LogFAQs > #963525914

Lightning Strikes posted...

Foreign intelligence is saying that Russia has effectively fully stalled, including in Mariupol. They are still a long way away from taking the city and it will be very bloody and difficult for the Russians if they succeed at all. Add to that the enormous climbdown in the the Russian negotiating position where now theyre saying that Ukraine can join the EU, form individual defence pacts but no NATO, and have agreed to deal with the breakaway regions separately after a ceasefire. It seems that Russia know they have nearly no hope of outright victory now.

Nobody believes Russia is actually negotiating. They have things in there Ukraine can never agree to. They are stalled everywhere except in the east which has small progress, but they are paused while shoring up supply lines and bringing reinforcements. They are pulling from the Pacific units. Mariupol isn't a stall but more of a siege. Mariupol should fall any day. When that happens if they can flank around in the easy, they could cause a breakthrough across the entire east. We will see, but Russia isn't dead in the water at all. They have underperformed badly so far though.