Current Events > The day before the election, dems chance to retake house stands at 87.5%.

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Genocet_10-325
11/05/18 11:05:18 AM
#1:


https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=irpromo

For comparison, the day before the 2016 election, the same site had Hillary at a 68% to win. But the beauty of this election is that there's no electoral college to come fuck everything up.
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Doe
11/05/18 11:09:15 AM
#2:


Genocet_10-325 posted...
For comparison, the day before the 2016 election, the same site had Hillary at a 68% to win. But the beauty of this election is that there's no electoral college to come fuck everything up.

The electoral college worked exactly how it always does though. If their Hillary percentage was calculuated off popular vote and not with consideration of the electoral college, it wouldn't be accurate at all.
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Thatuser
11/05/18 11:11:45 AM
#3:


Lets say Dems take the house. They still won't hold sway in the senate, or executive branch. They may symbolically impeach Trump or attempt to pass laws that will go nowhere. Kinda sad.
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Genocet_10-325
11/05/18 11:12:39 AM
#4:


Doe posted...
Genocet_10-325 posted...
For comparison, the day before the 2016 election, the same site had Hillary at a 68% to win. But the beauty of this election is that there's no electoral college to come fuck everything up.

The electoral college worked exactly how it always does though. If their Hillary percentage was calculuated off popular vote and not with consideration of the electoral college, it wouldn't be accurate at all.

To be fair, no one could have predicted Trump winning every swing state by less than 1% and still losing the popular vote by 3 million.
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Conservatism is a plague on society. Formerly known as The_Great_Geno.
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#5
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Tyranthraxus
11/05/18 11:13:03 AM
#6:


Genocet_10-325 posted...
For comparison, the day before the 2016 election, the same site had Hillary at a 68% to win. But the beauty of this election is that there's no electoral college to come fuck everything up.

No just an asston of gerrymandering
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Darkman124
11/05/18 11:13:07 AM
#7:


Genocet_10-325 posted...
But the beauty of this election is that there's no electoral college to come f*** everything up.


No, just republican state legislatures and secretaries of state given the authority to administer the elections and decide which ballots are legitimate and which can be thrown in the garbage.
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Genocet_10-325
11/05/18 11:13:19 AM
#8:


Thatuser posted...
Lets say Dems take the house. They still won't hold sway in the senate, or executive branch. They may symbolically impeach Trump or attempt to pass laws that will go nowhere. Kinda sad.

They will prevent Trump from passing any laws of his own. No house, no laws get passed.
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No one triggers the Trumpanzees quite like you do - Bullet_Wing
Conservatism is a plague on society. Formerly known as The_Great_Geno.
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Genocet_10-325
11/05/18 11:14:20 AM
#9:


Darkman124 posted...
Genocet_10-325 posted...
But the beauty of this election is that there's no electoral college to come f*** everything up.


No, just republican state legislatures and secretaries of state given the authority to administer the elections and decide which ballots are legitimate and which can be thrown in the garbage.

Thats in red states. Theres still plenty of republican held districts in blue states that are as good as gone.
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No one triggers the Trumpanzees quite like you do - Bullet_Wing
Conservatism is a plague on society. Formerly known as The_Great_Geno.
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Thatuser
11/05/18 11:14:53 AM
#10:


Genocet_10-325 posted...
Thatuser posted...
Lets say Dems take the house. They still won't hold sway in the senate, or executive branch. They may symbolically impeach Trump or attempt to pass laws that will go nowhere. Kinda sad.

They will prevent Trump from passing any laws of his own. No house, no laws get passed.

True, but has that stopped a recent president from drafting an EO to work around this?
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Anarchy_Juiblex
11/05/18 11:15:20 AM
#11:


Doe posted...
The electoral college worked exactly how it always does though


3 times in history have they gone against the popular vote.
Trump, Bush (back to back Republicans), and then like 120 years prior.

The EC is outdated and should be removed. Or the states should get proper proportional representation.
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Tmaster148
11/05/18 11:19:08 AM
#12:


Thatuser posted...
Genocet_10-325 posted...
Thatuser posted...
Lets say Dems take the house. They still won't hold sway in the senate, or executive branch. They may symbolically impeach Trump or attempt to pass laws that will go nowhere. Kinda sad.

They will prevent Trump from passing any laws of his own. No house, no laws get passed.

True, but has that stopped a recent president from drafting an EO to work around this?


Trump already signs a lot of EOs as is. And there's still limits to what an EO can accomplish.
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