Current Events > What are the odds of AZ flipping red again?

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Mackorov
11/06/20 9:24:20 PM
#1:


seems to be possible with the current trend. The gap betw. Trump and Biden is slowly closing
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PrettyBoyFloyd
11/06/20 9:25:55 PM
#2:


By this point I figure people wouldn't give a damn who wins.

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Vyrulisse
11/06/20 9:26:41 PM
#3:


This is all pointless and stupid, Biden won people need to show some backbone and call it already.

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PrettyBoyFloyd
11/06/20 9:30:43 PM
#5:


Like what if some bloke is in the break room fixing him a hot cup and be like "what's that box over there... damn it's more votes".

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MassRequiem
11/06/20 9:35:36 PM
#6:


metallica846 posted...
Id say 100% it goes Trump from what Im seeing, but like others are saying...fuck it.


Actually, from what I read from "The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru's" Twitter from the Politics board (I believe he calculates the data of ballots from Maricopia county in Phoenix), Trump's chances of winning AZ are diminishing more and more each batch. Biden will most likely win it.
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ScazarMeltex
11/06/20 9:35:57 PM
#7:


https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2020-election-results-coverage/
Based on Silver's data if Trump continues the current rate of growth he doesn't overtake Biden in Arizona.

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Mackorov
11/06/20 9:40:13 PM
#8:


wait, I don't get it. Why did pundits call Arizona of all states, so damn early if the race there is still so close and Trump still has potential to overtake?
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MassRequiem
11/06/20 9:49:10 PM
#9:


Mackorov posted...
wait, I don't get it. Why did pundits call Arizona of all states, so damn early if the race there is still so close and Trump still has potential to overtake?

Apparently, Trump no longer has the potential to overtake AZ. Not after he bombed so hard from the recent batches today in Maricopa he needed to win overwhelmingly by to have a chance at passing Biden.
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Shadowplay
11/06/20 9:56:22 PM
#10:


I read that Fox News and the Associated Press are using a different methodology that is less likely to undercount early votes. Apparently they called Arizona so early because it was clear that Trump could not catch up with Biden, even if it was just a narrow win for Biden.

https://apnews.com/article/ap-explains-arizona-joe-biden-bb16f91b04456b2513f40436248eb62d/
https://www.poynter.org/reporting-editing/2020/the-ap-and-fox-news-say-biden-has-carried-arizona-why-do-other-networks-say-its-too-close-to-call/


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ConfessPlease
11/06/20 9:57:12 PM
#11:


Based on my calc Biden wins ny 13k

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Lordgold666
11/06/20 11:34:18 PM
#12:


Az is blue, get over it

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