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TopicAre video game consoles about to become obsolete
Dikitain
03/10/24 5:08:57 AM
#19:


adjl posted...
They're still growing, but there are substantial diminishing returns in terms of player experience. Paying hundreds of dollars for a very marginal increase in visual fidelity isn't overly appealing. Meaningful growth now is going to be more along the lines of rendering more entities at once or otherwise having games that are more computationally complex (which is generally more of a CPU thing, as I understand it), or improvements in form factor like what the Switch did (which the Steam Deck has followed up and the PS Portal has quasi-mimicked).

We are basically getting to the point where graphics aren't really going to improve at a significant margin anymore. The only real improvements from 10 years ago are higher resolutions and frame rates. Compare that to the jump from 1974 - 1984, 1984 - 1994, 1994 - 2004, and 2004 - 2014. All of those are way more significant, and arguably an equally huge leap in fidelity. We are also at the point where we can't make processors any smaller while maintaining the same speeds. So a lot of what we are getting are software improvements like "Ray Tracing".

So while I don't think consoles will become "obsolete", they will likely be very different 10 years from now and arguably unrecognizable. We also aren't going to see the price drops like we used to, since I don't think they can be made any cheaper then they are now and companies no longer want to produce them at a loss to push sales of software since most titles are getting multi-platform releases.

And of course, Nintendo will do their own thing because they hold the spot as the largest gaming company worldwide:

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1197213/market-value-of-the-largest-gaming-companies-worldwide

So yea, Nintendo won the console war people...

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