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| Topic | Biden | 40,962,735 | 57.64% | Trump | 27,258,817 | 38.36% [Ng Election Tracker!] |
| TheRock1525 10/28/20 2:15:30 PM #21: | Xeybozn posted... Was there ever an explanation from 538 why Clinton's odds went up so much the last two days before the 2016 election? There was virtually no movement in the polls, but her odds still went up about 7% (with Trump's odds going down the same amount). I remember a lot of other political predictors were mocking them for having Trump's odds so high, so it almost seems like they just went in and manually played with the model until they got "better" results. There was some movement in the polls and also odds always improve as you get closer to election day if there's no movement towards the underdog. Because there's less time to make up the difference. --- TheRock ~ I had a name, my father called me Blues. ... Copied to Clipboard! |
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