Current Events > Electoral College: 248 Dem vs 204 Republican, 86 toss ups.

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wackyteen 07/07/20 4:39:42 PM #1:	The President has a real up hill battle to fight. He basically has to repeat 2016 verbatim if he wants to have a hope (atm) But the real tellers here are the "Leans Republican" highlights for TX, GA, IA, and OH. Those should guaranteed locks. Besides the combination of Arizona and Wisconsin, Dems only need to win 2 states from the current standings to win (and even that combination is winnable with Nebraska if Nebraska's District 2 goes blue). Whoever is saying this is 2016 again, isn't paying attention. --- The name is wackyteen for a reason. Never doubt. <cite>wackyteen posted [p:941805553] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote> The President has a real up hill battle to fight. He basically has to repeat 2016 verbatim if he wants to have a hope (atm) But the real tellers here are the "Leans Republican" highlights for TX, GA, IA, and OH. Those should guaranteed locks. Besides the combination of Arizona and Wisconsin, Dems only need to win 2 states from the current standings to win (and even that combination is winnable with Nebraska if Nebraska's District 2 goes blue). Whoever is saying this is 2016 again, isn't paying attention. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
berlyman101 07/07/20 4:41:06 PM #2:	the future of the world is dependent on the Nebraska stripe ffs --- http://www.lukesurl.com/comics/2010-02-24-determinism.png <cite>berlyman101 posted [p:941805614] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>the future of the world is dependent on the Nebraska stripe ffs </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Jabodie 07/07/20 4:41:54 PM #3:	berlyman101 posted... the future of the world is dependent on the Nebraska stripe ffs Lmao --- <insert sig here> <cite>Jabodie posted [p:941805650] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>berlyman101 posted... </cite> <quote>the future of the world is dependent on the Nebraska stripe ffs</quote>Lmao </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
pfh1001 07/07/20 5:19:36 PM #4:	Before we get too excited about Trump going down, let's all remember that all the predictors said he was going to lose big in 2016. All it takes is a few thousand people here or there-- Michigan (with a population of about 10 million people) was decided by just over 10K votes. And who knows if Kanye is actually going to try to get on the ballots & the chaos that could cause. <cite>pfh1001 posted [p:941807139] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>Before we get too excited about Trump going down, let's all remember that all the predictors said he was going to lose big in 2016. All it takes is a few thousand people here or there-- Michigan (with a population of about 10 million people) was decided by just over 10K votes. And who knows if Kanye is actually going to try to get on the ballots & the chaos that could cause.</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
JBaLLEN66 07/07/20 5:27:28 PM #5:	pfh1001 posted... Before we get too excited about Trump going down, let's all remember that all the predictors said he was going to lose big in 2016. All it takes is a few thousand people here or there-- Michigan (with a population of about 10 million people) was decided by just over 10K votes. And who knows if Kanye is actually going to try to get on the ballots & the chaos that could cause. nice troll post --- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IdR2Iktffaw The day Capitalism was humiliated :) <cite>JBaLLEN66 posted [p:941807492] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>pfh1001 posted... </cite> <quote>Before we get too excited about Trump going down, let's all remember that all the predictors said he was going to lose big in 2016. All it takes is a few thousand people here or there-- Michigan (with a population of about 10 million people) was decided by just over 10K votes. And who knows if Kanye is actually going to try to get on the ballots & the chaos that could cause.</quote> nice troll post </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
BLAKUboy 07/07/20 5:32:24 PM #6:	Texas and Georgia aren't even "leaning", they're straight tossups as of now. Iowa and that last Maine EV are probably pretty close, too, but I don't really follow polls for them. The picture is a lot more dire for Trump than people seem willing to admit. --- Aeris dies if she takes more damage than her current HP - Panthera https://signavatar.com/26999_s.png <cite>BLAKUboy posted [p:941807707] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>Texas and Georgia aren't even "leaning", they're straight tossups as of now. Iowa and that last Maine EV are probably pretty close, too, but I don't really follow polls for them. The picture is a lot more dire for Trump than people seem willing to admit. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
FreezerDoor 07/07/20 5:33:56 PM #7:	Does that map include Kanye running? --- Edmonton Oilers winning a draft is like giving a homeless person money but knowing they are going to spend it on drugs and alcohol- Xunolix <cite>FreezerDoor posted [p:941807768] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>Does that map include Kanye running? </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
wackyteen 07/07/20 5:37:44 PM #8:	BLAKUboy posted... Texas and Georgia aren't even "leaning", they're straight tossups as of now. Iowa and that last Maine EV are probably pretty close, too, but I don't really follow polls for them. The picture is a lot more dire for Trump than people seem willing to admit. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/texas/ In the last month, regarding the general election, polls with a 538 Pollster rating of B or higher have said: Trump +4 Biden +2 Biden +1 Trump +2 A Tie Trump +1 In a vacuum that's a toss up, sure, but I think given the historical data regarding the state of Texas, you can still call it a Lean. 270 does have an additional option that isn't there by default called "Tilts" I'd say Texas, in this moment, is a Tilt --- The name is wackyteen for a reason. Never doubt. <cite>wackyteen posted [p:941807935] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>BLAKUboy posted... </cite> <quote>Texas and Georgia aren't even "leaning", they're straight tossups as of now. Iowa and that last Maine EV are probably pretty close, too, but I don't really follow polls for them. The picture is a lot more dire for Trump than people seem willing to admit.</quote>https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/texas/ In the last month, regarding the general election, polls with a 538 Pollster rating of B or higher have said: Trump +4 Biden +2 Biden +1 Trump +2 A Tie Trump +1 In a vacuum that's a toss up, sure, but I think given the historical data regarding the state of Texas, you can still call it a Lean. 270 does have an additional option that isn't there by default called "Tilts" I'd say Texas, in this moment, is a Tilt </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
CruelBuffalo 07/07/20 5:39:41 PM #9:	The fact that Ohio is still red shows you everything you need to know about Ohio <cite>CruelBuffalo posted [p:941808011] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>The fact that Ohio is still red shows you everything you need to know about Ohio </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Zanzenburger 07/07/20 9:10:25 PM #10:	This is interesting to see. I'm interested to see how this changes month to month heading to November. --- Congratulations! Your post was deemed response-worthy. <cite>Zanzenburger posted [p:941817083] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>This is interesting to see. I'm interested to see how this changes month to month heading to November. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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DoctorPiranha3 07/07/20 9:18:10 PM #12:	America. Where a few uneducated bumpkins in swing states can determine the whole future of a country. <cite>DoctorPiranha3 posted [p:941817391] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>America. Where a few uneducated bumpkins in swing states can determine the whole future of a country.</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
FunnyPies 07/07/20 9:19:02 PM #13:	I live in PA. I'm very happy that my vote actually freakin' matters. <cite>FunnyPies posted [p:941817429] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>I live in PA. I'm very happy that my vote actually freakin' matters. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Ving_Rhames 07/07/20 9:21:59 PM #15:	CruelBuffalo posted... The fact that Ohio is still red shows you everything you need to know about Ohio Literally the moment you go within like a mile out of one of the cities its bumble fuck Trumpville. Its ridiculous. --- the real Irving Rameses https://imgur.com/A7f6F9h <cite>Ving_Rhames posted [p:941817573] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>CruelBuffalo posted... </cite> <quote>The fact that Ohio is still red shows you everything you need to know about Ohio</quote> Literally the moment you go within like a mile out of one of the cities its bumble fuck Trumpville. Its ridiculous. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
pogo_rabid 07/07/20 9:22:32 PM #16:	You know what, after living through this... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9TwuR0jCavk and this... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bRf0tvEIbz0 I know not to trust any poll or "expert" on election predictions --- Ryzen 3800x @ 4.3, 32 gig @ 4000, 1070ti, 970pro, Asus Strix x570-E FC: SW-8431-3263-1243 <cite>pogo_rabid posted [p:941817593] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>You know what, after living through this... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9TwuR0jCavk and this... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bRf0tvEIbz0 I know not to trust any poll or "expert" on election predictions </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Antifar 07/07/20 9:24:39 PM #17:	pogo_rabid posted... You know what, after living through this... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9TwuR0jCavk and this... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bRf0tvEIbz0 I know not to trust any poll or "expert" on election predictions The thing about Karl Rove in 2012 is that he had been ignoring all the evidence from polls. Nate Silver's projections got every state right in 2012 --- kin to all that throbs <cite>Antifar posted [p:941817676] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>pogo_rabid posted...</cite> <quote>You know what, after living through this... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9TwuR0jCavk and this... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bRf0tvEIbz0 I know not to trust any poll or "expert" on election predictions </quote> The thing about Karl Rove in 2012 is that he had been ignoring all the evidence from polls. Nate Silver's projections got every state right in 2012</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
pogo_rabid 07/07/20 9:25:14 PM #18:	Antifar posted... The thing about Karl Rove in 2012 is that he had been ignoring all the evidence from polls. Nate Silver's projections got every state right in 2012 not so successful in 2016 though --- Ryzen 3800x @ 4.3, 32 gig @ 4000, 1070ti, 970pro, Asus Strix x570-E FC: SW-8431-3263-1243 <cite>pogo_rabid posted [p:941817697] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>Antifar posted... </cite> <quote>The thing about Karl Rove in 2012 is that he had been ignoring all the evidence from polls. Nate Silver's projections got every state right in 2012</quote> not so successful in 2016 though </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Antifar 07/07/20 9:26:23 PM #19:	No, but polls remain the best metric we have for judging public opinion on electoral matters. The lesson from 2016 is not "never trust polls." --- kin to all that throbs <cite>Antifar posted [p:941817752] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>No, but polls remain the best metric we have for judging public opinion on electoral matters. The lesson from 2016 is not "never trust polls."</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
FunnyPies 07/07/20 9:27:35 PM #20:	Bullet_Wing posted... Who are you voting? I'm leaning slightly towards Biden. One big factor why I'm not really for Biden is I seriously doubt Biden will be hard on China as Trump is. Just for shits and giggles, I did a quiz here: https://2020election.procon.org/2020-election-quiz.php And here's my result: https://2020election.procon.org/2020-election-quiz-results.php?sid=WzYzNzgwOCwxMzNd <cite>FunnyPies posted [p:941817795] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>Bullet_Wing posted... </cite> <quote>Who are you voting?</quote>I'm leaning slightly towards Biden. One big factor why I'm not really for Biden is I seriously doubt Biden will be hard on China as Trump is. Just for shits and giggles, I did a quiz here: https://2020election.procon.org/2020-election-quiz.php And here's my result: https://2020election.procon.org/2020-election-quiz-results.php?sid=WzYzNzgwOCwxMzNd </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
wackyteen 07/07/20 10:34:03 PM #21:	pogo_rabid posted... not so successful in 2016 though @pogo_rabid To be fair Trump barely won the swing states that he did win. It isn't exactly surprising when the states were that close that the model could've been wrong. shrugs These states aren't even going to be close. I wonder how close we'll be before Silver releases the model or if he even bothers if the model is just gonna sit at like 90+% Biden. --- The name is wackyteen for a reason. Never doubt. <cite>wackyteen posted [p:941820456] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>pogo_rabid posted... </cite> <quote>not so successful in 2016 though</quote>@pogo_rabid To be fair Trump barely won the swing states that he did win. It isn't exactly surprising when the states were that close that the model could've been wrong. shrugs These states aren't even going to be close. I wonder how close we'll be before Silver releases the model or if he even bothers if the model is just gonna sit at like 90+% Biden. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
FunnyPies 07/07/20 10:37:19 PM #22:	wackyteen posted... To be fair Trump barely won the swing states that he did win. I voted for Trump in the 2016 election. Trump won by just 44,332 votes in PA, or just 0.72% (yes, less than 1%) of total votes. I will probably be voting for Biden this year; but not happy about it. <cite>FunnyPies posted [p:941820581] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>wackyteen posted... </cite> <quote>To be fair Trump barely won the swing states that he did win.</quote>I voted for Trump in the 2016 election. Trump won by just 44,332 votes in PA, or just 0.72% (yes, less than 1%) of total votes. I will probably be voting for Biden this year; but not happy about it. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Poop2 07/07/20 10:37:27 PM #23:	Trump done <cite>Poop2 posted [p:941820589] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>Trump done</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
UnholyMudcrab 07/07/20 10:41:33 PM #24:	All Biden needs from the tossups is WI and PA, and he has about a 5-point lead in both --- https://imgur.com/VeNBg https://imgur.com/gd5jC8q https://imgur.com/PKIy7 https://imgur.com/3p29JqP <cite>UnholyMudcrab posted [p:941820740] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>All Biden needs from the tossups is WI and PA, and he has about a 5-point lead in both</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
RetsuZaiZen 07/07/20 10:44:33 PM #25:	JBaLLEN66 posted... nice troll post Shut the fuck up --- Why do nerdsalways get caught up on the details? https://imgur.com/dntQM https://imgur.com/9gNcUGM https://imgur.com/bH8vq3f <cite>RetsuZaiZen posted [p:941820863] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>JBaLLEN66 posted... </cite> <quote>nice troll post</quote>Shut the fuck up </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
wackyteen 07/08/20 2:19:24 PM #26:	Also, if you go by the polling map (yeah yeah i know POLLS), Democrats are actually polling at a win by 17 EC votes. It also puts Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Iowa, Arkansas, Georgia, Florida, Ohio and EVEN FUCKING UTAH in Toss-Up contention. <_< --- The name is wackyteen for a reason. Never doubt. <cite>wackyteen posted [p:941844713] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>Also, if you go by the polling map (yeah yeah i know POLLS), Democrats are actually polling at a win by 17 EC votes. It also puts Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Iowa, Arkansas, Georgia, Florida, Ohio and EVEN FUCKING UTAH in Toss-Up contention. <_< </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Proto_Spark 07/08/20 2:27:58 PM #27:	wackyteen posted... Also, if you go by the polling map (yeah yeah i know POLLS), Democrats are actually polling at a win by 17 EC votes. It also puts Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Iowa, Arkansas, Georgia, Florida, Ohio and EVEN FUCKING UTAH in Toss-Up contention. <_< I think Utah depends on how much the people like Mitt Romney standing up to the cult of Trump. It could possibly go Blue entirely as a protest vote against Trump attacking their guy for not being in line. <cite>Proto_Spark posted [p:941845098] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>wackyteen posted... </cite> <quote>Also, if you go by the polling map (yeah yeah i know POLLS), Democrats are actually polling at a win by 17 EC votes. It also puts Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Iowa, Arkansas, Georgia, Florida, Ohio and EVEN FUCKING UTAH in Toss-Up contention. <_<</quote> I think Utah depends on how much the people like Mitt Romney standing up to the cult of Trump. It could possibly go Blue entirely as a protest vote against Trump attacking their guy for not being in line. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Extreme_light 07/08/20 2:29:00 PM #28:	In Arizona, I can see Biden getting the vote here. It's gonna be a nail biter when it comes to it however. --- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rC7BAt96Xn0 <cite>Extreme_light posted [p:941845137] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>In Arizona, I can see Biden getting the vote here. It's gonna be a nail biter when it comes to it however. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
DarkChozoGhost 07/08/20 2:30:10 PM #29:	BLAKUboy posted... Texas and Georgia aren't even "leaning", they're straight tossups as of now. Iowa and that last Maine EV are probably pretty close, too, but I don't really follow polls for them. The picture is a lot more dire for Trump than people seem willing to admit. Georgia has 0 chance of going blue do the aggressive voter suppression that their evil piece of human garbage governor is continuing to implement. --- My sister's dog bit a hole in my Super Mario Land cartridge. It still works though - Skye Reynolds 3DS FC: 3239-5612-0115 <cite>DarkChozoGhost posted [p:941845178] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>BLAKUboy posted... </cite> <quote>Texas and Georgia aren't even "leaning", they're straight tossups as of now. Iowa and that last Maine EV are probably pretty close, too, but I don't really follow polls for them. The picture is a lot more dire for Trump than people seem willing to admit.</quote>Georgia has 0 chance of going blue do the aggressive voter suppression that their evil piece of human garbage governor is continuing to implement. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
onedarksoul 07/08/20 2:32:13 PM #30:	It would be easier for Trump if he could get some of those light-blue states. He was close in MN and VA last time, IIRC. --- Finish a game? Add it to our list! Beat 1,000 games: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/213-nonstop-gaming-general/78785005 <cite>onedarksoul posted [p:941845257] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>It would be easier for Trump if he could get some of those light-blue states. He was close in MN and VA last time, IIRC. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
CommonJoe 07/08/20 2:32:22 PM #31:	Im more interested in how the Senate races are looking. --- Maxwell is -not- going to kill herself. <cite>CommonJoe posted [p:941845266] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>Im more interested in how the Senate races are looking. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Poop2 07/08/20 2:37:44 PM #32:	CommonJoe posted... Im more interested in how the Senate races are looking. I hope it goes dem <cite>Poop2 posted [p:941845484] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>CommonJoe posted...</cite> <quote>Im more interested in how the Senate races are looking. </quote> I hope it goes dem</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
I Like Toast 07/08/20 3:06:59 PM #33:	Proto_Spark posted... I think Utah depends on how much the people like Mitt Romney standing up to the cult of Trump. It could possibly go Blue entirely as a protest vote against Trump attacking their guy for not being in line. More so if they think bidens anti abortion voting record means more than his lip service of now being pro abortion. They'll vote for trump and an independent mormon like 2016. Evan McMullin did 21% and Hillary did 27% --- If you do things right, people won't be sure you've done anything at all <cite>I Like Toast posted [p:941846696] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>Proto_Spark posted... </cite> <quote>I think Utah depends on how much the people like Mitt Romney standing up to the cult of Trump. It could possibly go Blue entirely as a protest vote against Trump attacking their guy for not being in line.</quote>More so if they think bidens anti abortion voting record means more than his lip service of now being pro abortion. They'll vote for trump and an independent mormon like 2016. Evan McMullin did 21% and Hillary did 27% </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Anteaterking 07/08/20 3:13:09 PM #35:	onedarksoul posted... It would be easier for Trump if he could get some of those light-blue states. He was close in MN and VA last time, IIRC. Clinton won Virginia by 5 points, which is more than Obama won byin 2012 Minnesota was only won by 1.5, but the only two polls from the last month have Trump down between 5 and 12 points. --- http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b136/Anteaterking/scan00021.jpg http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b136/Anteaterking/scan00021.jpg <cite>Anteaterking posted [p:941846953] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>onedarksoul posted... </cite> <quote>It would be easier for Trump if he could get some of those light-blue states. He was close in MN and VA last time, IIRC.</quote> Clinton won Virginia by 5 points, which is more than Obama won byin 2012 Minnesota was only won by 1.5, but the only two polls from the last month have Trump down between 5 and 12 points. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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TheOrgyPorgy 07/08/20 8:50:08 PM #37:	biden is going to win, the end --- Radiohead <cite>TheOrgyPorgy posted [p:941860480] in Electoral ... [t:78831139]...</cite> <quote>biden is going to win, the end </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Current Events > Electoral College: 248 Dem vs 204 Republican, 86 toss ups. (+) Yeah! (+)

Current Events > Electoral College: 248 Dem vs 204 Republican, 86 toss ups.