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TopicElection 2020 Statistics and Discussion
red sox 777
10/22/20 6:18:00 PM
#99:


Trump is up to 41% on PredictIt. We finally got some polls that show a very close election (notably from Investor's Business Daily). I think they have Biden +4 which is right around the breakeven in the Electoral College.

Something I thought of - it's actually really hard to send mail from many residences in a city. You have to go out and find a post office box to drop off mail in. It's much easier from the suburbs or rural areas - you just leave outgoing mail in your own mailbox and lift up the flag. I bet there's going to be some substantial percentage of people who intend to vote by mail but just don't find the time to do it by election day, the same way people intend to vote in person and end up not finding the time for it. That would mostly hurt Biden.

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