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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1366
LusterSoldier
07/10/21 4:29:02 AM
#382:


Poll updates and trend charts for yesterday's poll:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12Slg_QcsT3JUHx2e_EY4R49UkqJT2RIe_KDCuvW7kug/pub?gid=2075541020

"Yes, I'm fully vaccinated" had a slightly above average board vote and Power Hour. Based on what happened during the ASV and SNV, I would have expected a stronger Power Hour than this. There is one explanation as to why the Power Hour wasn't as strong as expected, and that is the combined influence of Asia and Oceania subduing "Yes, I'm fully vaccinated" during this time period as both continents have a very low fully vaccinated rate. The influence of Canada and Mexico during this time also played a lesser role here. The night vote was easily the worst time period for this option, and it performed best during the late morning vote, ASV, and SNV.

This option also had the most extreme trends, with the trends being Geolocation related. "Yes, I'm fully vaccinated" had a maximum percentage of 61.65% at 12:10 AM EST. After that point in time, it lost a total of 10.10% to reach its lowest percentage of 51.55% at 7:10 AM. From the low point of 51.55%, it then gained a total of exactly 6% to finish with a final percentage of 57.55%. "Yes, I'm fully vaccinated" lost a grand total of 3 updates to "No, not as far as I know", with the first cut happening at 3:40 AM (1 vote cut), followed by another 1 vote cut at 7:25 PM and a 3 vote cut at 9:10 PM. It also lost 2 updates to "Almost, I'm partially vaccinated", with a 3 vote cut happening at 4:40 AM and a 2 vote cut at 9:10 PM.

"Almost, I'm partially vaccinated" had a terrible board vote, Power Hour, ASV, and SNV. It performed best during the night vote and early morning vote.

"No, not as far as I know" performed best during the board vote, Power Hour, and night vote. It begins dropping off a bit once the morning vote starts, and easily performs worst during the ASV and SNV.

The 2 least popular options, "Yes, confirmed case of COVID" and "Maybe, I did get sick", end up having the least pronounced trends out of all the options here. "Yes, confirmed case of COVID" performs best during the late morning vote, ASV, and SNV. While "Maybe, I did get sick" does best during both night vote periods.

As for the Geolocation trends, the US really stands out with their extremely high fully vaccinated rate in combination with a extremely low partially vaccinated rate. Canada and the UK have a higher overall vaccination rate than the US in terms of getting at least 1 dose of any vaccine, but far less voters in Canada and the UK have completed their second dose. The rest of Europe outside of the UK is notable for having a much higher partially vaccinated rate than the US while having a lower fully vaccinated rate. In general, Europe as a whole has a lower overall vaccination rate compared to the US, although some countries like the UK, the Netherlands, Belgium, and Turkey stand out for exceeding the US in getting at least 1 dose of any vaccine. A few other countries in Europe like France, Italy, Austria, Finland, and the Czech Republic also have fairly high vaccination rates above 60% already.

Countries with extremely low vaccination rates include Australia and New Zealand (under 20% for both). South America generally has an low vaccination rate in general, ranging from around 10% to 40% for most of the countries there. Chile is an outlier here, with an extremely high vaccination rate over 80%.

Similarly to South America, Asia also has somewhat low vaccination rates in general, with the exception of China (58.33%), Hong Kong (71.43%), Saudi Arabia (86.66%), and Indonesia (63.16%).

The countries worst affected by COVID in the results were Russia, Hungary, Poland, Italy, Brazil, Argentina, Mexico, and Indonesia, all of which were above 5% for "Yes, I've already had a confirmed case of COVID".
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