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TopicIt feels like we're on a collision course for a Trump win
legendary_zell
03/06/24 3:20:02 PM
#36:


McMarbles posted...
Reasons Biden will totally have no chance
1. He OLD
2. Gaza, which is literally the only issue that anyone cares about and which Trump will totally be better on
3. He OLD
4. Did you see the latest poll?
5. He OLD
6. Both sides are the same. I am very smart.
7. Did you see the same poll I just showed you a week ago?
8. He OLD
9. As goes American Samoa, so goes the nation. Remember how *checks notes* Bloomberg won in 2020?
10. He OLD
11. Did you see the same poll I just showed you two weeks ago?


This dismissive attitude isn't helping anything. People think he's old, that influences votes. You can disagree, but the electorate disagrees with you in turn.

Trump will be worse on Gaza, but the Biden has himself been horrible, and Republicans win when it's considered a battle between two horrible options rather than one good one and one horrible one. That's what happened in 2016, it's the only way they can win.

I have been posting on this website for almost two decades now and have never made a same thing both sides argument. The Republican Party is the concentration of all the worst elements of American culture and shouldn't exist, there is no equivalence between them and the Dems. But unfortunately, that's not how many people see it, on the left, right, and center. Enough to lose an election over. The point is to create a positive contrast and the Dems have not done that enough this time.

The primaries are mostly irrelevant, I'm not hanging anything on them.

The polls are not just one poll. It's a steady drumbeat that's showing the same patters of being behind or failing with specific demographics that are crucial. It's suicidal to respond to this by assuming that there's no problem. Special elections and midterms are a different electorate, focused on different people and different issues and polls taken at this time of the year have generally correctly predicted the winner in PRESIDENTIAL elections. That is a cause for concern in all rational people.

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