Current Events > (OC) Is there going to be a civil war in Saudi Arabia?

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red_is_ash
07/24/17 1:04:23 AM
#1:


I think it is no surprise to anyone that the Saudi's are extremely dependent on oil when it comes to their economy. According to Forbes, "The petroleum sector accounts for roughly 87% of budget revenues, 42% of GDP, and 90% of export earnings." (1) However recently, due to the US production of oil and the advent of alternate energy such as solar, wind and natural gas, the price of a barrel of crude oil has fallen from a high of $156 in 2008 to ~$46 now. (2) The problem is this: Saudi Arabia is dependent on high oil prices to support their government. The Oil prices subsidize many benefits and services for Saudi citizens. For Saudi Arabia, oil needs to be at $80 a barrel to subsidize citizens and pay for services. (3) At that price, Saudi Arabia is not going into debt or burning through foreign exchange reserves.

The problem is, Saudi Arabia does not have unlimited cash reserves. If they do not diversify their economy fast enough, they will be unable to provide for their citizens. According to CNBC, if all stays the same, Saudi Arabia will be out of money by August 28, 2018 assuming everything stays the same. (4) Will they survive the turmoil? We'll find out soon enough.

1. https://www.forbes.com/places/saudi-arabia/
2. http://www.macrotrends.net/1369/crude-oil-price-history-chart
3. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-06-27/saudi-arabia-and-oil-prices-careful-steering-needed
4. http://www.cnbc.com/2015/08/26/saudi-arabia-hangs-on-with-cheap-oil-but-for-how-long.html
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RebelElite791
07/24/17 1:04:48 AM
#2:


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red_is_ash
07/24/17 1:07:10 AM
#3:


RebelElite791 posted...
...Original content?


Yes, that is what OC means. Congrats.
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RebelElite791
07/24/17 1:07:28 AM
#4:


red_is_ash posted...
RebelElite791 posted...
...Original content?


Yes, that is what OC means. Congrats.

Just wondering since that's usually reserved for like fanfic and deviantart shit.
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NYmasajista
07/24/17 1:14:59 AM
#5:


There's definitely the chance that it will happen, that's one of the reasons for them 'sharpening the claws' of their military with their war against Yemen right now. They don't want to go down like the Iraqi army did a few years ago.

But if the royalty ever starts slipping hard enough to not be of use to us, the UK, and Isreal the higher likelyhood is regime change and breaking up the country into sectors to remove the holy sites from the oil producing areas.
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LArcEnCieIX
07/24/17 1:16:52 AM
#6:


wait how is it OC if ur just stealing from sources
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red_is_ash
07/24/17 1:18:55 AM
#7:


LArcEnCieIX posted...
wait how is it OC if ur just stealing from sources


By that definition, all OC is stealing from sources
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1337toothbrush
07/24/17 1:19:46 AM
#8:


I'm not looking forward to the unfortunate bloodshed, but I am looking forward to the destruction of a toxic monarch.
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red_is_ash
07/24/17 12:16:01 PM
#9:


bump
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s0nicfan
07/24/17 12:19:13 PM
#10:


The bigger issue will be their 30 year plan to modernize clashing with old guard and hardcore conservatives that want the strictest form of Sharia Law. You're already seeing the start of the culture clash and that'll tear the country apart well before oil dries up as a primary source of revenue.
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Hey
07/24/17 12:42:05 PM
#11:


red_is_ash posted...
LArcEnCieIX posted...
wait how is it OC if ur just stealing from sources


By that definition, all OC is stealing from sources

Umm no? OC is content you create, not stolen content
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ChainedRedone
07/24/17 12:45:26 PM
#12:


He did create it. He put it in his own words you sickos.
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hockeybub89
07/24/17 12:47:19 PM
#13:


1337toothbrush posted...
I'm not looking forward to the unfortunate bloodshed, but I am looking forward to the destruction of a toxic monarch.

America will just swoop in and help protect our lovely ally.
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iamintents
07/24/17 12:48:46 PM
#14:


hockeybub89 posted...
1337toothbrush posted...
I'm not looking forward to the unfortunate bloodshed, but I am looking forward to the destruction of a toxic monarch.

America will just swoop in and help protect our lovely ally.

Trumps America
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1337toothbrush
07/24/17 4:20:33 PM
#15:


hockeybub89 posted...
1337toothbrush posted...
I'm not looking forward to the unfortunate bloodshed, but I am looking forward to the destruction of a toxic monarch.

America will just swoop in and help protect our lovely ally.

Not necessarily. Saudi Arabia's only useful for oil. Fracking has really changed that equation, which is why Obama had been making moves to get closer with Iran, since Saudi Arabia's usefulness is waning.
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ChromaticAngel
07/24/17 4:24:26 PM
#16:


I found TC's definition of OC

snLplqq
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Samurontai
07/24/17 4:33:23 PM
#17:


1337toothbrush posted...
hockeybub89 posted...
1337toothbrush posted...
I'm not looking forward to the unfortunate bloodshed, but I am looking forward to the destruction of a toxic monarch.

America will just swoop in and help protect our lovely ally.

Not necessarily. Saudi Arabia's only useful for oil. Fracking has really changed that equation, which is why Obama had been making moves to get closer with Iran, since Saudi Arabia's usefulness is waning.


And Trumps currently he president, and has recently given them a billion dollar arms contract

We'd still swoop in and save the day because Trump
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red_is_ash
07/24/17 7:13:25 PM
#18:


ChromaticAngel posted...
I found TC's definition of OC

snLplqq


I combined sources to create my own, original analysis. Basically like a research paper. To say anything else is a sham
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Blue_Dream87
07/24/17 7:23:05 PM
#19:


Willing to bet TC stole this shit off Reddit and forgot to delete the OC part
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red_is_ash
07/24/17 9:21:21 PM
#20:


Blue_Dream87 posted...
Willing to bet TC stole this shit off Reddit and forgot to delete the OC part

I didn't steal anything off reddit.
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red_is_ash
07/25/17 1:26:26 AM
#21:


bump
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DarkChozoGhost
07/25/17 1:31:33 AM
#22:


1337toothbrush posted...
I'm not looking forward to the unfortunate bloodshed, but I am looking forward to the destruction of a toxic monarch.

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red_is_ash
07/25/17 2:32:30 PM
#23:


DarkChozoGhost posted...
1337toothbrush posted...
I'm not looking forward to the unfortunate bloodshed, but I am looking forward to the destruction of a toxic monarch.

Yes.
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