LogFAQs > #946424065

Doom_Art posted...

Lolwat

I mean the other ones you've mentioned have had the Democrat ahead consistently since the early Summer either by mid/high single digits (NC/ME) or high single/double digits (AZ)

If we're talking GA or SC then I'd agree that they're unlikely to flip given how close the margins are

Cunningham has been rocked by an extramarital affair and the polling eventually turned competitive, ME's polling has been consistently thin in favor of Gideon, and Kelly's big polling lead has started to erode somewhat. A lot of the best senate polling numbers for Dems were in Sep/early October and the margins have since thinned. Because of how limited split ticketing is becoming outside of Gov elections, I think Kelly/Cunningam both winning seems dependent on Biden running away with both states, which I just don't see happening at this point.

would gladly be proven wrong but none of FL's polling data seems to have meant squat since Dem's VBM lead is being rapidly erased, meaning Rs are overperforming in at least one location.

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