LogFAQs > #946306077

The problem is that it literally cannot be 2016 again.

2016 was the polls being mostly right because they were A) within the margin of error, B) third party voters were much smaller than expected and C) undecided votes broke heavily for Trump.

2020 features significantly less undecided/third party voters and a much bigger lead (Biden is sitting at 9%, Clinton was 3.8% heading into election day). The only way Trump wins is through fuckery OR the polls are actually off this time. Because even a 4% polling error (which would be huge) would still put Biden up 5% nationally, and that would still give him a 90% chance of winning (+3% is the break even point for a Dem since there's a +2.8 R lean for the popular vote vs. electoral college).

Trump can still win, but the odds are lower. And remember last time he barely won thanks to the way less than 100k people voted in 3 states.

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TheRock ~ I had a name, my father called me Blues.