red sox 777 posted... Ukraine has apparently already begun counterattacking in some areas. Sources are Ukrainian but I guess we'll have a pretty good idea of how that is going soon.
I don't think the Pacific units and fighters from Syria are even close to enough to win this. If they are serious about continuing the war, they would need to do a general mobilization. There doesn't seem to be the willingness in Russia to do that (and that would make it obvious to everyone there that this isn't a special operation but a full blown war).
As far as the debt goes, don't think that's a big deal if they just default. It's not like anyone's lending to them now anyways.
I think it's notable that Belarus continues to refuse to send in their army. I think Lukashenko is afraid Russia will make a deal and leave him high and dry in a war with Ukraine, which he will lose because his army is worse and his own population doesn't support him. As long as Belarus officially maintains neutrality, Ukraine is unlikely to send an army into Belarus even if there's a peace made with Russia.
Belarus' army basically refused to go in.