Current Events > How the electoral map looks based on Trump's approval rating

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02/20/18 2:07:44 PM
#1:


fMyIQBa

Based on this map.

k44mO4H

Oof, not too good for the Shitgibbon. Let's say 40-49% approval are undecided, then.

Jvb2YeP

Hey, there you go! If Trump can win every single one of those states that he currently has an approval rating below 50% right now, he would win the election if it happened today!

lmfao you fuckers are toast
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josifrees
02/20/18 2:08:54 PM
#2:


Lmao!
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DifferentialEquation
02/20/18 2:10:03 PM
#3:


That's fantastic. Go ahead and arrogantly assume that Trump has almost no chance of winning. I mean, it worked out so well the first time, right?
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Zero_Destroyer
02/20/18 2:10:54 PM
#4:


my only concern with this interpretation is that state polling has been really iffy the last couple of elections. Pretty red tilted in 2012 (Obama overperformed) and then Trump overperformed in the Midwest

National polling (which was accurate to 1% MoE in 2016) definitely indicates Trump is screwed in 2020 unless something changes though so the sentiment is still there even if the electoral map won't look like that
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darkjedilink
02/20/18 2:11:16 PM
#5:


So, once again, there's no path to 270?

It's like liberals wear an inability to learn from history as a badge of honor.
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josifrees
02/20/18 2:12:23 PM
#6:


darkjedilink posted...
So, once again, there's no path to 270?

It's like liberals wear an inability to learn from history as a badge of honor.


Yes no path with Russian stuffing ballots
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Capn Circus
02/20/18 2:13:32 PM
#7:


darkjedilink posted...
So, once again, there's no path to 270?

It's like liberals wear an inability to learn from history as a badge of honor.

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frozenshock
02/20/18 2:13:47 PM
#8:


Disapproving of Trump doesn't mean approves of a democratic candidate...
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Zero_Destroyer
02/20/18 2:14:12 PM
#9:


darkjedilink posted...
So, once again, there's no path to 270?

It's like liberals wear an inability to learn from history as a badge of honor.


DifferentialEquation posted...
That's fantastic. Go ahead and arrogantly assume that Trump has almost no chance of winning. I mean, it worked out so well the first time, right?


I think it's fair to say that running for President and actually being president are two different roadhouses. Republicans have been underperforming in special elections this year and Trump's approval rating on the most reliable documented level (nationally) shows him as a pretty unpopular president

Overconfidence is bad but it's over a year in and he hasn't really reached outside of his base demographic
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Balrog0
02/20/18 2:14:12 PM
#10:


I believe the gallup daily poll uses all americans, not just registered voters, which would still be worse than likely voters

it is difficult to say the extent to which that helps or hurts Trump but that map is not very helpful with respect to electoral outcomes
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