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TopicCoronavirus Topic 13: Back to Normal: The Finale: Take 1
Esuriat
01/13/21 1:14:35 PM
#137:


Virginia's positivity rate seems to be declining, finally. Deaths are at an all time high which relative to other states "hasn't been that bad," and the cases are a little down from last week so far.

The Super Bowl is probably the biggest potential community spread event coming up for the US until Memorial Day, with all the little gatherings that may happen. Beyond that there's Mardi Gras which mainly affects New Orleans (like it did last year) and then St. Patrick's Day which hits pub and bar goers which are some of the most likely to have been infected already. Easter is right around the point where significant proportions of the population will be open to vaccination, particularly if the J&J single dose vaccine is available (and efficacious) then. It will still be a bit problematic, though.

I'm hopeful that by Memorial Day the prospect of a holiday surge represents only a minimal uptick in spread.

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Essy
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