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| Topic | Biden | 40,962,735 | 57.64% | Trump | 27,258,817 | 38.36% [Ng Election Tracker!] |
| red sox 777 11/02/20 2:48:37 PM #311: | I worked it out based on NGamer's spreadsheet and assuming an EC breakeven point at Biden +3, Trump indeed needs to win a little over 59% of the remaining votes to make that up. But the spreadsheet is still using the old projection of total votes of 150 million rather than 162 million. With the higher projection, Trump's needed percentage would be about 57.5%. I'm not sure I buy that 162 million projection, actually. I think election day turnout might not be as high as expected, maybe low enough for us to undershoot that original 150 million prediction for the total, but I do expect Trump to win the election day vote pretty hard. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! ... Copied to Clipboard! |
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