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TopicElection 2020 Statistics and Discussion
red sox 777
11/03/20 11:52:33 AM
#192:


PredictIt numbers as of morning of election day:

Iowa - Trump 77%
Ohio - Trump 75%
Texas - Trump 75%
Georgia - Trump 65%
Florida - Trump 64%
North Carolina - Trump 57%
Arizona - Trump 53%
Pennsylvania - Biden 62%
Michigan - Biden 72%
Wisconsin - Biden 73%
Nevada - Biden 75%
Minnesota - Biden 77%
New Hampshire - Biden 79%

Big moves to Trump over the last 2 days in the Sunbelt swing states. Arizona looks like it flipped from Biden to Trump as the favorite overnight and is now showing Trump as the favorite for the first time in months. Georgia and Florida have gone from near 50/50 to about 65% for Trump. NC has gone from around 57% for Biden to the same for Trump.

The Midwest states and Pennsylvania are not showing much movement - Biden remains the favorite. Overall odds remain at Biden 64% to Trump 42% (there's a significant vigorish, which is why the odds add up to more than 100%).

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