Algus

Spider-man

red sox 777 posted...

None of these strategies actually have much effect on buy and hold investors.

And note I'm not saying they do. I'm saying the market price movement is a total sham right now and we can't really know how the market is reacting to anything in a realistic sense.

Like my whole issue here was you were trying to explain to Nanis how it's different-- the fact is it's actually not as different as you're claiming because all the price movement is fake right now. Like if you're trying to tell me the economy is in a worse state now that it was when we were in covid lockdown that's patently ridiculous.

What I'm saying is we agree in terms of what the winning move is but we don't agree in terms of why the price is moving to begin with.

The problem is when the counterparties are ping ponging sells between themselves to artificially drive price down and buy orders are routed in such a way that they don't move the price up.

Like I'm not saying psychology has no place in trading-- I'm saying the methods they employ to do so don't.

I disagree

The market isn't for randomly moving stock prices on literally nothing and hoping people sell. In theory the underlying value is grounded in reality in some way.

Further we're not getting true price discovery due to abuse of dark pools. These were not abused at this level until recently.

Like

First of all anyone following the rate hike news knew .75 was all but set since Monday

Yet price still moves hard after announcement

Further it does the following

Pump fake down -> strong move up -> huge dump pre market (when most investors can't sell) that continues all day.

It's not human psychology it's fake movement designed to capture as many bagholders as possible.

red sox 777 posted...

There's nothing unusual or nefarious about it; it's just human psychology.

The vast majority of trading volume these days is generated by trading algorithms designed to exploit human psychology so it is nefarious exploitation of human psychology at work.

Has it always been this way? Probably so, but in a less blatant manner. Prices probably didn't generally move as much for the sake of moving back then.

I am not going to pull on the fest because I wasted 250 myth on this Rikku/Kimahri banner

On the plus side my Kimahri is pretty darn good now as I got everything for him from that banner as well as Yuna's Dual Awakening (didn't get Rikku's which is what I really wanted but at least I got her Dyad and Sync so not all bad). I can auto through Phoenix for Magicite Mission in 9s with the help of his Dual Awakening and he should be a great support for water DPS between his Awakening and his Dual. Really like the cap break to the party on his Dual Awakening that's a fairly unique effect.

So like is April a fighter now in new TMNT stuff or what.

I'm just wondering if this is the game taking liberties for sake of a fun character or this is actually what April is now.

Excited for playable Casey Jones though. I might actually play this-- loved the old TMNT games on the NES/SNES and this looks like the evolution of those.

Mega Man 5 is a good game. I put it fairly close in quality to Mega Man 2 and Mega Man 3. I'm basically series voting Mega Man in this contest, but that's because the really good ones got in.

Like Mega Man 1, 4, 6, they get my votes against a lot less.

But there are a few games that slip between MM2 and MM5. I vote SMB3 over Mega Man 5 for example, when I voted Mega Man 3 over it.

Castlevania 3 > Final Fantasy > Mega Man 3 > Mike Tyson's Punch Out!! > Ninja Gaiden > Mega Man 2 > SMB2 > SMB3 > River City Ransom > Mega Man 5 > The Field.

Mega Man 1, 4, 6, there would be a lot more of The Field in there actually. But yeah it's not quite a blind series vote is my point just that the three chosen are very good games to me.

I'd vote 3/6 Mega Mans over Mario here

The 3 that made the bracket.

It's so weird that this stock and this market has abused me so much that I'm excited to be up 3% and think that it could pop off to the races if it just gets a few more cents.

BBIG continues to be the safest place in the red sea.

Just wish I had more shares and less calls-- if I was pure shares I would hardly even be down at this point with all the averaging down I'd be doing.

No

Like since the fed meeting we've had the following price action

Slight dump right after fed meeting started
Bigger pump in the last 1.5 hours or so of market yesterday
Even bigger dump at market open

So what happened. The news was basically the same at all 3 points.

The market is a sham. But it's a sham that big money can only stay away from for so long so just keep putting money in.

I'm with Nanis. I think it's a coordinated effort between Hedge Funds and Market Makers to scare retail investors out of the market. Growth is being "rotated out of" because that's where retail is in higher concentrations not because of any fundamental change in what is worth investing in.

The market will reveal the actual prices again someday and it's basically gonna look like a pump and dump when it does so. The more money you can dump in the better at these levels.

Ok

hombad46 posted...

Still open to hour 1 save for Spider-Man

I will do this for Loki if you want.

Mega Man 5

Avengers Loki is best Loki. Thor 2 Loki is only third best. He just stands out more there cause the movie isn't great.

Avengers > Thor 3 > Thor 2 > Endgame > Thor > Loki > Infinity War for Loki appearances imo.

Sucks about Mantis. Probably my 2nd or 3rd favorite that was left. But oh well. Loki needs all the help I can give him to survive so I couldn't really save her for free even though I wanted to.

Daredevil