LogFAQs > #956774639

With fewer than 100 events remaining lets take a closer look between China and the United States and see the chance of the latter catching up to the former. Currently, China holds a seven gold medal lead. Lets go sport by sport and see who still has chances at winning gold medals.

Artistic Swimming (1 event remaining)
While China is very likely to get a medal, it wont be gold unless something happens to the Russian team.
Medal Chances: No golds

Athletics (24 events remaining)
A quarter of the remaining events belong to athletics. The United States hasnt gotten the greatest start, but if they are going to top the medal table, theyll need to win a number of golds in the second half of the event. United States still has gold medal chances remaining in mens 400m, mens 110m hurdles, mens 4x100m relay, mens 4x400m relay, mens shot put, womens 400m, womens 4x100m relay, womens 4x400m relay, womens high jump and womens pole vault. China isnt as strong in athletics with its best chances being in the mens 20km walk and womens 20km walk.
Medal Chances: United States 10 golds, China 2 golds

Baseball/Softball (1 event remaining)
Baseball has a weird format, but the United States lost to Japan in the tenth inning earlier. Theyll need to defeat South Korea before facing off against Japan. Both will be hard matches, but if the United States wants to finish atop of the medal table it may need this event.
Medal Chances: United States 1 gold

Basketball (2 events remaining)
Both teams from the United States remain. The mens team is a bit suspect after their loss to France earlier in the tournament, but I feel both teams have a great chance at winning gold.
Medal Chances: United States 2 golds

Boxing (10 events remaining)
Of the remaining events, the United States has three boxers with athletes in the mens featherweight and super heavyweight in the finals and one athlete in the mens lightweight semifinals. China has two boxers with one person in the womens welterweight finals and another in the womens middleweight semifinals. Among the five I think the womens middleweight athlete has the best chance for gold, but honestly all of them have a realistic chance for gold.
Medal Chances: United States 3 golds, China 2 golds

Canoeing (8 events remaining)
The United States pretty much only has the womens C1 200m as its only gold medal chance. China is competing in more events and could win medals, but in terms of gold medals I feel only the womens C2 500m would be their best chance.
Medal Chances: China 1 gold, United States 1 gold

Cycling (8 events remaining)
No one has a great chance, but China could grab a womens individual sprint gold to go along with their team gold won earlier.
Medal Chances: China 1 gold

Diving (2 events remaining)
China is on another level in diving. Even if one of their divers mess up the other will likely take its place.
Medal Chances: China 2 golds

Equestrian (1 event remaining)
Both nations are competing in the team jumping event, but based on their individual performance neither team really has a chance for gold.
Medal Chances: No golds

Field Hockey (2 events remaining)
Neither nation can win a medal
Medal Chances: No golds

Football (2 events remaining)
Neither nation can win a gold medal
Medal Chances: No golds

Golf (1 event remaining)
Golf can be quite competitive, but Id give the United States a much better chance at winning gold than China.
Medal Chances: United States 1 gold

Gymnastics (2 events remaining)
Its very unlikely that either nation will win gold in rhythmic gymnastics.
Medal Chances: No golds

Handball (2 events remaining)
Neither nation can win a medal
Medal Chances: No golds

Karate (8 events remaining)
One of two sports yet to have started. China has two athletes while the United States has four. However, both of Chinas athletes have a good chance at winning gold while for the United States I can see them medaling, but winning gold is a tall ask for any athlete. Given the nature of the sport Ill give the United States one gold medal chance just because they have so many chances.
Medal Chances: China 2 golds, United States 1 gold

Modern Pentathlon (2 events remaining)
The other sport which hasnt started yet. Nether nation has a chance at winning gold.
Medal Chances: No golds

Skateboarding (1 event remaining)
The United States has a good chance at winning gold in mens park which will hopefully make up for a relatively poor performance in skateboarding.
Medal Chances: United States 1 gold

Sport Climbing (2 events remaining)
The United States has athletes in both finals, but it will be quite unlikely for either of them to win gold, though a medal is possible.
Medal Chances: No golds

Swimming (1 event remaining)
Just the 10km mens open water race remaining. Technically the United States has a better chance at winning gold because China isnt competing, but it would be a hard gold to win.
Medal Chances: No golds

Table Tennis (2 events remaining)
China is a huge favourite to win both team events, along with diving these are Chinas most likely gold medals out of the remaining events.
Medal Chances: China 2 golds

Volleyball (4 events remaining)
The United States still has teams in the womens indoor and womens beach volleyball events. Both have a good chance at winning gold.
Medal Chances: United States 2 golds

Water Polo (2 events remaining)
The United States are the two time defending gold medalists in the womens event and have a good chance at winning a third.
Medal Chances: United States 1 gold

Wrestling (9 events remaining)
China has eligible athletes remaining in three events while the United States has eligible athletes remaining in five events. While China has medal chances in all three events, it would be quite difficult for them to win gold. The United States on the other hand has more serious chances. As I did for karate, Ill give China one gold medal chance due to having a number of smaller chances while the United States could benefit from two golds.
Medal Chances: United States 2 golds, China 1 gold

Overall
Based on what I listed above, the United States still has 25 gold medal chances compared with Chinas 13, which gives the United States an overall five-gold lead. The caveat is that Chinas fewer chances are more likely to happen than the United States, especially in athletics where the gold medal is quite competitive in the remaining events.

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Congratulations to azuarc for winning the guru challenge