Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1343

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GildedFool
04/14/20 8:23:42 PM
#253:


UltimaterializerX posted...
You know heroin is an opioid and massively slows the system down instead of speeding it up, right.
You know it makes you feel good right?

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Dabrikishaw15
04/14/20 8:24:29 PM
#254:


Well, I dropped from 11th place to 17th place but I'm still cool being on the leaderboard.

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KamikazePotato
04/14/20 8:24:32 PM
#255:


Three Houses beating Xenoblade was imo the sensible pick. Xenoblade simply did not look very good in 2015 and Fire Emblem had more reason to increase since then. Very happy to be wrong!

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ZeldaTPLink
04/14/20 8:24:34 PM
#256:


inchbytes posted...
are the brackets fixed? why were the two biggest switch games besides BotW on the same division? why were two rockstar games and the two biggest nintendo jrpgs also on the same division? that's too much of a coincidence

It's likely the site owner wanted to quarantine all nintendo games in the same place so it's a less nintendo dominated contest.
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LeonhartFour
04/14/20 8:24:42 PM
#257:


DoomTheGyarados posted...
sorry but 84% on halo reach is star of the round. Law


Halo Reach is bad and everyone knew BOTW was #1 with a bullet coming into this
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Yuri_LowelI
04/14/20 8:24:49 PM
#258:


charmander6000 posted...
Looking at the guru, Three Houses has the plurality (44%) while GTAV has 27% of brackets. None of RDR, P4G or XBC have more than 10% support.

Xenoblade was massively underrated this contest.

Baffling though as This game was a sleeper hit among Nintendo fans.

After the SWitch release. Its going to go up another few levels. \

This is just a teaser. Xenoblade is gonna be a BEAST in future contests

All those who opposed it will now suffer.

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TheCodeisBosco
04/14/20 8:24:50 PM
#259:


GTA should look damn decent in the end, considering how much it's going to rise from here. I wouldn't take RDR over it.

Xenoblade should definitely be the favorite to win the division at this point, but GTA isn't entirely without a paddle yet.

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#260
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davidponte
04/14/20 8:26:45 PM
#261:


Alright these are over, bed time. I'm safe for another round. KH is likely my only bad pick of R2 at this point.

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KamikazePotato
04/14/20 8:27:08 PM
#262:


For the record, if you take this poll as being 100% transitive (which you absolutely should not):

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7829-best-of-2019-playstation-4

Then Xenoblade beats Super Mario Odyssey

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MechanicalWall
04/14/20 8:27:15 PM
#263:


inchbytes posted...
why were the two biggest switch games besides BotW on the same division? why were two rockstar games and the two biggest nintendo jrpgs also on the same division
Because Allen didn't want the quarterfinals to be nothing but Nintendo

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_SecretSquirrel
04/14/20 8:27:22 PM
#264:


Xenoblade, for me, was simply a counterpick that I thought had good odds. I just had to hope Smash fans might not like the oversaturation of Fire Emblem characters, and that could be enough in the actual match up.

The fact that it looks like it may not matter is a bonus.

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#265
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ZeldaTPLink
04/14/20 8:29:12 PM
#266:


It sucks because I had Xenoblade in my initial bracket but the whole board convinced me it was huge.

(not that I'm blaming anyone, I was also convinced when I remembered Shulk being shit in 2018, but still...)
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ctesjbuvf
04/14/20 8:29:25 PM
#267:


I know you're all saying Persona is fine, but I think it should be winning first hour updates by more than 17 votes.

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snake_5036
04/14/20 8:29:54 PM
#268:


oh okay i guess i banked on the wrong xenoblade game to do something

f

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swordz9
04/14/20 8:30:15 PM
#269:


Ill hold off on being impressed until Xenoblade faces something thats actually somewhat strong instead of OW and a paintball shooter this site doesnt have a big fan base for (yes I know Splat is popular otherwise. Just dont believe its popular here like how Fortnite isnt)
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KamikazePotato
04/14/20 8:30:37 PM
#270:


ctesjbuvf posted...
I know you're all saying Persona is fine, but I think it should be winning first hour updates by more than 17 votes.
What have you done

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Lightning Strikes
04/14/20 8:31:13 PM
#271:


RDR rose 7% from the freeze but it was fairly quick. Match should be close but P4G likely wins yes. GTA could take the next one for sure.

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LeonhartFour
04/14/20 8:31:41 PM
#272:


Oh, I think RDR will gradually bring the percentage down, but I'm not sure it ever makes a serious charge at actually winning.
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#273
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DoctorJimmy133
04/14/20 8:31:45 PM
#274:


Goddammit persona

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charmander6000
04/14/20 8:32:00 PM
#275:


UltimaterializerX posted...
Those are the kinds of picks that win contests.

Pretty much, the board will get you a good bracket, but to win most contests you need to predict at least one major upset correctly.

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Today's Picks: GTAV, P4G, XBC, FE3H
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Team Rocket Elite
04/14/20 8:32:04 PM
#276:


20 users fell off the Top 50. Matt_J100, FierceDeity0, reideneizer, NGC3372, VioletMassacre, ATF, EarthWake, habadofreit25, metaIslug, rob29, TheMightyPeanut, MicFiend13, marksourman, SerHound, Bossman_Coolguy, Primetime1981, NLMagic, SBAllen and others missed at least one match.

21 users got one wrong but survived. Former second place BobbyEvans, former third place MegatokyoEd, Isiah_Zombie, FearlessMango, Dabrikishaw15, MrZAP17, Jobi1, Kinglicious, KamikazePotato, scaryice, BigK1016, Joelypoely, spiritomolto, Foxxiey, LusterSoldier, LinkMarioSamus, zoharemulator, darklight2222, TVontheRadio and more got 6 points but stay on the Top 50.

1 user scored half points but manage to hang on. Former first place triton6783 is still here despite only getting 4 points.

Congrats to the 8 users who managed to score full points! Current first place Year_of_Luigi, current second place JONALEON1, current third place davidponte, aphorism, Aom, Masamune_6969, Polycosm and one more user managed to get all 8 points!
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Congrats to Advokaiser for winning the CBX Guru Contest!
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KamikazePotato
04/14/20 8:32:07 PM
#277:


Also, I was really not expecting GTA/Cuphead to be the most stable match, at least early on. Bracket votes are serious business this contest.

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ctesjbuvf
04/14/20 8:32:42 PM
#278:


KamikazePotato posted...
What have you done

Well s***

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squexa
04/14/20 8:32:47 PM
#279:


I took Xenoblade to win the division, but idk, I'm still very nervous.

It's hard to tell how much of this performance is Overwatch being antivoted and how much is Xenoblade beasting and the round 1 match is against Splatoon 2, which is untested.

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LamarJackson
04/14/20 8:33:22 PM
#280:


ctesjbuvf posted...
I know you're all saying Persona is fine, but I think it should be winning first hour updates by more than 17 votes.

Yeah, I'm still not comfortable in it winning. Its done better then I expected so far after the board vote, but its not in a safe spot yet. These Western AAAs like RDR tend to do far better once we get out of the first hour.

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Lightning Strikes
04/14/20 8:33:25 PM
#281:


Ya go my Red Dead

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KamikazePotato
04/14/20 8:34:06 PM
#282:


Three Houses could still win, simply because most of these games are relatively untested. I would switch to Xenoblade in my bracket if I could though.

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KamikazePotato
04/14/20 8:35:01 PM
#283:


Persona 4 (2015g) VS Red Dead Redemption (2015g)
Persona 4 has a strength of 25.16.
Red Dead Redemption has a strength of 24.60.
Persona 4 wins with 51.11% of the vote!

For reference.

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Lightning Strikes
04/14/20 8:35:07 PM
#284:


As I fo to sleep I will leave you with one more thing:

If you think Xenoblade is beasting now, wait until Europe wakes up.

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ctesjbuvf
04/14/20 8:35:10 PM
#285:


KamikazePotato posted...
Three Houses could still win, simply because most of these games are relatively untested. I would switch to Xenoblade in my bracket if I could though.

This. I also think it might come down to some weird Nintendo hierarchy thing.

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ctesjbuvf
04/14/20 8:36:10 PM
#286:


So how many cuts does RDR need to make in the power hour for it to be a serious charge at winning

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LamarJackson
04/14/20 8:36:23 PM
#287:


Yeah, Persona is in a lot of trouble.

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charmander6000
04/14/20 8:36:33 PM
#288:


Persona 4 might be in trouble...

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Today's Picks: GTAV, P4G, XBC, FE3H
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LeonhartFour
04/14/20 8:37:02 PM
#289:


Trend charts:

Time | Smash | ALBW | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 64.59% | 35.41% | 514 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 65.69% | 34.31% | 3486 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 64.39% | 35.61% | 8552 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 61.00% | 39.81% | 3459 | (6:00-11:00)
TMV | 63.42% | 36.11% | 5940 | (11:00-17:00)
TDV | 65.03% | 34.97% | 6146 | (17:00-24:00)

Even against Zelda, Smash sucks in Europe!

Time | Spider-Man | Minecraft | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 63.37% | 36.63% | 516 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 60.05% | 39.95% | 3487 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 58.68% | 41.32% | 8553 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 60.61% | 39.39% | 3460 | (6:00-11:00)
TMV | 56.20% | 44.44% | 5938 | (11:00-17:00)
TDV | 54.60% | 44.78% | 6146 | (17:00-24:00)

Spider-Man probably suffered the most collateral damage from the rally.

Time | Octopath | Shovel | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 49.22% | 50.78% | 514 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 48.21% | 51.79% | 3485 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 48.66% | 51.34% | 8553 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 52.51% | 47.49% | 3460 | (6:00-11:00)
TMV | 52.73% | 47.27% | 5947 | (11:00-17:00)
TDV | 47.20% | 52.80% | 6146 | (17:00-24:00)

Rally time

Time | DMC5 | Odyssey | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 28.79% | 71.21% | 514 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 27.95% | 72.05% | 3485 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 29.78% | 70.22% | 8553 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 32.68% | 67.32% | 3458 | (6:00-11:00)
TMV | 27.25% | 72.75% | 5956 | (11:00-17:00)
TDV | 26.73% | 73.27% | 6146 | (17:00-24:00)

Pretty typical Mario trends!
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Yuri_LowelI
04/14/20 8:37:14 PM
#290:


squexa posted...
I took Xenoblade to win the division, but idk, I'm still very nervous.

It's hard to tell how much of this performance is Overwatch being antivoted and how much is Xenoblade beasting and the round 1 match is against Splatoon 2, which is untested.

Why would VOerwatch be antivoted?

This isn't fortnte or COD

Overwatch is somewhat decent. LEts not act like its complete fodder

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#291
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Team Rocket Elite
04/14/20 8:39:20 PM
#292:


I guess Minecraft would beat Spider-Man on a site with a younger audience? Just how much was Minecraft favored by the rallies?
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Yuri_LowelI
04/14/20 8:39:35 PM
#293:


KamikazePotato posted...
Persona 4 (2015g) VS Red Dead Redemption (2015g)
Persona 4 has a strength of 25.16.
Red Dead Redemption has a strength of 24.60.
Persona 4 wins with 51.11% of the vote!

For reference.

Thats Vanilla P4.

I'd like to remind people Golden is a Vita game

The only Vita game left in this comp. And we've seen what 3DS games have done. Putting that into perspective. P4G is doing ridiculously well.

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ctesjbuvf
04/14/20 8:39:53 PM
#294:


I made that 2015 when making my bracket. Thought that Persona 5 probably helped Persona 4 more than RDR2 did RDR, but this being a remake couldn't make me feel safe.

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swordz9
04/14/20 8:40:04 PM
#295:


Have you somehow not seen the levels of hatred everything Blizzard has gotten for like the last 6 months or more? Theyve made lots of bad decisions recently that got them tons of negative reception. Its not difficult to just hate them all like Ulti
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#296
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LeonhartFour
04/14/20 8:40:31 PM
#297:


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ctesjbuvf
04/14/20 8:40:58 PM
#298:


Does anyone still think Persona is fine

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LeonhartFour
04/14/20 8:41:27 PM
#299:


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LamarJackson
04/14/20 8:41:37 PM
#300:


ctesjbuvf posted...
Does anyone still think Persona is fine

3 straight cuts is generally a trend. It needs to stop the bleeding quick.

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ZeldaTPLink
04/14/20 8:42:17 PM
#301:


Yay go my RDR
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GildedFool
04/14/20 8:42:25 PM
#302:


ctesjbuvf posted...
Does anyone still think Persona is fine
Only in the "Damn, that game is fiiine," sense.

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