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Topic	Election 2020 Statistics and Discussion
red sox 777 10/26/20 1:14:18 PM #107:	masterplum posted... I was surprised how few paths trump has to winning. I remember in 2000 Gore needed the world and was shocked when I looked at the map and saw colorado went Republican that year. Funny how things change. Seems like Trump needs Penn AND Florida AND every other state that usually goes red but are surprisingly competitive such as Georgia and Texas. That means he needs a country wide polling error which is hugely different from 2016 when he won off a rust belt polling error. That seems tough Florida, Texas, Georgia, and North Carolina will be fine if he gets that 3% last week surge. To the extent that that surge represents Republicans deciding that any Republican is still better than any Democrat, it could very plausibly happen again. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! <cite>red sox 777 posted [p:946323253] in Election 2... [t:78796615]...</cite> <quote>masterplum posted... </cite> <quote>I was surprised how few paths trump has to winning. I remember in 2000 Gore needed the world and was shocked when I looked at the map and saw colorado went Republican that year. Funny how things change. Seems like Trump needs Penn AND Florida AND every other state that usually goes red but are surprisingly competitive such as Georgia and Texas. That means he needs a country wide polling error which is hugely different from 2016 when he won off a rust belt polling error. That seems tough</quote> Florida, Texas, Georgia, and North Carolina will be fine if he gets that 3% last week surge. To the extent that that surge represents Republicans deciding that any Republican is still better than any Democrat, it could very plausibly happen again. --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest!</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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