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| Topic | FiveThirtyEight now gives Biden an 88% chance to win the election. |
| Alpha218 10/20/20 9:53:07 AM #6: | ParanoidObsessive posted... "On the eve of the 2016 election, the site's forecast gave Hillary Clinton a 71% chance of winning and Donald Trump a 29% chance."Donald Trump was a polling error behind Hillary Clinton and won by razor thin margins in 3 swing states. Clinton still won the popular vote by 3 million votes. Meanwhile Biden is currently leading Trump by double digits, the polls are weighted differently now (they take education level into account much more) and Trump has to play defense in some states that were safely red before. Also, early voting is 6x higher than it was in 2016, and the demographic that does that leans much more blue. --- I'm Commander Shepard, and this is my favorite user on the Citadel. https://discord.gg/Wgtz2y9 - Come join us for Among Us ... Copied to Clipboard! |
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