not true. biden is way better than hillary and trump was only barely able to defeat hillary, so i didn't necessarily think trump's chances of winning were high.
of course there were differences with 2016, most notably trump having incumbent advantage and, indeed, the economy being very good. though i honestly don't know enough about the latter argument to say how much merit that has - don't know if the pre-covid "the economy is great" claim was just based on the stock market or also on unemployment numbers (i've seen conflicting reports about this). in any case, it certainly would have been a lot closer but i wasn't like "trump probably wins" at the time and neither were tons of other people.
that being said, i have no idea what the trump/biden polls looked like pre-covid. should try to look it up sometime.
We had the lowest unemployment rate since 1969. It was a truly excellent economy.
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September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest!