LogFAQs > #946346340

I plan on tracking poll updates for the election. I expect there will be a huge amount of random variation for individual updates, even more so than a typical election. It will depend a lot on the ratio of mail-in votes to in-person votes in each individual update, which is subject to extreme fluctuations. Each state also has its own rules for when their mail-in ballots can start being counted, but I likely expect Joe Biden to open up with a good lead, Trump making a comeback, and then maybe another surge from Biden from the states that start counting mail-in ballots on Election Day.