Current Events > Trump Has Less than a 4% chance of victory

Topic List
Page List: 1, 2
Spiritlittle
10/26/20 9:23:57 PM
#1:


https://youtu.be/jsFnJdQSryQ

Vote him out!

---
Official Fujin of the Mortal Kombat 11 board. Trails of Cold Steel is the most underappreciated JRPG series ever.
... Copied to Clipboard!
ohiostate124
10/26/20 9:24:16 PM
#2:


This sounds familiar
... Copied to Clipboard!
tremain07
10/26/20 9:25:44 PM
#3:


With all the shady voter issues going on he has a case to take the results to the supreme court and considering what the supreme court is right now he stands a very very real chance to get them to agree him that the election results should be thrown out due to being tainted and so he stays in power.

---
IGN: Sun
FC: 0061-0132-7564
... Copied to Clipboard!
YodaCrackers
10/26/20 9:26:35 PM
#4:


Wow, 3% higher than in 2016!

---
... Copied to Clipboard!
ohiostate124
10/26/20 9:26:57 PM
#5:


YodaCrackers posted...
Wow, 3% higher than in 2016!
Must mean its gonna be a landslide
... Copied to Clipboard!
monkmith
10/26/20 9:28:45 PM
#6:


this is how trump will win.

  1. trump has spent the last 6 months telling his supporters that early voting is bad. as such they will by and large be voting in person on election day.
  2. many states dont count early votes until polls close, and they're counted after election day votes.
  3. trump will have an early lead as states count their election day ballots.
  4. trump will go screaming to the supreme court the morning after the election as early ballots start shifting the vote against him.
  5. they will fast track a ruling to stop the counting of all ballots and declare the election to "maintain the stability of the country" or some bullshit like that.

---
Taarsidath-an halsaam.
Quando il gioco e finito, il re e il pedone vanno nella stessa scatola
... Copied to Clipboard!
Spiritlittle
10/26/20 9:29:08 PM
#7:


ohiostate124 posted...
Must mean its gonna be a landslide
Actually, Clinton only lead by about 3 percent at this point last year. Biden is leading by basically double digits and leads every swing state.

Even without any of the swing states, he still has the 270 needed with the locked blue states and heavily leaning blue states.

It's over for Trump. That's why he rushed so hard for Any Barrett, who has no place being near the Supreme Court.

---
Official Fujin of the Mortal Kombat 11 board. Trails of Cold Steel is the most underappreciated JRPG series ever.
... Copied to Clipboard!
IronWolf87
10/26/20 9:30:41 PM
#8:


monkmith posted...
this is how trump will win.

1. trump has spent the last 6 months telling his supporters that early voting is bad. as such they will by and large be voting in person on election day.
2. many states dont count early votes until polls close, and they're counted after election day votes.
3. trump will have an early lead as states count their election day ballots.
4. trump will go screaming to the supreme court the morning after the election as early ballots start shifting the vote against him.
5. they will fast track a ruling to stop the counting of all ballots and declare the election to "maintain the stability of the country" or some bullshit like that.

Yep, this is the play and there is a very good chance it works. Biden has to win with a landslide on Election day to stand a chance at actually winning.
... Copied to Clipboard!
BudDupree48
10/26/20 9:31:01 PM
#9:


ohiostate124 posted...
This sounds familiar


---
BANG BANG STEELER GANG
... Copied to Clipboard!
Eliza3
10/26/20 9:32:42 PM
#10:


Havent conservative judges been arguing that you cant change election laws during an election year? So how would they justify flip-flopping immediately after Election Day?

---
The Original Eliza.
... Copied to Clipboard!
Damn_Underscore
10/26/20 9:32:53 PM
#11:


Polls are confirmed FAKE they are only real when they don't oversample Democrats and say that the Republican candidate is going to win

---
Shenmue II = best game of all time
Shenmue = 2nd best game of all time
... Copied to Clipboard!
monkmith
10/26/20 9:34:19 PM
#12:


Eliza3 posted...
Havent conservative judges been arguing that you cant change election laws during an election year? So how would they justify flip-flopping immediately after Election Day?
wel they have power now. that's how.

---
Taarsidath-an halsaam.
Quando il gioco e finito, il re e il pedone vanno nella stessa scatola
... Copied to Clipboard!
Rikiaz
10/26/20 9:35:11 PM
#13:


Eliza3 posted...
Havent conservative judges been arguing that you cant change election laws during an election year? So how would they justify flip-flopping immediately after Election Day?
How do they justify confirming a SC Justice one week before the election when just 4 years ago they blocked one half a year before the election? Answer, they don't need to justify it because their supporters don't care.

---
From the depths, the thing they called Worm King did rise.
Nirn itself did scream in the Mages' and Necromancers' war.
... Copied to Clipboard!
bknight
10/26/20 9:36:50 PM
#14:


Getting ready for Trump to attempt a coup, let's see how many of his supporters will join to violently take over, I'm guessing not many.
... Copied to Clipboard!
tremain07
10/26/20 9:41:59 PM
#15:


Rikiaz posted...
How do they justify confirming a SC Justice one week before the election when just 4 years ago they blocked one half a year before the election? Answer, they don't need to justify it because their supporters don't care.
If anything their supporters love this, anything to stop the socialist democrats after all.

---
IGN: Sun
FC: 0061-0132-7564
... Copied to Clipboard!
theAteam
10/26/20 9:43:33 PM
#16:


Rikiaz posted...
How do they justify confirming a SC Justice one week before the election when just 4 years ago they blocked one half a year before the election? Answer, they don't need to justify it because their supporters don't care.

Everyone needs to understand sooner than later that they arent acting in good faith. If the rules allow something they will take advantage. Everything is a power grab now.

---
Buffalo Bills Preseason Prediction: 10-6
2020 Season Record: 5-2 Next game: vs NE
... Copied to Clipboard!
Rikiaz
10/26/20 9:43:39 PM
#17:


tremain07 posted...
If anything their supporters love this, anything to stop the socialist democrats after all.
Yep, as Liberty Prime says "DEATH IS A PREFERABLE ALTERNATIVE TO COMMUNISM"

---
From the depths, the thing they called Worm King did rise.
Nirn itself did scream in the Mages' and Necromancers' war.
... Copied to Clipboard!
ultimate reaver
10/26/20 9:45:24 PM
#18:


The odds arent that bad for him, but theyre still at a point where nothing except for literally the biggest polling area in history would mean that he wins

at this point thats not impossible with covid fucking everything up and Republicans being scummier than ever

---
I pray god will curse the writer, as the writer has cursed the world with this beautiful, stupendous creation, terrible in its simplicity, irresistible in truth
... Copied to Clipboard!
pogo_rabid
10/26/20 9:47:32 PM
#19:


What's gonna happen when the polls are wrong again? How will the neolibs who made all the excuses and mental gymnatics after the last cycle going to justify it again?

I'm guessing they'll remain silent for a week, then continue to double down on the bullshit that's screwed us over the past two election cycles.

---
Ryzen 3800x @ 4.3, 32 gig @ 4000, 1070ti, 970pro, Asus Strix x570-E
FC: SW-8431-3263-1243
... Copied to Clipboard!
Polycosm
10/26/20 9:59:16 PM
#20:


pogo_rabid posted...
What's gonna happen when the polls are wrong again?

The polls weren't wrong in 2016. There was systematic polling error, within the margin of error.

State-level polls in 2020 show Trump behind by more than the margin of error in several states he needs to win. Trump needs both polling error and a last-minute shift in the polls in order to have a shot (setting aside voter suppression and other fuckery that can't really be measured).

---
Thus in 2020 did Allen send forth a great flood, that destroyed the gurus and all users that lived on land, except those in azuarc. (thengamer.com/guru)
... Copied to Clipboard!
pogo_rabid
10/26/20 10:02:23 PM
#21:


Polycosm posted...
The polls weren't wrong in 2016. There was systematic polling error, within the margin of error.

State-level polls in 2020 show Trump behind by more than the margin of error in several states he needs to win. Trump needs both polling error and a last-minute shift in the polls in order to have a shot (setting aside voter suppression and other fuckery that can't really be measured).

If trump gets elected again, are you going to triple down that the polls are accurate representation of reality?

---
Ryzen 3800x @ 4.3, 32 gig @ 4000, 1070ti, 970pro, Asus Strix x570-E
FC: SW-8431-3263-1243
... Copied to Clipboard!
ssj3vegeta
10/26/20 10:09:58 PM
#22:


when will dese data nerds understand, polls don't mean shit when trump won last time lmfao

just go out and vote, stop trying to convince anti trumpers to think "oh shit, dese guys are saiyan biden has it in da bag, i don't have to vote now"
---
... Copied to Clipboard!
Antifar
10/26/20 10:11:45 PM
#23:


pogo_rabid posted...


If trump gets elected again, are you going to triple down that the polls are accurate representation of reality?

How do you explain their accuracy in 2012 or 2018?
---
kin to all that throbs
... Copied to Clipboard!
pogo_rabid
10/26/20 10:26:26 PM
#24:


Antifar posted...
How do you explain their accuracy in 2012 or 2018?
Throwing darts at a wall and calling the bullseyes accurate while ignoring the misses is not something that should be done.

---
Ryzen 3800x @ 4.3, 32 gig @ 4000, 1070ti, 970pro, Asus Strix x570-E
FC: SW-8431-3263-1243
... Copied to Clipboard!
UnholyMudcrab
10/26/20 10:27:36 PM
#25:


I remain steadfast in my belief that every single person who says not to trust polls after 2016 is either trolling or at minimum very misinformed.

---
... Copied to Clipboard!
Rathinor
10/26/20 10:29:32 PM
#26:


pogo_rabid posted...
Throwing darts at a wall and calling the bullseyes accurate while ignoring the misses is not something that should be done.
It's actually the other way around. Polls are accurate more often than not
... Copied to Clipboard!
Delirious_Beard
10/26/20 10:37:13 PM
#27:


"heh i just flipped a coin twice and got heads both times. 50/50 my ass. i am very intelligent"

---
https://imgur.com/hLHUnOI
You act like I don't know my own way home
... Copied to Clipboard!
hockeybub89
10/26/20 10:38:00 PM
#28:


Yeah, statistics were "wrong" once so they'll never be right again.

---
... Copied to Clipboard!
Vyrulisse
10/26/20 10:38:06 PM
#29:


Don't fall for this shit again. Just vote, don't listen to these nerds with their poll numbers.

---
... Copied to Clipboard!
iPhone_7
10/26/20 10:39:01 PM
#30:


monkmith posted...
this is how trump will win.

1. trump has spent the last 6 months telling his supporters that early voting is bad. as such they will by and large be voting in person on election day.
2. many states dont count early votes until polls close, and they're counted after election day votes.
3. trump will have an early lead as states count their election day ballots.
4. trump will go screaming to the supreme court the morning after the election as early ballots start shifting the vote against him.
5. they will fast track a ruling to stop the counting of all ballots and declare the election to "maintain the stability of the country" or some bullshit like that.
Hes going to declare victory early.

And Republican legislatures in swing states will use the excuse of voter fraud and irregularities to try and pick their own electors if their state goes blue.

And if it seems illegal thats okay because a 6-3 conservative court will make it legal.

Trump is gonna need a few other controversies as a distraction, maybe hell fire Fauci to make the news go ape-s***.

---
... Copied to Clipboard!
tremain07
10/26/20 10:40:14 PM
#31:


He's already planning on firing like 3 people, Facui is just one more

---
IGN: Sun
FC: 0061-0132-7564
... Copied to Clipboard!
WilliamPorygon
10/26/20 10:41:05 PM
#32:


The fact that he has any chance higher than 0% at this point highlights just how fucking broken the system is

---
... Copied to Clipboard!
southcoast09
10/26/20 10:42:12 PM
#33:


Remember when the polls had Hillary at 97%?
... Copied to Clipboard!
dcn2424
10/26/20 10:44:04 PM
#34:


He wil lose, no doubt about that. Biden will win because more people trust him.
... Copied to Clipboard!
hockeybub89
10/26/20 10:49:37 PM
#35:


southcoast09 posted...
Remember when the polls had Hillary at 97%?
I'm no mathematician, but I believe that means Trump had a greater than impossible chance of winning.

The Falcons had a 99% chance in the fourth quarter of beating the Patriots in the Super Bowl a few years ago. Were the numbers wrong? Should we stop studying statistics in pro sports because one team did the implausible?

---
... Copied to Clipboard!
ScazarMeltex
10/26/20 10:51:35 PM
#36:


Eliza3 posted...
Havent conservative judges been arguing that you cant change election laws during an election year? So how would they justify flip-flopping immediately after Election Day?
Well the thing is, conservatives have no integrity.

---
"If you wish to converse with me define your terms"
Voltaire
... Copied to Clipboard!
Spiritlittle
10/27/20 7:59:02 AM
#37:


ScazarMeltex posted...
Well the thing is, conservatives have no integrity.


---
Official Fujin of the Mortal Kombat 11 board. Trails of Cold Steel is the most underappreciated JRPG series ever.
... Copied to Clipboard!
AlphaCuck
10/27/20 8:00:36 AM
#38:


ohiostate124 posted...
This sounds familiar
yep their definitely doing it again
... Copied to Clipboard!
Beemo_Season11
10/27/20 8:00:37 AM
#39:


Oh really?
... Copied to Clipboard!
Were_Wyrm
10/27/20 8:12:07 AM
#40:


In that case I want my mail in ballot back

---
I was a God, Valeria. I found it...beneath me. - Dr. Doom
https://imgur.com/FKDXbHs
... Copied to Clipboard!
Antifar
10/27/20 8:13:15 AM
#41:


A lot of folks here seem quick to advertise that they believe 4%=0%

Me personally, I understand probability
---
kin to all that throbs
... Copied to Clipboard!
Solar_Crimson
10/27/20 8:27:07 AM
#42:


All the more reason people need to actually show up and vote his ass out.

---
I often wonder if we are growing as a people... or in fact, regressing.
... Copied to Clipboard!
iPhone_7
10/27/20 9:33:21 AM
#44:


4% chance of victory means he has a chance of victory.

His campaign just needs to navigate that 4%.

And with voter suppression its probably a lot more than 4%.

---
... Copied to Clipboard!
Thompson
10/27/20 9:39:46 AM
#45:


In the unlikely but possible event that Florida or/and Texas go to Biden, Trump will be absolutely finished.

---
Sigs are rather pointless, except if it's to showcase animation and images.
... Copied to Clipboard!
creativerealms
10/27/20 9:45:03 AM
#46:


But he can win. Never forget that. If you want him to lose do your part no matter how small. Don't believe he can't win and get over confident. Also dont think he already won and cry in a corner like Endgame.

---
Occam's razor: The simplest solution (answer) is most likely the right one
... Copied to Clipboard!
Poop2
10/27/20 9:48:00 AM
#47:


so you're saying theres a chance?!
... Copied to Clipboard!
RchHomieQuanChi
10/27/20 9:49:45 AM
#48:


All of this should be a clear example that the checks and balances we thought would create for fair elections don't check or balance

I think Biden will have enough votes to win. My main concern is the GOP being able to throw away votes

---
I have nothing else to say
... Copied to Clipboard!
Solid Snake07
10/28/20 12:17:15 AM
#49:


People who are putting their money where their mouth is are saying he has around 35% chance, I trust them a lot more than polls

---
"People incapable of guilt usually do have a good time"
-Detective Rust Cohle
... Copied to Clipboard!
008Zulu
10/28/20 12:24:29 AM
#50:


With the suppression tactics he is using, his chance of winning is 400%

---
If you protest, it's because you feel your voice isn't being heard. If you riot, it's because you feel your voice is being ignored.
... Copied to Clipboard!
Orlando_Jordan
10/28/20 12:33:10 AM
#51:


CE in 2016: Trump has no chance of winning.
*Trump wins*

CE in 2020: Trump has no chance of winning.
*Trump wins*

---
"Then after 2 hours of listening to me talk about watches I reward them with sub par sex"-No_U_L7
... Copied to Clipboard!
Topic List
Page List: 1, 2