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TopicBiden | 40,962,735 | 57.64% | Trump | 27,258,817 | 38.36% [Ng Election Tracker!]
Ngamer64
10/31/20 2:57:01 AM
#213:


...whoa, this topic certainly went places! I'd intended it as a more low key stats-oriented update poll thread filled with B8 Contest tracking memes, but hey, it's fine- this is a heated election and a very important subject so I understand why everyone's so passionate. For now though, back to our regularly scheduled daily update!
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The pace of early voting slowed ever so slightly over the course of the last day. And, well, that's where the good news for Trump ends.

Results From The Last 24 Hours
New Votes Cast 5,756,036
Biden Votes (estimated) 2,968,561
Trump Votes (estimated) 2,520,059

Trump continues to slip in terms of slashing into this percentage lead, advancing only 0.65% closer to Biden over the last day (yesterday he cut .78). And Joe continues to pile up big numbers across the board, further extending his lead by an impressive 448,502 votes.

This gives us a new total tally of
87,798,086 Total Early Votes Cast
(63.7% of 2016's total)

49,561,661 Biden Votes (estimated)
34,596,606 Trump Votes (estimated)
14,965,055 Current Lead (estimated)

56.45% Biden Total Percentage (estimated)
39.40% Trump Total Percentage (estimated)
17.04% Current Lead (estimated)

The silver lining for Trump: CNN's new poll yesterday indicated he absolutely dominates amongst potential November 3rd voters, with 59% of those who said they were planning to go to the polls that day indicating they are leaning toward supporting the incumbent. Two problems though:

  1. Even that wouldn't be enough. With only 62 million ballots yet to be cast, Trumps needs to pull down an insane 62.1% of the remaining vote to pull even. And as you've been seeing, that number keeps rising significantly each day (58.7 --> 60.7 --> 62.1). If trends hold, by the time Tuesday morning arrives it looks like Biden's popular vote lead is going to be insurmountable.
  2. Notice the weasel words from above: potential voters, planning to make it to the polls, leaning towards Trump. It's like I stressed yesterday- Trump's glorious comeback is all theoretical, while Biden's huge lead has already been banked.
The biggest news of the day though is something else I touched on yesterday, how there was one state that was going to surpass its 2016 total by this evening. I goofed up though, because it turns out TWO states actually earned that impressive distinction! Congrats to

Texas
Hawaii

For cracking the elusive 100% mark. Let's also give a round of applause to the states who went past 75% today and likewise have a chance of beating their mark from last cycle during the early voting phase:

Washington (the state, but DC is also close at 70%)
Oregon
Nevada
Montana(!)
Colorado
Vermont
New Jersey
Utah (actually 74% right now but close enough)
plus the Southern states I mentioned yesterday: AZ, NM, FL, GA, TN, NC

Great results for democracy!

More details as always in the sheet:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1NTMEI1vn58ET9WOWPUg2tOFnOOsQZFCqRvOvx68CpOs/edit?usp=sharing

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Congrats to azuarc, Mario Kart 64 AND GameFAQs Contest Legend!
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