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Topic	Save My Favorite Final Fantasy Characters XXIII: Day 80 [smfffc]
andylt 09/27/21 7:30:34 PM #287:	OK time for official top 10 predictions!!! I will be going through each of the possibilities, and considering their chances... CECIL Peak: 1st (/40) Last year: 7th Status: ECC member Cecil's last IV standing status should keep him around a while, but he doesn't have the obvious push to get to the top 10 like he did last year, and V being around could hurt him if there is indeed overlap between their fans. It's not impossible by any stretch, but I don't see him getting there this time. Chance: 35% GALUF Peak: 15th (/70) Last year: 55th Status: Regular Oh how fortunes can change on a whim in this contest! 50 days ago he was on the brink of (Ex)death, but now he's stronger than ever. Looks like it's finally time to get him on a deep run. There's a clear goal, a clear group behind him, and a clear overdue factor. Perhaps the safest bet for top 10, imo. Barring a lawyering, of course! Chance: >95% GHIDO Peak: N/A Last year: N/A Status: Newbie Bias? What's that? Ghido appeared to be on the edge around the 30 mark, but he's picking up support as the contest goes. Gilgamesh's exit and Galuf's strength definitely help him, and that might not last, but the turtle also has a casual appeal to those who haven't yet played V. I see no reason he cannot make it. Chance: 50% CELES Peak: 1st (/50) Last year: 15th Status: ECC member Hmm. If she outlasts Locke her chances shoot up, but she is looking to be the weakest of the remaining three VIs. I'd love to see her reach top 10 but I don't see her outpacing her love interest. Chance: 20% KEFKA Peak: 2nd Last year: 8th Status: Regular I know I know. "He's a champion-in-waiting!" "He's overdue!" "He'd be a natural follow-up to Lightning and Squall!" "It's his turn!" I just don't see it. I don't see the strength, I don't see the breadth of support at this stage, I don't see him getting there. If he outlasts Celes and Locke then that'll be a different story, but right now I foresee a clown seething with hatred. Chance: 30% LOCKE Peak: 2nd Last year: 20th Status: ECC member Currently he appears to be the strongest of the remaining VI crew. He has the overdue factor, everybody likes him, and he could cruise all the way to a very high finish. Potential winner? Sure. But he has to outlast his companions first, and Celes and Kefka are no slouches, so it's not a done deal. Chance: 75% AERITH Peak: 7th Last year: 14th (L) Status: Regular OK, VII is impossible to figure out. At least one of them will be making it, but who? Right now, I am betting on Aeris. She's got the overdue factor, she was taken too early last year, and she has immense casual appeal. Her problem, of course, is her three compatriots. Right now she is vulnerable, but if she outlasts Barret and Jessie I can see her landing a new personal best. Chance: 65% BARRET Peak: 6th Last year: 6th Status: Regular Could he do it? Yes. Will he? ...Eh. He is looking much healthier than he was 10 rounds ago, but there's not the same impetus for a deep run with Barret as there is with Aeris, he's coming off of his best run already. Again, if he outlasts her then it's a different story, but I think the girls are gonna take it this time. Chance: 35% JESSIE Peak: 28th Last year: 28th Status: 2nd appearance Now Jessie has the opposite problem. She stands out, she has dedicated savers, and before today she had been safe well before the others, but I don't think her appeal spreads nearly as wide. I believe she has a ceiling, but does she have enough support to get over the line into the top 10?? I really can't figure it out. Chance: 50% SEPHIROTH Peak: 3rd Last year: 80th Status: ECC member Sorry Martin, but I don't see it happening. I think Seph is more divisive than the other three, and isn't likely to pick up any savers from outside the existing group. I don't even know if he would boost from Aeris' or Barret's deaths like I think they would boost from each other. I can't write him off, but as the squeeze comes in on VII I have a hard time seeing him make it through the other side. Chance: 25% --- Slowly becoming a Final Fantasy aficionado. <cite>andylt posted [p:958476326] in Save My Fa... [t:79682345]...</cite> <quote>OK time for official top 10 predictions!!! I will be going through each of the possibilities, and considering their chances... CECIL Peak: 1st (/40) Last year: 7th Status: ECC member Cecil's last IV standing status should keep him around a while, but he doesn't have the obvious push to get to the top 10 like he did last year, and V being around could hurt him if there is indeed overlap between their fans. It's not impossible by any stretch, but I don't see him getting there this time. Chance: 35% GALUF Peak: 15th (/70) Last year: 55th Status: Regular Oh how fortunes can change on a whim in this contest! 50 days ago he was on the brink of (Ex)death, but now he's stronger than ever. Looks like it's finally time to get him on a deep run. There's a clear goal, a clear group behind him, and a clear overdue factor. Perhaps the safest bet for top 10, imo. Barring a lawyering, of course! Chance: >95% GHIDO Peak: N/A Last year: N/A Status: Newbie Bias? What's that? Ghido appeared to be on the edge around the 30 mark, but he's picking up support as the contest goes. Gilgamesh's exit and Galuf's strength definitely help him, and that might not last, but the turtle also has a casual appeal to those who haven't yet played V. I see no reason he cannot make it. Chance: 50% CELES Peak: 1st (/50) Last year: 15th Status: ECC member Hmm. If she outlasts Locke her chances shoot up, but she is looking to be the weakest of the remaining three VIs. I'd love to see her reach top 10 but I don't see her outpacing her love interest. Chance: 20% KEFKA Peak: 2nd Last year: 8th Status: Regular I know I know. "He's a champion-in-waiting!" "He's overdue!" "He'd be a natural follow-up to Lightning and Squall!" "It's his turn!" I just don't see it. I don't see the strength, I don't see the breadth of support at this stage, I don't see him getting there. If he outlasts Celes and Locke then that'll be a different story, but right now I foresee a clown seething with hatred. Chance: 30% LOCKE Peak: 2nd Last year: 20th Status: ECC member Currently he appears to be the strongest of the remaining VI crew. He has the overdue factor, everybody likes him, and he could cruise all the way to a very high finish. Potential winner? Sure. But he has to outlast his companions first, and Celes and Kefka are no slouches, so it's not a done deal. Chance: 75% AERITH Peak: 7th Last year: 14th (L) Status: Regular OK, VII is impossible to figure out. At least one of them will be making it, but who? Right now, I am betting on Aeris. She's got the overdue factor, she was taken too early last year, and she has immense casual appeal. Her problem, of course, is her three compatriots. Right now she is vulnerable, but if she outlasts Barret and Jessie I can see her landing a new personal best. Chance: 65% BARRET Peak: 6th Last year: 6th Status: Regular Could he do it? Yes. Will he? ...Eh. He is looking much healthier than he was 10 rounds ago, but there's not the same impetus for a deep run with Barret as there is with Aeris, he's coming off of his best run already. Again, if he outlasts her then it's a different story, but I think the girls are gonna take it this time. Chance: 35% JESSIE Peak: 28th Last year: 28th Status: 2nd appearance Now Jessie has the opposite problem. She stands out, she has dedicated savers, and before today she had been safe well before the others, but I don't think her appeal spreads nearly as wide. I believe she has a ceiling, but does she have enough support to get over the line into the top 10?? I really can't figure it out. Chance: 50% SEPHIROTH Peak: 3rd Last year: 80th Status: ECC member Sorry Martin, but I don't see it happening. I think Seph is more divisive than the other three, and isn't likely to pick up any savers from outside the existing group. I don't even know if he would boost from Aeris' or Barret's deaths like I think they would boost from each other. I can't write him off, but as the squeeze comes in on VII I have a hard time seeing him make it through the other side. Chance: 25% --- Slowly becoming a Final Fantasy aficionado.</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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