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Topic7th person died in aus from the AZ vaccine
Sahuagin
08/10/21 12:43:50 AM
#27:


adjl posted...
Deaths are starting to creep up (at least in the US). Not as strongly as case numbers are (yesterday's 7-day daily case average was 110,000, compared to 20,000 a month prior, while yesterday's death average was 516, compared to 205 a month prior), but a delay is to be expected because it tends not to kill people immediately after diagnosis. I doubt deaths will end up spiking as hard as cases do, in the long run, but that's mostly because some of those cases are vaccinated people that are vastly less likely to die. I don't think it indicates much about Delta's deadliness.
yeah, it's not enough to actually get to "delta is definitely less deadly", but there are noticeably fewer deaths now in this current wave. some other possible reasons have been posted by others.

in europe in particular, you can see a very clear pattern of three waves (and as I want to describe this I find that johns hopkins has limited their scale to only past month now? so I can't see this data anymore):

(just going from memory)
early/mid 2020: high cases, high deaths
late 2020/early 2021: high cases, medium deaths
mid 2021: high cases, low deaths

the two scales are not the same, so you can't compare them directly, but looking at the relative size of each wave, the number of additional deaths for this current wave is basically zero compared to the others.

as for why that is, who knows.

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