LogFAQs > #946418227

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Topic	Biden \| 40,962,735 \| 57.64% \| Trump \| 27,258,817 \| 38.36% [Ng Election Tracker!]
Ngamer64 10/28/20 4:01:22 PM #22:	Yes, some other sites had Hillary at 90% or above and 538 was considered too generous for giving Trump a 30 to 35% chance at the upset around this time last cycle. Here in 2020 they're much more confident in Biden's chances: Their model has gone from a 67% chance in August up to 88% (an all time high for 2020 or 2016) as of this morning. That being said they're still not calling it a lock, and always point out that Trump has several paths to victory. Reg posted... Hey, I didn't think Texas would be in play until 2024 either, but the early numbers have been jaw dropping! They've crossed the 91% threshold for votes versus 2016 this morning, including nearly a million votes cast by people 30 and younger. Only about 150,000 people that young voted early last cycle, so you can tell how energized the whole state is this time around. --- Congrats to azuarc, Mario Kart 64 AND GameFAQs Contest Legend! board8.fandom.com/wiki/The_Show \| thengamer.com/xstats <cite>Ngamer64 posted [p:946418227] in Biden \| 40... [t:79068586]...</cite> <quote>Yes, some other sites had Hillary at 90% or above and 538 was considered too generous for giving Trump a 30 to 35% chance at the upset around this time last cycle. Here in 2020 they're much more confident in Biden's chances: Their model has gone from a 67% chance in August up to 88% (an all time high for 2020 or 2016) as of this morning. That being said they're still not calling it a lock, and always point out that Trump has several paths to victory. Reg posted... </cite> <quote></quote>Hey, I didn't think Texas would be in play until 2024 either, but the early numbers have been jaw dropping! They've crossed the 91% threshold for votes versus 2016 this morning, including nearly a million votes cast by people 30 and younger. Only about 150,000 people that young voted early last cycle, so you can tell how energized the whole state is this time around. --- Congrats to azuarc, Mario Kart 64 AND GameFAQs Contest Legend! board8.fandom.com/wiki/The_Show \| thengamer.com/xstats</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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