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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 405: Pride Month Comes Before the Fall
KamikazePotato
06/24/23 5:04:40 AM
#14:


Here's a general summary of the situation I copied from elsewhere.

- Putin systematically kills his opponents by pushing them out of windows or...you know the deal.
- Leader of the PMC, Prigozhin, criticizes the war efforts heavily because the PMC is taking a lot of losses and because Russia's army has issues.
- Putin cannot kill Prigozhin because he has too much power.
- Putin demans Prigozhin to return his army.
- Again, because the PMC is technically run independently from Russia, Prigozhin has a lot of control over it.
- Prigozhin knows that if he returns the army, he's going to die.
- He also knows that if he tries fighting, he's going to die.
- Since both those options are the same, he figures he has a better shot at holding the war against Ukraine hostage.
- Prigozhin takes over Rostov, which is both the base of operations for the invasion (closest major city to Ukraine) and the center for all supply lines.
- Prigozhin now effectively has the war against Ukraine hostage, as well as the Russian army. He cannot possibly fight them, as he only has around ~25,000 people. But Russia cannot dislodge him quickly since they are full on moved toward Ukraine.
- Russia also cannot simply attack him with the troops that are already in Ukraine without giving up the territory they got.
- ON TOP OF THAT, if Prigozhin just holds the city for a while, Russia won't be able to resupply its army in Ukraine and Ukraine will win anyway. So either Russia has to fight or negotiate, and he's a literal terrorist now(Russia put him on the list)

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