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TopicBiden | 40,962,735 | 57.64% | Trump | 27,258,817 | 38.36% [Ng Election Tracker!]
LordoftheMorons
10/29/20 10:04:12 AM
#41:


handsomeboy2012 posted...
Didn't the polls show Hilary with a large lead back in 2016? Will the same situation happen this time around?
The final national polls were Clinton +3 and the actual result was Clinton +2. Some of the state polls were off by a considerable margin.

Bidens national lead currently appears to be roughly +9, with his lead in the most likely tipping point state (Pennsylvania) around +5. Hes in an objectively better position than Hillary was based on the available data and will most likely win, but its still possible that he could lose through some combination of a sizable polling error/polls tightening in the next five days/ballot fuckery.

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