Board 8 > Board 8 NFL Pick'Em League - Divisional Round

(+) Yeah! (+)

Playoff Rules:
1. Pick one team from each game you think will win.
2. All picks are locked in at kickoff.
3. The top four predictors will advance to the championship round.
4. All game and tiebreaker picks must be sent to me via PM.

The following users must pick all four games:
1. @MysteriousStan
2. @davidponte
3. @Cody11533
4. @Xuxon
5. @Crescent-Moon
8. @Meow1000
11. @VeryInsane
12. @5tarscream

Saturday:
(6) Atlanta Falcons @ (1) Philadelphia Eagles
(5) Tennessee Titans @ (1) New England Patriots
Sunday:
(3) Jacksonville Jaguars @ (2) Pittsburgh Steelers
(4) New Orleans Saints @ (2) Minnesota Vikings

In addition, please pick the following tiebreakers. In case of a tie for advancement, these will be used to determine who continues on. In the unlikely case that all four tiebreakers are exhausted, they will be used again with Price is Right rules applied.
1. Total points in Tennessee/New England.
2. Total number of rushing yards by home team running backs in the second quarter.
3. Passing yards by Blake Bortles.
4. Total rushing yards in all four games.
---

David "mad genius" Ponte

Here's hoping that TB doesn't matter imo
---

Eagles
Patriots
Steelers
Vikings

52
100
371
777
---

Meow1000 posted...

David "mad genius" Ponte

Here's hoping that TB doesn't matter imo

It's the only one that matters
---

I agree with one of you
---

th3l3fty posted...

I agree with one of you

It's a fun stat to track
---

Sent my pick in!
---

and here we go
---

Did I win
---

I'll give the full run-down when the last game kicks off
---

I am reasonably certain I did not win. I just hope it's not due to that trash time score because every time I get into this round it's some fluky thing that tends to kill me. Poor Stan though, he was perfect before that and it murdered him

I already know there's at least two people I'm stuck behind by staying on Minnesota (Which is why I'm reasonably certain a change would drastically increase my chances of survival, but I won't do it). You and Crescent both had a TB of 48, and I'm pretty sure you're on the Vikings, too

I have a feeling at least one of you gets in automatically if the Vikings win since 48 is a strong enough number. I think her second tiebreaker is over 100 though, and we're really not that close to 100 yet. The Eagles did nothing, and the Steelers rushed for exactly one meaningful gain in the entire second quarter. Surprisingly it was the Pats who had a decent number of rushing yards there

My second tiebreaker of 97 could end up being pretty good here though, if it came down to that
---

first, a game by game pick breakdown

ATL: 5
PHI: 3

NE: 8

PIT: 8

MIN: 8
---

welp i'm eliminated then
---

Holy crap 3 people on the Eagles and no one on the Saints are you serious

Welp if someone on the Vikings has a TB of 49 they're in, otherwise it's going to the second tiebreaker
---

advancing due to picking the Eagles: 5tarscream, Cody11533, VeryInsane

first tiebreaker was 49

Crescent/davidponte - 48
---
Xuxon - 51
Blade - 45
Stan - 42
---

Fucking Titans.

so this comes entirely down to the second tiebreaker

davidponte - 103
Crescent-Moon - 119

if my tally is correct, there have been 52 through 3, so Crescent needs 59 to force a tie and 60 to advance
---

I like how I was right about at least 1 of Crescent/You being in automatically by the way

It's messed up though. I know a lot of people picking the Saints (including my brother), and a lot of experts also picked the Saints. I really though we'd have a split on that game here
---

i thought i should have changed one of my picks once the Falcons lost but Meow successfully convinced me no one would be picking the Eagles.
---

Oh shit my tiebreaker might actually matter, and it might be the reason I lose.
---

Xuxon posted...

i thought i should have changed one of my picks once the Falcons lost but Meow successfully convinced me no one would be picking the Eagles.

I personally know no one who thought the Eagles would win and I know of only one expert on the planet who did

Which is why it's really surprising to see 3 on them!

I like how the Eagles one actual rush in the second was by a WR. I expected the Eagles/Steelers to combine for like, 70 by themselves.
---

I was expecting the Vikings/Saints to be split...not Falcons/Eagles.

Oh well. It was a good run. Mariota screwed me over in fantasy this year, guess it's poetic that he'd screw me over in pick em too.

you have no idea how much I wanted to say something when I saw that post about one Eagles pick at most

I was legitimately surprised that we had three clean sweeps
---

davidponte posted...

Oh shit my tiebreaker might actually matter, and it might be the reason I lose.

The only way you're losing is if the Vikings break out a very long TD run (specifically by an RB) in the second which is probably not going to happen
---

MysteriousStan posted...

I was expecting the Vikings/Saints to be split...not Falcons/Eagles.

Oh well. It was a good run. Mariota screwed me over in fantasy this year, guess it's poetic that he'd screw me over in pick em too.

Yep. One of the most surprising things I've seen here in the playoffs over the years.
---

Also, if I had advanced, I was 100% picking the Jags and the winner of Saints/Vikings next week.

Clearly 5 of you didn't see that fancy bird nest graphic about how home teams always win when bird teams face each other in the playoffs.

I was completely on the fence for Falcons/Eagles until Friday night. I ended up going with my gut and switching to the Eagles at the last moment. I am shocked no one went for the Saints though.
---

Also I highly doubt it'll matter, but my lookthrough of TB2 says 32 from the Pats, 21 from the Steelers, and 10 from the Eagles, which would make 62, not 52.
---

I just double-checked the Eagles one - it's 6
---

otherwise your numbers are correct - I had 5 for Eagles/26 for Patriots (probably missed the TD runs)
---

So 58, then.
---

and we are currently at 9, so 67
---

It's going to come down to this Vikings drive.
---

The Vikings are going to rush twice for 5 yards and everything else is going to be a pass

I honestly thought 97 might end up a little too low until the Eagles laid the egg they did. Virtually impossible to predict this kind of TB with any accuracy
---

Meow1000 posted...

Virtually impossible to predict this kind of TB with any accuracy

That was the goal!
---

I've been a bit too lenient with "officially tracked"

expect greater scrutiny next week... especially with your TB being first in line
---

wait i thought the Eagles ran a ton in the second quarter
---

At least I can say I was the guy who was the reason for the rule change.
---

Xuxon posted...

wait i thought the Eagles ran a ton in the second quarter

Agholor had a long run but he's not a RB.
---

oh and there were 3 Ajayi rushes which added up to a fair chunk just before the second quarter started
---

Go 12
---

I almost picked the Saints

Going cookie is working out
---

@davidponte @Cody11533 @VeryInsane @5tarscream in the championship round, everyone gets to select a tiebreaker

it must be officially tracked, so if you want something highly specific, you'll have to show me that it is

please send me your tiebreakers by the end of the day on Tuesday - the sooner, the better
---

halfway there already
---

one more
---