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TopicElection 2020 Statistics and Discussion
Kingfrost
10/26/20 1:07:15 PM
#105:


red sox 777 posted...
Trump gained 3% in the last week last time. If he gets a similar boost he's one reasonably sized polling error away from getting to Biden +3 or +4 and an EC win.

There aren't as many undecided voters this time as there were last time. Trump hasn't done anything to expand his base, and at this point its too late. He's a known commodity. Democrats are also much more motivated to turn out in this election, especially with ACB being ushered onto the supreme court with a week to go before the election. Combine that with the mishandling of COVID19 and Trump definitely has a very tough road to victory.
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