Current Events > 34 people have tested positive for Covid -19

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ConfessPlease
10/07/20 3:05:21 PM
#1:


Here are the odds that at least one person will die. Keep in mind most of these people are older than 50 and a lot with conditions so it might be more on the high side for the rate. Are you worried yet?

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ConfessPlease
10/07/20 3:05:56 PM
#2:


Rate One Death
0.25% 8.16%
0.50% 15.67%
1.00% 28.94%
2.00% 49.69%
3.00% 64.50%
4.00% 75.04%
5.00% 82.52%

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VonOrdelia
10/07/20 3:06:23 PM
#3:


ConfessPlease posted...
Are you worried yet?
No but I'm also not one of those people

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Gobstoppers12
10/07/20 3:06:35 PM
#4:


The fuck is this

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ConfessPlease
10/07/20 3:07:50 PM
#5:


Gobstoppers12 posted...
The fuck is this
Showing how just with 34 people infected, the odds of oen dying is probably over 50 percent. Imagine all the other people they infected

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ConfessPlease
10/07/20 3:19:10 PM
#6:


Thought I would get 500...

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DoctorPiranha3
10/07/20 3:20:18 PM
#7:


You thought wrong.
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philsov
10/07/20 3:23:46 PM
#8:


ConfessPlease posted...
Thought I would get 500...


I can't even parse post #2.
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ConfessPlease
10/07/20 3:36:33 PM
#9:


philsov posted...
I can't even parse post #2.
Just a two column table. If the rate of death is either of those, the odds of one person dying is on the right. There isn't a clear death rate so I added a range.

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Musourenka
10/07/20 3:39:18 PM
#10:


Column one = X

Column two = 1-(1-X)^34

I am assuming.

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ConfessPlease
10/07/20 3:43:39 PM
#11:


Musourenka posted...
Column one = X

Column two = 1-(1-X)^34

I am assuming.
Yes

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