LogFAQs > #946666567

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Topic	Biden \| 40,962,735 \| 57.64% \| Trump \| 27,258,817 \| 38.36% [Ng Election Tracker!]
red sox 777 11/03/20 3:10:58 PM #493:	Crossfiyah posted... https://twitter.com/politics_polls/status/1323695517961015298?s=21 Here are the most up-to-date numbers I was able to find by turnout of party identification GOP: 3,946,914 (+136,649) Dem: 3,810,265 NPA/Other: 2,358,054 TOTAL: 10,115,233 across FL. Per my understanding of polling averages of R crossover and NPA lean, GOP needs a +400k margin lead to survive the final numbers. And they're stuck at less than half that. Yes, my calculations are based on the assumption that they need a 400kish margin. But they've gained 250k this morning, with what I am estimating to be 40% of the election day vote. So they can be expected to pick up another 375k by the times polls close. That's because a lot more Democrats voted by mail. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! <cite>red sox 777 posted [p:946666567] in Biden \| 40... [t:79068586]...</cite> <quote>Crossfiyah posted... </cite> <quote>https://twitter.com/politics_polls/status/1323695517961015298?s=21 Here are the most up-to-date numbers I was able to find by turnout of party identification GOP: 3,946,914 (+136,649) Dem: 3,810,265 NPA/Other: 2,358,054 TOTAL: 10,115,233 across FL. Per my understanding of polling averages of R crossover and NPA lean, GOP needs a +400k margin lead to survive the final numbers. And they're stuck at less than half that.</quote> Yes, my calculations are based on the assumption that they need a 400kish margin. But they've gained 250k this morning, with what I am estimating to be 40% of the election day vote. So they can be expected to pick up another 375k by the times polls close. That's because a lot more Democrats voted by mail. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest!</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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