LogFAQs > #972421788

LurkerFAQs, Active DB, DB1, DB2, DB3, DB4, DB5, DB6, DB7, DB8, DB9, DB10, Database 11 ( 12.2022-11.2023 ), DB12, Clear
Topic List
Page List: 1
TopicMarvel Snap Topic 10: It's Not Attuma
foolm0r0n
03/26/23 10:32:59 AM
#151:


Yeah it's rare but the point is still, you don't really know how bad their hand is. You're giving them a guaranteed 1 cube instead of a chance at 2. If you calculate out the equity % it's prob closer to 1.5 cube profit when they snap against you and you insta retreat. That is equivalent to a 75% confidence in winning 2 cubes, which is pretty fair.

If you include the case that you continue after they snap, because you're bored or whatever, then it's even more profitable. They'll win 4 cubes with a confidence of 75%, which is 3 cubes expected profit. So if you average that situation with the 1.5 cube profit situation, you can definitely get to a 2 cube expected profit overall with that kind of snap.

The key thing in this game is there is very rarely a royal flush type hand, so there's always value to getting a guaranteed win vs playing to the end.

This also means that you really should not retreat if there's even a 25% chance you'll win. I've won lots of times continuing when I knew they had the winning card in their deck and just gambled that they didn't draw.

---
_foolmo_
he says listen to my story this maybe are last chance
... Copied to Clipboard!
Topic List
Page List: 1